The New York Yankees are -133 home favorites against the Detroit Tigers on Monday night, but my Tigers vs. Yankees predictions are taking the better starter at a plus-money price.
Read on for my free MLB picks for June 29.
Who will win Tigers vs Yankees today: Tigers moneyline (+119)
Despite nearly pulling off a dramatic late comeback last night, it's hard to back the New York Yankees right now.
Their offense is anemic, and the pitching hasn’t been great. I'm backing the Detroit Tigers tonight and would play them to -110.
Casey Mize gives Detroit the pitching edge over Ryan Weathers. Mize’s 3.16 xERA, .225 xBA allowed, and 36.1% hard-hit rate match up well against a Yankees lineup hitting .190 over its last 11 games.
Weathers may generate more swings-and-misses, but his 4.50 xERA, .459 xSLG allowed, and 11.7% barrel rate increase damage risk.
COVERS INTEL: Mize has allowed a .279 expected wOBA, well below the MLB average of .316.
Tigers vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-115)
I’m playing the Under because the Yankees’ season-long run production is not matching their current form.
The Bronx Bombers nearly got no-hit last night in the midst of a sweep by the Red Sox, scoring just nine runs in four games while consistently leaving runners stranded.
Detroit has not been much cleaner, going 3-for-21 with runners in scoring position over its past two games.
Weathers is the risk because he gives up barrels, but Mize can suppress the better offense long enough to keep this game inside 8. My model makes this closer to 7.4 runs.
- ML/RL bets: 31-29, +4.67 units
- Over/Under bets: 37-25, +16.77 units
Tigers vs Yankees weather
The warm, 81-degree weather makes hitting conditions somewhat favorable, but there's little wind to speak of, and it's blowing right-to-left.
Tigers vs Yankees odds
- Moneyline: Tigers +120 | Yankees -133
- Run line: Tigers +1.5 | Yankees -15
- Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8
Tigers vs Yankees trend
The Tigers have hit the F5 moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Yankees.
How to watch Tigers vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Monday, June 29, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | Detroit Sports Network, YES |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Casey Mize (2-5, 2.95 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Ryan Weathers (3-5, 3.95 ERA) |
Tigers vs Yankees latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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