Bucks vs Celtics Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Holiday is Undervalued in Revenge Spot

With Jrue Holiday set to face his former team, Jon Metler expects the Celtics point guard to exploit Damian Lillard's defense in tonight's nationally televised showcase. Read more in our Bucks vs. Celtics betting picks.

Mar 20, 2024 • 15:10 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Damian Lillard and the Milwaukee Bucks will make the trip to TD Garden in Boston to face Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics tonight, and we have you covered with our best bet for this matchup. 

The top two teams in the Eastern Conference will meet on Wednesday, and the Bucks will be missing their best player in the NBA odds, as Giannis Antetokounmpo has been ruled out with a hamstring injury. 

With Antetokounmpo sidelined, find out the NBA player props I'm backing in my free NBA picks for Bucks vs. Celtics on Wednesday, March 20.

Bucks vs Celtics odds

Bucks vs Celtics predictions

With Giannis Antetokounmpo out for the Milwaukee Bucks, the pressure will fall on Damian Lillard even more to run the Bucks' offense. This means that Lillard could see extended minutes, and if Lillard is going to be on the floor for elevated minutes, we should see plenty of Boston Celtics point guard Jrue Holiday as well.

This had me digging into Holiday's props, and I believe we have an edge on the pricing for his points prop. After finishing Under his points prop in his last two games, Holiday's points prop is now trading at 10.5. We usually see Holiday trade more in that 12.5 window, and a drop of two points is pretty significant when the number is already this low.

I mean, let's face it, we also have a massive revenge angle here with Holiday against the Bucks, and you don't think he would love to exploit the defense of Lillard? This isn't why I'm placing the bet, but it doesn't hurt to have this on your side as a bonus when we also see an edge in the numbers.

Holiday is projected to score 12.8 points on Wednesday against the Bucks, which means we can price the Over 10.5 points at -176, but it is available at Pinnacle at -125.

My best bet: Jrue Holiday Over 10.5 points (-125 at Pinnacle)

Bucks vs Celtics same-game parlay

Jrue Holiday Over 10.5 points

Jrue Holiday 2+ made threes

Milwaukee Bucks +10.5

The Bucks won't have Antetokounmpo on the defensive end, but they will still have the rim protection of Brook Lopez anchoring their defense. If Holiday is going to eclipse his points total, he will have to make some shots from downtown.

Let's close out the SGP with Bucks +10.5 because we want as many minutes as possible from the Celtics point guard tonight. If the game is close, the Bucks will leave Lillard in the game in the fourth quarter, which means we should also see plenty of Holiday on the floor.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Bucks vs Celtics spread and Over/Under analysis

⦁  The Celtics opened as a 5.5-point favorite at FanDuel but moved to -10.5 when Antetokounmpo was officially ruled out for Wednesday's game.

⦁  The total opened at 223.5 at DraftKings and is now trading at 224. While the spread has seen a ton of movement following the Antetokounmpo injury news, the total has held close to the opening line.

Bucks vs Celtics betting trend to know

The Bucks have hit the 2Q game total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Bucks vs. Celtics.

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Bucks vs Celtics game info

Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA
Date: Wednesday, March 20, 2024
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

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