Last Updated: Sunday, Aug. 9 at 7:10 p.m. ET.
🏁Iowa Corn 350: Key takeaways
- Race winner: Entering the race with a 9% probability of winning at Kalshi, Ty Gibbs prevailed after 350 laps, grabbing the second victory of his NASCAR Cup Series career.
- Best post-qualifying prediction: Carson Hocevar Top 10 (33%) — Career-year continues for him.
- Best pre-qualifying prediction: Chase Briscoe to win (9%) — can build on strong second half here.
- Best pre-qualifying value: Joey Logano to win (9%) — No. 22 pilot is rounding back into form.
- Best pre-qualifying prop: Bubba Wallace Top 10 (43%) — recent form here and overall is better than it looks.
- Track: Tire management and pit road strategy play outsized roles here.
- Weather: Early-morning thunderstorms could make for a green track.
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Iowa Corn 350 odds: Favorites & full field
Check out the full Iowa Corn 350 qualifying order.
| Driver Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 29% |
| Christopher Bell | 13% |
| Joey Logano | 10% |
| Ty Gibbs | 9% |
| William Byron | 7% |
| Kyle Larson | 7% |
| Denny Hamlin | 5% |
| Tyler Reddick | 5% |
| Carson Hocevar | 3% |
| Chase Briscoe | 3% |
Odds as of 8-9. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.
Iowa Corn 350 predictions (updated Sunday)
- ❌ Top 10: Carson Hocevar (33%)
- ❌ Outright: Joey Logano (9%)
- ❌ Outright: Chase Briscoe (9%)
- ❌ Top 10: Bubba Wallace (43%)
- ❌ Top 10: Shane Van Gisbergen (23%)
Who's hot? Who's not?
- 🔥 Ty Gibbs — Top 10 in four of his last five overall.
- ❄️ Chase Elliott — Only one Top 10 in his last 11 races.
Track breakdown: What wins at Iowa Speedway?
- Drivers will try to get as close to the apron as possible in the turns. Doing so requires some heavy braking, which can take a toll on the tires, so caution must be exercised.
- Fuel conservation will be front-of-mind for crew chiefs this Sunday after a successful fuel-milage gamble won William Byron this race last year.
Key stats & driver profiles to target
- A strong qualifying run has been key to success so far in Iowa. Both Ryan Blaney and William Byron qualified second when they won here.
- Five drivers have finished Top 10 in both Cup Series races at Iowa: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney, and William Byron.
Drivers to watch
- Kyle Larson leads all active drivers in average starting position at Iowa (2.0).
Odds movement & market notes
- Ryan Blaney stamped himself as the driver to beat after winning the pole, going from 16% to 29%.
- Denny Hamlin went from 15% to 5% after qualifying 29th.
Outright picks: Winner predictions
Pick 1: Chase Briscoe to win (9%)
No. 19 is red-hot.
- Track Fit: Top 5 in four of his last five overall.
- Recent Form: Second last year with 81 laps led.
- Market Value: Playable at 11%.
Risk: Has dropped 20 straight short-track starts.
Pick made on Saturday, 8-8.
Pick 2: Joey Logano to win (9%)
Logano is coming on strong in second half.
- Track Fit: Ran sixth and ninth, respectively, in first two tries.
- Recent Form: Has hit the Top 10 in three straight.
- Market Value: Still a play at 11%.
Risk: Has only one win in 2026.
Pick made on Saturday, 8-8.
Best top finish predictions
Pick 1: Bubba Wallace to finish Top 10 (43%)
No. 23 driver getting overlooked.
- Track Fit: Sixth at Iowa in 2025.
- Recent Form: Four Top 10s in last eight overall, 4-for-6 if you omit a road and drafting track.
- Market Value: Playable at 50%.
Risk: Missed the Top 10 in five of last six short-track efforts.
Pick made on Saturday, 8-8.
Pick 2: Shane Van Gisbergen to finish Top 10 (24%)
Can North Wilkesboro form carry over to next short track?
- Track Fit: Poor, but could change on Sunday.
- Recent Form: Followed up a sixth at Atlanta with a Top 5 at NWS.
- Market Value: Play to 33%.
Risk: Historical results outside of road courses have been poor.
Pick made on Saturday, 8-8.
Pick 3: Carson Hocevar to finish Top 10 (33%)
Bargain price on Top 5 driver in points standings.
- Track Fit: Finished eighth here last year.
- Recent Form: Top 10 in two of last three.
- Market Value: Play at 36% or better.
Risk: 18th in average finish at short tracks since 2023.
Pick made on Sunday, 8-9.
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How to watch the Iowa Corn 350
| Location: | Iowa Speedway, Newton, IA |
| Date: | Sunday, August 9, 2026 |
| Start time: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | USA |
Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 Iowa Corn 350.
Iowa Speedway weather
Rain chances are minimal at green-flag time. However, early-morning rain could accelerate tire fall-off in the early going. A high temp of 88F will feel like about 108F on-track.
Previous Iowa Corn 350 winners
| Year | Winner | Manufacturer |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | William Byron | Chevrolet |
| 2024 | Ryan Blaney | Ford |
Iowa Corn 350 FAQs
When is the 2026 Iowa Corn 350?
The Iowa Corn 350 will be held at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, August 9.
Where will the 2026 Iowa Corn 350 be held?
Iowa Speedway in Newton, IA will host the Iowa Corn 350.
Who is the 2026 Iowa Corn 350 favorite?
Ryan Blaney is favored to win the Iowa Corn 350.
Who won the Iowa Corn 350 last year?
William Byron took the checkered flag in last year's edition of this race.
How do Iowa Corn 350 props work?
In addition to outright win markets, there are also markets for drivers to finish in the Top 3 all the way down to the Top 20.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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