With the series turning back to the Motor City and all knotted up at 2-2, our NBA player prop projections are ready for Game 5 of the Eastern Conference semifinals matchup between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Detroit Pistons, with the model highlighting several high-value spots.
By analyzing the data against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges exist.
These Cavaliers vs. Pistons predictions are driven by numbers instead of guesswork.
If you’re building your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Wednesday, May 13.
Cavaliers vs Pistons computer picks for Game 5
 Cavaliers |
 Pistons |
|---|---|
| Harden o19.5 points -105 |
Cunningham u26.5 points -105 |
| Mitchell o3.5 assists -120 |
Robinson o2.5 3-pointers -140 |
| Mobley o7.5 rebounds -125 |
Duren o9.5 rebounds -125 |
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Cavaliers Game 5 computer picks
James Harden Over 19.5 points (-105)
Projection: 22.11 points
The Detroit Pistons present a favorable matchup, allowing the second-most points per game to opposing starting point guards this season (21.2).
That sets up well for James Harden, who cleared this scoring line in Game 4 and will be counted on to deliver again for the Cleveland Cavaliers in a pivotal Game 5.
Donovan Mitchell Over 3.5 assists (-120)
Projection: 4.46 assists
Fresh off a dominant 43-point showing in Game 4, Donovan Mitchell heads into Game 5 on the road with momentum on his side.
While he’s only surpassed this assists line once — in Cleveland’s Game 3 win — he may need to lean more into his playmaking to keep the offense balanced and avoid carrying the scoring load alone.
Evan Mobley Over 7.5 rebounds (-125)
Projection: 8.57 rebounds
The Cavaliers have been one of the league’s most effective offensive rebounding teams over the last five games on the road, ranking third overall in that span. Evan Mobley has been right in the middle of it, clearing this rebound line in every game of the series except Game 2.
Consistent on the glass throughout Cleveland’s playoff run, Mobley should continue to make his presence felt on the boards and help tilt the possession battle in the Cavaliers’ favor.
Pistons Game 5 computer picks
Cade Cunningham Under 26.5 points (-105)
Projection: 26.25 points
Cade Cunningham has only cleared this points prop once in the series against the Cavaliers, coming in Detroit’s Game 3 loss where he finished with 27 points.
A return home could help him get back closer to his usual scoring output in this matchup, but Cleveland will continue to make him work and try to keep his offensive production in check the same way they have for most of the series.
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Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 3-pointers (-140)
Projection: 3.24 3-pointers
Duncan Robinson has been a steady threat from deep in this series, shooting 50% or better from three-point range throughout.
Back in front of the home crowd, where he’s already posted strong shooting nights — going 5-for-8 in Game 1 and 5-for-9 in Game 2 — he tends to elevate his offensive output. Expect him to lean on that rhythm again and push past this prop line once more for the Pistons faithful.
Jalen Duren Over 9.5 rebounds (-125)
Projection: 11.58 rebounds
The Pistons have been one of the league’s best on the offensive glass over their last 10 games, ranking second with 13.6 offensive rebounds per contest. However, Jalen Duren has struggled to make his usual impact on the road, managing just four rebounds in one game and two in another during the series in Cleveland.
Back in Detroit, he’ll look to reestablish himself on the boards and get back to the dominant presence he’s shown all season, shaking off the recent stretch where the Cavaliers have limited his production.
How to watch Cavaliers vs Pistons Game 5
| Location | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Wednesday, May 13, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Not intended for use in MA.
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