The 2026-27 NBA win totals market is taking shape as the season is set to get underway next week, with the Thunder and Spurs setting the pace at 61+ wins and the defending champion Knicks coming in a bit lower at 52+.
With the new season fast approaching, we're tracking the latest win totals for all 30 teams, including Yes and No probabilities from Polymarket.
Below, we break down the latest NBA win totals, highlight the teams expected to finish with the most and fewest victories, and look back at regular-season win leaders over the past decade.
2026-27 NBA win total odds
View the current NBA win total odds for all 30 teams below.
| Team | Win Total | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
 Hawks |
43+ | 67% | 66% |
 Celtics |
51+ | 56% | 65% |
 Nets |
24+ | 70% | 56% |
 Hornets |
39+ | 55% | 56% |
 Bulls |
28+ | 68% | 61% |
 Cavaliers |
48+ | 67% | 61% |
 Mavericks |
35+ | 65% | 53% |
 Nuggets |
49+ | 63% | 62% |
 Pistons |
49+ | N/A | N/A |
 Warriors |
41+ | 59% | 66% |
 Rockets |
47+ | 62% | 50% |
 Pacers |
44+ | 67% | 62% |
 Clippers |
26+ | N/A | N/A |
 Lakers |
45+ | 67% | 61% |
 Grizzlies |
29+ | 67% | 56% |
 Heat |
47+ | 64% | 46% |
 Timberwolves |
48+ | 62% | 54% |
 Bucks |
25+ | 67% | 70% |
 Pelicans |
27+ | N/A | N/A |
 Knicks |
52+ | 68% | 56% |
 Thunder |
61+ | N/A | N/A |
 Magic |
44+ | 61% | 61% |
 76ers |
51+ | 60% | 68% |
 Suns |
41+ | 62% | 58% |
 Trail Blazers |
42+ | 61% | 64% |
 Kings |
21+ | 62% | 60% |
 Spurs |
61+ | 61% | 57% |
 Raptors |
46+ | 62% | 58% |
 Jazz |
36+ | 66% | 46% |
 Wizards |
36+ | 62% | 60% |
Odds courtesy of Polymarket. For help understanding probabilities, see our odds converter.
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Which NBA team is expected to have the most wins in 2026-27?
The Thunder and Spurs are tied for the highest win total for the 2026-27 NBA season at 61+ wins.
Which NBA team is expected to have the fewest wins in 2026-27?
The Kings currently have the lowest win total for the 2026-27 NBA season at 21+ wins.
When do prediction markets release NBA win totals?
Prediction markets typically release NBA win totals during the summer, shortly after the NBA Finals, and adjust them throughout the offseason leading up to the regular season.
How to trade NBA season win totals
NBA season win totals are straightforward: you're trading on how many games a team will win during the regular season.
Prediction markets set win thresholds for each team based on factors such as past performance, roster changes, and strength of schedule. Traders can take Yes or No positions on whether a team will reach a particular win total. Postseason victories do not count.
Unlike traditional Over/Under bets, prediction markets such as Polymarket assign separate prices to Yes and No positions based on market activity and demand. These prices reflect the cost of each position and don't necessarily add up to 100%. Trading spreads and applicable fees can also affect the cost.
For example, the Atlanta Hawks have a win total of 43+:
43+ wins: Yes (67%)
43+ wins: No (66%)
A Yes position wins if Atlanta finishes with 43 or more regular-season victories, while a No position wins if the Hawks finish with 42 or fewer.
NBA win totals trends
- The Warriors hold the NBA record for most regular-season victories, finishing 73-9 in 2015-16.
- The 76ers recorded the fewest wins in a full 82-game NBA season, finishing 9-73 in 1972-73.
- Only two teams in NBA history have won at least 70 games in a regular season: the 1995-96 Bulls (72-10) and the 2015-16 Warriors (73-9).
NBA win total history
Here's a quick look at the NBA teams with the most regular-season wins in each season since 2015-16.
| Season | Record | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 64-18 | Thunder |
| 2024/25 | 68-14 | Thunder |
| 2023/24 | 64-18 | Celtics |
| 2022/23 | 58-24 | Bucks |
| 2021/22 | 64-18 | Suns |
| 2020/21 | 52-20 | Jazz |
| 2019/20 | 56-17 | Bucks |
| 2018/19 | 60-22 | Bucks |
| 2017/18 | 65-17 | Rockets |
| 2016/17 | 67-15 | Warriors |
| 2015/16 | 73-9 | Warriors |
Note: The 2019-20 and 2020-21 NBA seasons were shortened due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Records reflect regular-season games only.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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