Cavaliers vs Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's Prediction: James Harden keeps cooking.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Feb 25, 2026 • 13:27 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 4 hrs
CLE
44 %
MIL
56 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
James Harden o19.5  Points Scored (-120) James Harden o19.5 Points Scored (-120)
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James Harden Cleveland Cavaliers NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect.

While the Milwaukee Bucks’ season has not gone anywhere near according to plan, the Cleveland Cavaliers have pushed a pile of chips across the table to contend this season. And so far, the James Harden addition is working.

My Cavaliers vs. Bucks predictions and these NBA picks trust Harden to keep cooking on Wednesday, February 25.

Cavaliers vs Bucks prediction

Cavaliers vs Bucks best bet: James Harden Over 19.5 points (-120)

James Harden has cleared this prop in just four of his seven games with the Cleveland Cavaliers, but facing the Milwaukee Bucks should assure a fifth success.

The Bucks’ disastrous defense cannot be entirely ascribed to Giannis Antetokounmpo’s absence; in the month prior to his most recent injury, Milwaukee’s defensive rating ranked No. 24, so falling to No. 25 in the month since is hardly notable.

But against a top-three offense thanks to the addition of Harden, that defense should be a massive liability tonight.

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Cavaliers vs Bucks same-game parlay

Betting on Harden to score but not distribute makes sense, in part because this assists prop is a touch lofty. He has cleared it just three times in seven games with Cleveland. In fact, this exact same-game parlay has cashed three times in those seven games.

Cavaliers vs Bucks SGP

  • James Harden Over 19.5 points
  • James Harden Under 8.5 assists
  • Cavaliers moneyline

Our "from downtown" SGP: Cleveland Cruises

Cleveland’s offensive rating rising to No. 3 in the NBA from No. 5 in the two months prior to Harden’s arrival may seem modest, but jumping to 121.7 in these seven games from 117.3 in the two months beforehand stands out as something that everyone in the NBA should worry about.

Cavaliers vs Bucks SGP

  • James Harden Over 19.5 points
  • James Harden Under 8.5 assists
  • Cavaliers -8.5
  • Over 227.5

Cavaliers vs Bucks odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers -8.5 | Bucks +8.5
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers -340 | Bucks +270
  • Over/Under: Over 227.5 | Under 227.5

Cavaliers vs Bucks betting trend to know

Cleveland is 4-2 against the spread in its last six games. Find more NBA betting trends for Cavaliers vs. Bucks.

How to watch Cavaliers vs Bucks

Location Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Date Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN Ohio, FDSN Wisconsin

Cavaliers vs Bucks latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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