World Series Odds 2026: Rays One Win Away From Meeting Brewers

Sean Tomlinson - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sean Tomlinson • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 19, 2026 , 10:52 AM ET • 4 min read

The Brewers (62%) swept the Dodgers and will have a shot to win their first World Series, and the Rays are on the verge of beating the Guardians and meeting them.

World Series odds Jonathan Aranda Tampa Bay Rays
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Tampa Bay Rays first baseman Jonathan Aranda reacts after hitting a home run.

The Milwaukee Brewers proved their MLB-leading 103 wins were no fluke, as they completed their NLCS sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Brewers are now listed with a 62% probability in the World Series odds, while the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays duke it out in the ALCS. The Rays have been rolling while taking two straight games, and most recently winning Game 5 3-1. They can advance to face the Brewers in the World Series with another win tonight.

Here are the latest MLB odds as the Brewers await their opponent in the 2026 Fall Classic.

  • Key Takeaways:
  • Brewers sweep mighty Dodgers
  • Rays take ALCS lead

World Series odds 2026

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds converter. Odds may differ from the widget to table.

Team Polymarket
Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 62%
Rays Tampa Bay Rays 32%
Guardians Cleveland Guardians 7%

Odds last updated on 10-18. Odds from Polymarket.

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MLB World Series favorite: Brewers (62%)

The Milwaukee Brewers punched their ticket to the World Series for the first time since 1982. That was the only time Milwaukee has played in the Fall Classic (Robin Yount, Paul Molitor, etc.), and despite some good teams, especially in recent seasons, the Brewers have never made it back until now.

The Brewers will get a bit of a layoff, so buckle up for "rust vs. rest" talking points up the wazoo. But their status as favorites is expected, as not only did they vanquish the Los Angeles Dodgers (who had been massive favorites since winning the 2025 World Series), but they won 103 regular-season games.

Jackson Chourio currently leads the World Series MVP odds.

Teams to watch

Rays (32%)

The Tampa Bay Rays, like the Brewers, have never won a World Series. They've played in two (2008, 2020) and have consistently been a successful team despite insanely low payrolls. 

The Rays' offense bounced back significantly in Game 4 of the ALCS, with Jonathan Aranda the loudest contributor while going 3-for-4 at the plate and knocking in two runs. Yandy Diaz also went deep with a key ninth-inning two-run blast. That continued in Game 5, with Aranda recording another two hits and an RBI during a clawing 3-1 win.

The ALCS is now a series with razor-thin margins, but whoever comes out of it will ultimately be perceived as an underdog against Milwaukee. The Rays continue to win those tight games, and their championship odds have risen sharply from 14% to 32% following Game 5.

Guardians (7%)

The Guardians unsurprisingly plunged after dropping Game 5, and the team's descent in the odds is powered further by dropping three of the last four games in the series.

But it's still been a narrow and tight-fought ALCS that can swing back quickly. If the Guardians manage to fight back, they would have arguably as good a story as the Brewers. While Cleveland last reached the World Series in 2016, losing an epic series to the curse-breaking Chicago Cubs, the franchise hasn't won a Fall Classic since 1948.

MLB World Series futures predictions

Neither prediction came to fruition. 

Bet Odds Bet date Units
Braves Atlanta Braves 8.3% May 11 0.5
Tigers Detroit Tigers 3.85% February 26 0.25

The Atlanta Braves stumbled, but they righted themselves to clinch the NL East, but ultimately fell prey to the Dodgers in the NLDS.

In the AL, the Detroit Tigers tried to resurrect their season too, at one point winning six straight games in September. But eventually the hole they had dug themselves was too deep, and they missed the playoffs despite producing a plus-71 run differential, which sat fourth in the AL. Even if the Skubal trade is good in the long run, it can't wash out the bitter taste of 2026.


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Past World Series winners

Here's a look at the last 10 World Series winners via SportsOddsHistory:

Season Winner Opening odds Runner up
2025 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers +240 Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays
2024 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers +350 Yankees New York Yankees
2023 Rangers Texas Rangers +5000 Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
2022 Astros Houston Astros +800 Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
2021 Braves Atlanta Braves +1000 Astros Houston Astros
2020 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers +600 Rays Tampa Bay Rays
2019 Nationals Washington Nationals +1800 Astros Houston Astros
2018 Red Sox Boston Red Sox +1200 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
2017 Astros Houston Astros +1600 Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
2016 Cubs Chicago Cubs +1050 Guardians Cleveland Guardians

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Sean Tomlinson - Covers
Betting Analyst

Sean Tomlinson has been navigating the sports media landscape since 2009, officially joining Sportsbook Review in 2021. Over the years, his commentary has been cited by major outlets such as The New York Times and Forbes, and he has regularly discussed his NFL insight as a guest on TSN 1050 and The Fan 590. An active bettor who places wagers on a daily basis, Sean spreads his action across several platforms, consistently favoring FanDuel and bet365 for their user-friendly interfaces. His primary handicapping focus centers on the NFL, MLB, and Formula 1, with a heavy emphasis on locating high-value prop opportunities. Sean maintains a keen interest in political prediction markets too, closely monitoring candidate odds throughout primary runs and general election cycles. He views sports betting as an interactive lens for deeper analysis, applying that exact philosophy to his editorial work. He holds a degree in media studies from the University of Guelph-Humber—a background that previously led to editorial roles at Bleacher Report and theScore.

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