World Series Odds 2026: Dodgers Still Favorites Despite Stumble

Sean Tomlinson - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sean Tomlinson • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 5, 2026 , 10:20 AM ET • 4 min read

The Dodgers remain the heavy favorites, though they took a step back in Game 2 of the NLDS. The Rays lead in the AL, and the Yankees aren't far behind.

Kyle Tucker Teoscar Hernandez Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Kyle Tucker celebrates with left fielder Teoscar Hernandez after hitting a two-run home run.

The World Series odds show an unsurprising leader in the Los Angeles Dodgers (29%). However, the mighty two-time defending champs face their first playoff roadblock now after dropping Game 2 of the NLDS to the Atlanta Braves.

The Braves rode the brilliance of their bullpen throughout the entire game. They're now set up nicely too, with Chris Sale squaring off against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in Game 3 on Tuesday.

Elsewhere, the once-surging San Diego Padres face a deep two-game hole, as they dropped Game 2 of their NLDS against the Milwaukee Brewers in heartbreaking fashion after Jackson Chourio hit a walk-off two-run single in the ninth inning.

The Brewers and Dodgers remain far ahead of the chasing pack in the MLB odds.

  • Key Takeaways:
  • Dodgers stumble
  • Brewers cruising
  • Judge still out for Yankees

World Series odds 2026

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds converter.

Team Polymarket
Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 29%
Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 24%
Rays Tampa Bay Rays 14%
Yankees New York Yankees 11%
Braves Atlanta Braves 9%
White Sox Chicago White Sox 7%
Guardians Cleveland Guardians 4%
Padres San Diego Padres 3%

Odds last updated on 10-5. Odds from Polymarket.

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MLB World Series favorite: Dodgers (29%)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are still the favorites, as they have been for much of the season and now into the playoffs. While there are other threats and plenty can go sideways fast in a short series, the Dodgers are still substantially ahead of every team except the Milwaukee Brewers in their percentage chance to win yet another World Series.

However, their chances did take a hit after dropping Game 2 of the NLDS against the Atlanta Braves. It's now the first time in a long while that the Dodgers are sitting below 30%.

A lack of power from Shohei Ohtani can be at least somewhat concerning now. Yes, he's shown in the past that the megastar can flip it on quickly. But multiple ailments, and most recently biceps and knee discomfort, led to an IL stint in September. Those issues are perhaps still lingering, and his second-half OPS of .772 was far lower than Ohtani's .953 during the first half of this season. He has yet to record an extra-base hit this postseason.

But the Dodgers boast plenty of depth. While the team showed its age in some areas this season (Mookie Betts has clearly lost a step offensively, and Kyle Tucker's Hollywood debut hasn't gone according to plan), the Dodgers have so many ways to hurt you, especially in a shortened series.

However, as Dustin Saracini notes in his World Series futures odds, it's tough to find much value in backing the Dodgers since they're so heavily favored.

Teams to watch

Brewers (24%)

The Brewers have now won seven straight games dating back to the end of the regular season. And as was the case throughout the campaign, they've been dominating through pitching. The Brewers finished with the second-best ERA leaguewide, and they've now given up only five runs across the first two games against the San Diego Padres in their NLDS series.

Yankees (11%)

The New York Yankees are an absolute playoff force. They cruised past the Boston Red Sox in laughably dominant fashion, sweeping the series while outscoring their division rivals 18-2 across the two games. Yankees starting pitchers Cam Schlittler and Max Fried combined to pitch 12 1/3 innings with 16 strikeouts.

Incredibly, Ben Rice also went 5-for-9 hitting with two home runs and a double over just the two contests. He's peaking at the right time after posting a 1.055 OPS in September, especially with Aaron Judge expected to miss the entire ALDS.

The Yankees may have dropped Game 1 of their ALDS against the Rays, but they did so only 1-0 to open what's expected to be a tight series.

MLB World Series futures predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers are rightly favored to win the World Series, and you can certainly justify picking them with a rotation that features Tarik Skubal and Yoshinobu Yamamoto at the top, but the value lies elsewhere. 

Bet Odds Bet date Units
Braves Atlanta Braves 8.3% May 11 0.5
Tigers Detroit Tigers 3.85% February 26 0.25

The Atlanta Braves stumbled, but they righted themselves to clinch the NL East.

In the AL, the Detroit Tigers tried to resurrect their season too, at one point winning six straight games in September. But eventually the hole they had dug themselves was too deep, and they'll miss the playoffs despite producing a plus-71 run differential, which sat fourth in the AL. Even if the Skubal trade is good in the long run, it can't wash out the bitter taste of 2026.


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Past World Series winners

Here's a look at the last 10 World Series winners via SportsOddsHistory:

Season Winner Opening odds Runner up
2025 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers +240 Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
2024 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers +350 Yankees New York Yankees
2023 Rangers Texas Rangers +5000 Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
2022 Astros Houston Astros +800 Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
2021 Braves Atlanta Braves +1000 Astros Houston Astros
2020 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers +600 Rays Tampa Bay Rays
2019 Nationals Washington Nationals +1800 Astros Houston Astros
2018 Red Sox Boston Red Sox +1200 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
2017 Astros Houston Astros +1600 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
2016 Cubs Chicago Cubs +1050 Guardians Cleveland Guardians

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Sean Tomlinson - Covers
Betting Analyst

Sean Tomlinson has been navigating the sports media landscape since 2009, officially joining Sportsbook Review in 2021. Over the years, his commentary has been cited by major outlets such as The New York Times and Forbes, and he has regularly discussed his NFL insight as a guest on TSN 1050 and The Fan 590. An active bettor who places wagers on a daily basis, Sean spreads his action across several platforms, consistently favoring FanDuel and bet365 for their user-friendly interfaces. His primary handicapping focus centers on the NFL, MLB, and Formula 1, with a heavy emphasis on locating high-value prop opportunities. Sean maintains a keen interest in political prediction markets too, closely monitoring candidate odds throughout primary runs and general election cycles. He views sports betting as an interactive lens for deeper analysis, applying that exact philosophy to his editorial work. He holds a degree in media studies from the University of Guelph-Humber—a background that previously led to editorial roles at Bleacher Report and theScore.

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