Our Clippers vs. Warriors computer picks highlight eight player prop Overs for Sunday, Nov. 1, with Stephen Curry and Draymond Green sidelined for Golden State.
These NBA picks pair Covers' projections with recent results and injury context to explain the case for four Overs on each side.
Clippers vs Warriors computer picks
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 Clippers |
 Warriors |
|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura 15+ points 55% |
De'Anthony Melton 2+ assists 79% |
| Darius Garland 2+ rebounds 76% |
Gui Santos 1+ made threes Trade at Polymarket |
| Keaton Wagler 2+ made threes 56% |
Georges Niang 2+ rebounds Trade at Polymarket |
| Derrick Jones Jr. 4+ rebounds 62% |
Yaxel Lendeborg 2+ made threes 57% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Clippers computer picks
Rui Hachimura 15+ points
Projection: 16.43 points
Hachimura faces a Warriors defense allowing 49.3% shooting early this season, with Draymond Green's absence potentially making the frontcourt matchup more favorable.
The 16.43-point projection sits nearly two points above the line, although Hachimura has reached 15 points only once in four appearances.
Darius Garland 2+ rebounds
Projection: 3.17 rebounds
Garland has played at least 31 minutes in four of five games, giving him time to collect the two rebounds needed here. The model projects 3.17 boards, but his 1.6-rebound average and just two clearances of this line make the Over dependent on improved production.
Keaton Wagler 2+ made threes
Projection: 1.99 made threes
Through five games, Wagler has averaged 2.0 made threes on 5.6 attempts, clearing this line three times. With Bradley Beal and Max Strus sidelined, he should continue getting perimeter opportunities, and the 1.99 projection supports the two-make target.
Derrick Jones Jr. 4+ rebounds
Projection: 4.64 rebounds
Jones has collected at least five rebounds in three of his first five games, giving this Over support beyond the projection despite Friday's one-board outing. His 4.64-rebound forecast leaves little margin above 4.0, so the recent results support a modest lean without justifying a move to a higher line.
Warriors computer picks
De'Anthony Melton 2+ assists
Projection: 3.07 assists
With Stephen Curry and Draymond Green out, Golden State must replace two regular playmakers, creating a path to more ballhandling work for Melton. He has delivered at least three assists in three of his past four games, and the 3.07-assist projection supports clearing 2.0.
Gui Santos 1+ made threes
Projection: 1.19 made threes
Santos has made a 3-pointer in four of five appearances this season, giving this one-make target support beyond the 1.19 projection. Listed as probable with a knee injury, he could see extra perimeter opportunities with Curry out, but the pick loses its projection advantage if the line rises to 1.5.
Georges Niang 2+ rebounds
Projection: 3.11 rebounds
Niang pulled down five rebounds in fewer than 19 minutes against the Lakers on Friday, and he has collected at least three in four of six appearances this season. He could benefit from more frontcourt work with Draymond Green out, while the model projects 3.11 rebounds against a 2.5 line.
Yaxel Lendeborg 2+ made threes
Projection: 1.73 made threes
Lendeborg has made a 3-pointer in all six appearances, but only two games produced the two makes needed here. Curry's absence could create additional shooting opportunities, and the 1.73 projection supports a measured lean toward Over 1.5 with a relatively small margin.
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