Another night, another trio of MLB same-game parlay predictions for a loaded 15-game slate Tuesday, June 30.
My top MLB picks begin with Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal handing the New York Yankees another loss tonight.
Today's best MLB SGP picks
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Tigers vs Yankees SGP: Detroit motors to another win
The New York Yankees have dropped eight of their past 10 games while striking out at the highest clip in the majors and ranking last in xwOBA.
They’ll face back-to-back Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal on Tuesday, and the Detroit Tigers are heating up at the dish with the sixth-ranked wOBA and xwOBA for the month of June.
I’m anticipating Skubal to cruise tonight, too.
His 2.59 xFIP is below his 2.74 mark across the past two years, and I’m anticipating statistical correction coming to his .287 BABIP and 74.3% strand rate because they’re worse than his .273 and 80.3% marks during his Cy Young campaigns.
I’d recommend this SGP down to +320.
- Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: TBS
See full analysis of this game in our Tigers vs. Yankees predictions.
Nationals vs Red Sox SGP: Washington pulls off Fenway upset
The Washington Nationals pace the majors in wOBA against lefties, and Boston Red Sox southpaw Connelly Early has surrendered the 10th-highest barrel percentage among pitchers with at least 75 innings.
Early is also eyeing statistical correction with his 3.59 ERA well below his 4.72 FIP, in addition to his unsustainably high 85.7% strand rate.
The Boston offense doesn’t move the needle with a 27th-ranked xwOBA in June and the sixth-lowest barrel percentage for the season, either.
Still, I expect Early to pitch well enough to contribute to this total going Under the number, and Nationals righty Cade Cavalli has allowed three runs or fewer in six of his past seven starts with a solid 3.57 xFIP.
This SGP is in play down to +315.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NESN, NATS
Padres vs Cubs SGP: Chicago wins fourth straight
San Diego Padres lefty JP Sears posted an underwhelming 4.87 xFIP and a 12.9% strikeout-to-walk ratio across 58 2/3 innings entering 2026, so I’m anticipating him struggling against the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday.
The North Siders have won nine of 11 while averaging 7.3 runs per game and ranking seventh in wOBA, and they also rank third in wOBA against left-handed pitchers for the season.
Still, this is another inflated total at Wrigley Field, and the teams combined for just five runs in similarly favorable hitting conditions Monday.
Chicago lefty Matthew Boyd is also set up for success in his second start back from knee and shoulder injuries. The Padres are 29th in wOBA against southpaws, and they’re 24th in xwOBA across the past 30 days.
I price the breakeven point of this SGP at +300.
- Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MARQ, SDPA
- SGP picks: 9-27, +4.85 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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