Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is poised for a breakout tonight with a plus-matchup pitcher in Simeon Woods Richardson on the bump for the Twins.
Find out why my Twins vs. Blue Jays predictions are projecting a big evening from Vladdy, and much more, with my free MLB picks for Friday, April 10.
Twins vs Blue Jays predictions
Twins vs Blue Jays best bet: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (-105)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is due for some positive regression after a slow start to the year.
He’s hitting just .268 with only two XBH. However, under the hood, he’s posting a more impressive .299 xBA with a .500 xSLG this season.
The Toronto Blue Jays slugger may have started his turnaround in his last outing against the Dodgers, where he went 2-for-3 with a double.
Additionally, Vladdy matches up well against Simeon Woods Richardson, resulting in him going 3-for-4 against the Minnesota Twins starter.
Moreover, Woods Richardson has a career ERA of 11.35 against Toronto.
COVERS INTEL: Despite a 2.31 ERA through his first two starts, Wood Richardson's xERA is 3.99, and he ranks in the 37th percentile in xBA.
Twins vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
I’ll continue to fade Woods Richardson in this matchup by taking the Over on his earned runs. He’s allowed five runs in each game against the Jays in his career, giving up five homers and a 1.240 OPS in two outings.
George Springer is starting to turn things around as well with hits and an RBI in back-to-back games. If the Jays pounce on SWR again tonight, he should be in position to drive in another run for a third straight game.
Twins vs Blue Jays SGP
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
- Simeon Woods Richardson Over 2.5 earned runs
- George Springer 1+ RBI
Twins vs Blue Jays home run pick: George Springer (+245)
This is a half unit bet.
Davis Schneider isn’t on the board quite yet, but if he gets a last-minute start tonight, I’d bet on him to take SWR deep. He’s 4-for-5 with three home runs against the Twins starter.
The other Jays hitter I like to go deep tonight would be Springer, who showed signs of a turnaround the other night.
His ability to hit the fastball, paired with the 50% usage on that pitch for SWR, should give Springer an edge to take it deep over the wall.
- Best bets: 3-8, -2.35 units
- SGPs: 1-10, -6.50 units
- HR picks: 2-9, -0.30 units
Twins vs Blue Jays odds
- Moneyline: Twins +118 | Blue Jays -138
- Run line: Twins +1.5 | Blue Jays -1.5
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Twins vs Blue Jays trend
The Blue Jays have covered the F5 run line in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.00 Units / 27% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Twins vs Blue Jays and game info
| Location | Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Friday, April 10, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:07 p.m. ET |
| TV | MNNT, Sportsnet |
| Twins starting pitcher | Simeon Woods Richardson (0-1, 2.31 ERA) |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Patrick Corbin (2025: 7-11, 4.40 ERA) |
Twins vs Blue Jays latest injuries
Twins vs Blue Jays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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