The Pittsburgh Pirates are hoping to avoid a series sweep when they host the Texas Rangers in Game 3 of their three-game series.
Texas outfielder Adolis Garcia is heating up, and my Rangers vs. Pirates prediction expects more from his hot bat this afternoon.
Rangers vs Pirates prediction
My Rangers vs Pirates best bet: Adolis Garcia Over 1.5 total bases (+125 at Caesars)
Texas Rangers outfielder Adolis Garcia is swinging a hot bat with one bomb and four doubles across his past 24 at-bats.
Pirates starter Bailey Falter isn’t overpowering. He’s surrendered three earned runs and a pair of bombs in his last start and three home runs and eight earned runs across his previous 14 frames on the bump.
Righties are pulling nearly 50% of Falters' offerings, and with the wind blowing out to left-center, Garcia’s 37% pull rate and vastly improved launch angle (20.4°) against lefties could clear 2+ total bases with one swing.
If Garcia doesn’t reach 2+ total bases against Falter, the Pirates' bullpen has served up seven bombs with a .388 SIERRA over the previous 30 days.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Rangers vs Pirates same-game parlay (SGP)
Adolis Garcia Over 1.5 total bases
Corey Seager Over 1.5 total bases
Jake Leiter Over 3.5 strikeouts
In addition to my Garcia best bet, Corey Seager is also heating up, and Rangers starter Jack Leiter should whiff at least four Pirates.
Lefty bats boast a .310 BABIP with a couple of home runs off Falter, and we’ve already noted Pittsburgh's bullpen woes.
Seager has hit safely in both games of this series and has cleared 2+ total bases twice in his previous five. He’s also 2-for-3 against Falter, and his .268 overall BABIP suggests more hits against the Pittsburgh starter and the rest of this Pirates staff.
Despite allowing 10 earned runs, Leiter also fanned seven across the last 9 2/3 frames. He’s struck out 4+ in three of four starts and faces a Pirates lineup with a 23% strikeout rate in the previous 14 days.
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Rangers vs Pirates odds
Rangers vs Pirates live odds
Rangers vs Pirates opening odds
- Moneyline: Texas -110 | Pittsburgh -110
- Run line: Texas -1.5 (+164) | Pittsburgh +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
Rangers vs Pirates trend
The Pirates have cashed their team total Under in 50 of their last 77 games (+20.65 units / 23% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Pirates.
How to watch Rangers vs Pirates and game info
| Location | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA |
| Date | Sunday, 6-22-2025 |
| First pitch | 1:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB Network |
| Rangers starting pitcher | Jack Leiter (4-4, 4.40 ERA) |
| Pirates starting pitcher | Bailey Falter (5-3, 3.49 ERA) |
Rangers vs Pirates latest injuries
Rangers vs Pirates weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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