The San Antonio Spurs drew first blood with a double-overtime thriller in Game 1, but our expert NBA picks expect the Oklahoma City Thunder stars to do their part in trying to even the series up tonight.
See what our basketball experts are keying in on as their best bets for Game 2, which tips off at 8:30 p.m. in OKC.
Spurs vs Thunder Expert Picks Tonight
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Jon Metler:  Gilgeous-Alexander 29+ points |
-105 |
 Jason Logan: Williams 10+ reb/ast |
-105 |
 Joe Osborne: Under 216.5 |
-110 |
Odds courtesy of bet365.
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Jon Metler's expert pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points
Price: -105 at bet365
Don't overthink this one. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a back-to-back MVP, an elite scorer, and his team needs him more than ever right now. This total is sitting at 28.5 points — not 30.5 or 31.5, which is more typical for Gilgeous-Alexander — and a big reason for that is he finished well below his scoring totals in the previous series... because the Oklahoma City Thunder didn’t need his scoring against the Lakers. Now, down 0-1 in the series, elevated minutes and usage are absolutely on the table in this spot. If you go back and watch Game 1, where he shot 7-for-23 from the field, he was still getting to his spots in the mid-range. He just missed shots he normally makes. Mark Daigneault is also an excellent coach, and I expect him to run actions designed to pull Victor Wembanyama away from the paint as a help defender against SGA. At 28.5 points, I think this is a number we can attack, as I price the Over closer to -155.
Jason Logan's expert pick: Jalen Williams Over 9.5 rebounds + assists
Price: -105 at bet365
Jalen Williams was suddenly OKC’s busiest shooter in his Game 1 return, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander playing passively in the opening half. As SGA got more aggressive in the second half, Williams’ playmaking potential ticked up. He finished with only three assists on six potential dimes, but he settles back into his role tonight after averaging 5.5 assists on the season. As for the boards, Williams hauled in seven rebounds on 16 chances in Game 1. Most models have Williams’ assist forecast flirting with five dimes, and his rebounding projections all lean toward five boards tonight.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Under 216.5
Price: -110 at bet365
This matchup features elite offenses on both sides, but Game 1 showed how impactful the defenses can be, with just 202 combined points scored in regulation. The pace also slowed dramatically after the opening quarter, as the teams played at an average pace of 89.3 from quarters two through four. For comparison, the slowest average team pace during the regular season was 95.58. While Game 1 won’t perfectly predict tonight's tempo, it’s hard to expect an up-and-down game coming off Monday’s double-overtime battle.
More Spurs vs Thunder Game 2 picks
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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