Our NBA player prop projections are set for tonight’s Eastern Conference clash between the New York Knicks and Atlanta Hawks, with the model pinpointing several standout opportunities.
By analyzing the data and comparing it to current market lines, we’ve uncovered the bets with the highest value.
These Knicks vs. Hawks predictions aren’t guesswork — they’re driven by the numbers.
For those building their cards, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Monday, April 6.
Knicks vs Hawks computer picks for April 6
 Knicks |
 Hawks |
|---|---|
| Brunson u25.5 points -115 |
Johnson o21.5 points -115 |
| Towns o11.5 rebounds -135 |
McCollum o2.5 3-pointers +102 |
| Hart u4.5 assists -112 |
Okongwu o7.5 rebounds +102 |
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Knicks computer picks
Jalen Brunson Under 25.5 points (-115)
Projection: 25.0 points
Jalen Brunson going Under 25.5 points in four of his last 10 games isn’t just random variance, it lines up with how the New York Knicks have been operating lately.
New York’s slower tempo has naturally limited overall possessions, which cuts into Brunson’s scoring volume. Fewer trips up the floor mean fewer shot attempts, and that’s critical for a player who often needs high usage to clear a number in the mid-20s.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 rebounds (-135)
Projection: 12.3 rebounds
The Knicks rank second in the league with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over their last 10 outings, and Karl-Anthony Towns is well-positioned to build on that dominance after clearing the 11.5-rebound line in five of his last 10 games.
Josh Hart Under 4.5 assists (-112)
Projection: 4.2 assists
Josh Hart going Under 4.5 assists in seven of his last 10 games reflects a clear shift in role within the Knicks offense. With primary creation duties centered around Jalen Brunson, Hart has been used more as a connector and secondary option rather than a true facilitator.
Atlanta’s defensive structure tends to allow ball-dominant guards to create while staying home on shooters, which further reduces Hart’s chances of racking up easy assists. Add it all up, and the Under remains a strong angle at this number.
Hawks computer picks
Jalen Johnson Over 21.5 points (-115)
Projection: 22.1 points
When it comes to scoring, the Atlanta Hawks have been unstoppable at home, averaging 124.5 points per game — the second-highest mark in the NBA over their last 10 contests.
Jalen Johnson has played a key role in that offensive surge, hitting the Over on 21.5 points in five of his last 10 games.
CJ McCollum Over 2.5 3-pointers (+102)
Projection: 2.7 3-pointers
The Hawks have been deadly from beyond the arc, connecting on 37% of their 3-pointers, good for sixth in the NBA this season.
The matchup against the Knicks is even more favorable, as opposing starting small forwards have hit an impressive 48% from deep on the road against New York, the highest rate in the league this year.
CJ McCollum has hit this Over in four of his last seven overall.
Onyeka Okongwu Over 7.5 rebounds (+102)
Projection: 7.6 rebounds
Onyeka Okongwu has hit the Over on 7.5 rebounds in four of his last 10 games, and the matchup against the Knicks sets him up well to do it again tonight.
Defensively, Okongwu’s timing and positioning allow him to grab contested boards even against athletic frontcourt players, and with the Knicks’ focus often drawn to Atlanta’s perimeter scorers, he can capitalize on second-chance opportunities.
How to watch Knicks vs Hawks tonight
| Location | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Monday, April 6, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock, NBCSN |
Not intended for use in MA.
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