Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 12, 2026 , 03:18 PM ET • 4 min read

Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs are the hottest team in the NBA, and my NBA predictions are betting they stay hot against a Nuggets team with some heavy legs tonight.

NBA

Match starts: 4 hrs
DEN
32 %
SA
68 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
San Antonio -4.5 (-110) San Antonio -4.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Nikola Jokic Victor Wembanyama Denver Nuggets San Antonio Spurs NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Victor Wembanyama defends Nikola Jokic in NBA action.

One of the matchups of the night in the NBA sees Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs host Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets.

San Antonio is on an incredible run, winning 16 of their last 17 games, going 12-4-1 ATS. Denver is getting healthy, but will its defense continue to be its Achilles heel?

My Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions and NBA picks explain why San Antonio is a legit contender in the West and why we can attack this spread for tonight's matchup.

Nuggets vs Spurs prediction

Nuggets vs Spurs best bet: Spurs -4.5 (-110)

This San Antonio Spurs run has been fueled by Victor Wembanyama and this defense. With Wemby protecting the paint and being a big favorite to win Defensive Player of the Year, the Spurs rank third in defensive rating

The Denver Nuggets are getting healthy, and the offense is great, but their effort at the other end of the floor is holding them back, ranking 21st in defensive rating.

Additionally, the Nuggets are playing their second game in as many nights, and that means some of their recently recovered guys, like Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray, could be on limited minutes.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Nuggets vs Spurs same-game parlay

The Spurs will take advantage of some tired legs from the Nuggets and try to run them out of the gym. Denver has already allowed 125+ points in five of its last nine games, while San Antonio has topped 125 in four of its last seven. Give me the Spurs over their team total of 121.5.

Meanwhile, Wemby has taken his defense to the next level since the All-Star break. He’s averaging 4.3 blocks and 1.2 steals in 11 games since the break, and his steals + blocks prop is set at 4.5, a number he’s topped eight times during that span.

Nuggets vs Spurs SGP

  • Spurs -4.5
  • Spurs team total Over 121.5
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 4.5 steals + blocks

Our "from downtown" SGP: A New MVP in Town!

With so many MVP candidates not being able to qualify for the award due to too many missed games, Wemby can seize an opportunity here, and will state his case against the two-time winner by stuffing the stat sheet.

Nuggets vs Spurs SGP

  • Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 10.5 rebounds
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 assists
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 4.5 steals + blocks

Nuggets vs Spurs odds

  • Spread: Nuggets +4.5 | Spurs -4.5
  • Moneyline: Nuggets +145 | Spurs -200
  • Over/Under: Over 240 | Under 240

Nuggets vs Spurs betting trend to know

The Spurs have covered the first-half spread in 33 of their last 50 games for +13.35 units and a 23% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Spurs.

How to watch Nuggets vs Spurs

Location Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Date Thursday, March 12, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV Altitude, FDSN-Southwest

Nuggets vs Spurs latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo