The New York Yankees hold a slim, three-game lead over the Baltimore Orioles, and they can improve on that this afternoon.
Unfortunately for the Bronx Bombers, right-hander Gerrit Cole is set to face Boston, and our Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions expect the Cy Young winner to continue to struggle against the AL East rivals.
Find out more in our MLB picks for Saturday, September 14.
Red Sox vs Yankees prediction
My best bet
Gerrit Cole Under 18.5 outs (-165 at BetMGM)
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
Across his 12-year career, New York Yankees ace Gerrit Cole has been a thorn in the side of many MLB teams. Well, everyone but the Boston Red Sox.
The Yankees righty has seriously struggled against Boston, posting a 7-5 record with a 4.84 ERA, and those issues have continued into this season.
Boston lit up the former Cy Young Award winner for four runs on seven hits across 4 1/3 frames on July 6. Cole got the strikeouts (8) and the Yankees won, but it wasn’t easy.
Cole will likely rack up his Ks as the Red Sox whiff quite a bit against righties (25%), but the aging righty hasn’t cleared 18.5 outs even once this season.
Cole’s Under 18.5 outs prop is juicy, and it’s worth a shot today.
Aaron Judge pick: All Rise
My best bet
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases (+125 at bet365)
My analysis
Yankees slugger Aaron Judge is beginning to get hot again.
He cracked a grand slam last night to end the longest home run drought of his career and enters today’s matchup riding a three-game hitting streak.
Judge leads the majors in home runs (52) and RBI (130). Judge has also belted a 15th-best 34 doubles and is now set to face Brayan Bello, who owns a measly .314 BABIP against right-handed batters.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox bullpen owns the 29th-worst ERA across the past two weeks and the fifth-highest ERA (4.61) for the season.
Judge is hot, the Red Sox pitching is not, and I like the Yanks captain to clear 1.5 total bases today.
Red Sox vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)
Aaron Judge 2+ total bases
Rafael Devers 2+ total bases
DraftKings won’t allow us to correlate pitching outs, but I found a nice SGP that ties in our Judge bet.
Over his career against Cole, Rafael Devers is 14-41 (.353) with eight bombs and 19 RBI. He went yard on the Yankees right-hander in July and has cleared his total bases prop in three of his past 10.
Additionally, the New York bullpen hasn’t fared any better than Boston’s stoppers have. The Yankees' .290 BABIP and 4.86 ERA across the past two weeks are sketchy, and I like Dever’s chances of inflicting damage today.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Red Sox vs Yankees odds
Red Sox vs Yankees live odds
Red Sox vs Yankees opening odds
- Moneyline: Boston +160 | New York -190
- Run line: Boston +1.5 (-130) | New York -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+100) | Under 8.5 (-120)
Red Sox vs Yankees moneyline and Over/Under analysis
- Boston has dropped four of its last 10, but 12% of the bets and 1% of the money at DraftKings is on the Red Sox (+160).
- New York has won six of its last 10 and FanDuel is reporting 88% of the wagers and 99% of the money is on the Yankees (-190).
- Over/Under markets are reporting 8.5 runs. Caesars claims 76% of the bets and 85% of the cash is on Over 8.5 (+100), while BetMGM reports 24% of their customers betting Under 8.5 (-115).
Red Sox vs Yankees trend
Cole has failed to clear 18.5 outs in his previous 14 starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Yankees.
Red Sox vs Yankees game info
| Location: | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date: | Saturday, 9-14-2024 |
| First pitch: | 1:05 p.m. ET |
| TV: | MLBN |
| Red Sox starting pitcher: | Brayan Bello (13-7, 4.70 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher: | Gerrit Cole (6-4, 3.36 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Yankees latest injuries
Red Sox vs Yankees weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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