Bucks vs Nets Picks and Predictions: Milwaukee Crushes Brooklyn at Barclays

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Feb 28, 2023 , 03:09 PM ET • 4 min read

Milwaukee comes into this matchup as the hottest team in the NBA, facing a Nets team that's trying to find its identity. Our NBA betting picks believe the Bucks will stay hot and stomp all over Brooklyn on its home court.

Jrue Holiday Milwaukee Bucks NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Bucks have done it again, extending their win streak to 14 after securing another win on Sunday afternoon against the Suns.

On Tuesday night they will travel to face the Brooklyn Nets, who have lost six of their eight and are looking to find their footing in this post-Durant era. The Nets will look to bounce back from a buzzer-beater loss against the Hawks on Sunday, and try their best to maintain their position in the standings.

Can Mikal Bridges and the rest of Brooklyn surprise the visitors and snap their seemingly unbreakable win streak?

Find out in our free NBA picks and predictions for the Bucks vs. Nets on Tuesday, February 28.

Bucks vs Nets best odds

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Bucks vs Nets picks and predictions

Even without Giannis, the Milwaukee Bucks have been able to pile up the wins. The 37.2 points, 12.6 rebounds, and 5.8 assists he averaged in the 11 full games he played during this 14-game win streak have been otherworldly and immensely valuable, but even in his absence, Milwaukee has played like one of the league's best.

That was the case on Sunday afternoon when the Bucks edged out the Suns in a thrilling Finals rematch. Jrue Holiday scored nearly a third of Milwaukee's points and his signature suffocating defense was on full display, while Brook Lopez chipped in 22 points and 13 boards.

Khris Middleton has continued to struggle since his coinciding return on January 23. His sheer counting stats (14.7 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 3.9 apg) have been good given the limited playing time he has received (19.7 mpg) as the Bucks attempt to get him back up to speed, but the efficiency has not been great.

He has shot just 30.6% from three since returning and is at 28.9% on the year. He has finished below 37% just once in his nine full seasons with Milwaukee and has been a 38.9% career 3-point shooter. The Bucks' success despite his struggles is an encouraging sign, because if and when the three-time All-Star finds his stroke, Milwaukee's ceiling is even higher than currently imaginable.

And as it has been for every team in its path for over a month, it's simply too much. Heck, it achieved the first 12 wins of the streak without Bobby Portis and Jae Crowder. As those two settle into their roles and become the most useful versions of themselves, the Bucks' ceiling will continue to rise.

That is a ceiling far too high for the Durant- and Irving-less Brooklyn Nets to keep pace with. Durant last played for the Nets on January 8 and Irving's final game was on February 1. Since their collective absence, Brooklyn has ranked 19th in offensive rating and 27th in defensive rating.

Their 27th-ranked net rating as a result has only been better than the Pistons, Spurs, and Rockets — all teams that are undeniably participating in the Victor Wembayanma sweepstakes.

My best bet: Bucks -6.5 (-109 at WynnBET)

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Bucks vs Nets spread analysis

The Bucks opened as 5.5 road favorites and have moved to -6.5 across the market.

Milwaukee is now 33-23-4 against the spread, good for the second-best cover rate in the league at 58.9%. As an away favorite, it's an even better 10-5-2 (66.7%). Only two teams (Knicks and Wizards) cover at a higher rate in that split, and no team with as many games as the Bucks cover at a rate above 55%.

Milwaukee has covered in six of its last eight and in nine of its last 13. It has had some struggles as larger favorites (seven or more points) but as a favorite of -6.5 or less it has gone 21-9 ATS.

The Nets are 31-28-1 ATS this season, good for a 52.5% cover rate. As home underdogs, they are 5-4 ATS. 

Brooklyn has covered in 11 of its last 16 but has covered just twice in its last five games. As underdogs of 6.5 or more points, it has gone 6-1 ATS.

Bucks vs Nets Over/Under analysis

The total opened at 228.5 but has since moved to as high as 231.5 at some shops. The market as a whole ranges from 230 (PointsBet) to 231.5 (Unibet, Wynn).

The Bucks are 31-29 (51.7%) to the Under this season, around leleague average. However, on the road, Milwaukee is 20-9 to the Under (69.0%), the highest rate of Unders in that split.

Milwaukee has now gone Under the total in seven of its last ten games, and on totals of 230 or more, it has gone 8-7 to the Over.

Brooklyn is 31-28-1 (52.5%) to the Under this year. At home, it has gone 15-14 (51.7%) to the Under, and as home underdogs, it has gone 5-4 to the Over.

Bucks vs Nets betting trend to know

Milwaukee is 21-9 ATS when favored by less than seven points. Find more NBA betting trends for Bucks vs. Nets.

Bucks vs Nets game info

Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Date: Tuesday, February 28, 2023
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: YES, Bally Sports Wisconsin

Bucks vs Nets key injuries

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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