The Atlanta Braves will head back home to take on the Houston Astros in Game 3 of the MLB World Series.
Tonight, the Braves will send out Ian Anderson, who has been terrific in the postseason dating back to last year. On the other hand, the Astros will pitch Luis Garcia in hopes that he performs like he did in his last start against the Red Sox, allowing just one hit and one walk with seven strikeouts in 5.1 innings pitched.
Here are our prop bet picks and predictions for the World Series Game 3 between the Braves and Astros.
Astros vs Braves prop picks
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Astros vs Braves Game 3 props
The Braves offense has been boom or bust in the postseason against righties. In the last 30 days, the Atlanta projected lineup has struck out 26.6 percent of the time against righties, however, has also hit 28.9 percent of line drives against righties.
Garcia has struck out 26.5 percent of batters and will get his whiffs, however, he’s had trouble getting lefties out. Against his last 38 lefties, Garcia has allowed a .505 wOBA and ISO of .469. Lefties like Eddie Rosario, Freddie Freeman and Joc Pederson have plenty of potential when it comes to power. That should help hit the Over on this team total.
PICK: Braves Over 3.5 Team Total (-139 at BetRivers)
Eddie Rosario is hitting a .267 ISO and wOBA of .444 in the last 30 days and 49 plate appearances against righties. He’s also struck out just 8.2 percent of the time. He’ll go up against Garcia, who again, has been awful against left-handed hitters, allowing a wOBA of .505 and ISO of .469 in his last 38 plate appearances against lefties.
Knowing Rosario is batting lead-off and will put the ball in play is ideal when taking this total bases prop.
PICK: Eddie Rosario Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120 at DraftKings)
Garcia is getting smacked around for power in the last 30 days, but he’s also striking out just under 27 percent of batters in that same time frame. As stated above, the Braves are boom or bust and will now have Ian Anderson at the plate instead of a designated hitter with Atlanta being the home team.
Garcia might give up a bomb or two and he might get in trouble, but the Braves are striking out over 26 percent of the time against righties in the last 30 days too. I wish this prop was one strikeout lower, but knowing the pitcher’s spot will come up a couple times, I’ll accept this number.
PICK: Luis Garcia Over 4.5 Ks (-108 at FanDuel)
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