Today’s MLB Prop Bets, Picks and Predictions: Starting Pitching Should Prevail Today

Pitching is the theme of our MLB prop bets for today, highlighted by Julio Urias getting a rematch against Logan Webb, plus St. Louis and Cleveland sending tough righties to the mound and Kenta Maeda finally finding his groove.

Posted: Jul 27, 2021 12:17 PM ET Updated: Jul 27, 2021 12:17 PM ET Est Time: 4 min
Julio Urias Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The MLB baseball betting board is chock-full of juicy prop bets today — including what looks like an overlooked pitcher's duel in Cleveland.

But the star attraction of the night is the Los Angeles Dodgers visiting the San Francisco Giants, as arguably the two best teams in baseball continue to duke it out for supremacy in the National League (West). And that intensity should give us some value on the game’s five-inning total prop.

We break down and pick these games and more with our best free MLB prop bets and predictions for Tuesday, July 27

Today’s MLB props and picks

St. Louis-Cleveland Under 5.5 Five-Inning Total (-125)

The number jumped right off the board this morning when you consider the pitching matchup and the teams involved, as Adam Wainwright and the St. Louis Cardinals visit Cal Quantrill and the Cleveland soon-to-be-Guardians (yup, get used to that). 

The veteran Wainwright has still got it. The right-hander is pitching to a 3.56 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP this season and has allowed three earned runs or fewer eight times in nine starts since the beginning of June. He is also limiting opponents to a .220 batting average over that span.

Tuesday, he faces a Cleveland lineup that doesn’t handle right-handers all that well, ranking 23rd in batting average and 19th in OPS against them this season. But guess what? The Cardinals are just as bad when it comes to hitting righties, ranking 21st in batting average and 22nd in OPS.

St. Louis will face Quantrill, who has pitched fairly well since joining the Cleveland rotation in the middle of June, as the righty owns a 3.22 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over his last four starts. This five-inning total is just a tad too high with each teams’ righty-hitting deficiencies. 

Kenta Maeda Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+125)

Maybe Minnesota Twins starter Kenta Maeda just likes the warmer summer months?

After a rough start to the season, the right-hander has looked much more like the guy who finished second in the American League Cy Young voting last season (To be fair, it has been a rough season all around for the Twins). And Maeda will look to stay hot as the Twins host the Detroit Tigers.

The veteran chucker is pitching to a 2.35 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, and limiting opponents to a .173 batting average in four starts since the beginning of July. But maybe most impressive is the fact that his strikeouts are way up — Maeda has 31 punchouts in his last 23 innings and has recorded six or more Ks in all four of those July starts.

He’ll get a great chance to keep racking up the punchouts against Detroit today, as the Tigers rank 27th in strikeouts per game... and no one whiffs more on the road than the Tigers, where they get rung up 10.38 times per contest.

With Maeda already recording 21 Ks in 16 innings against the Tigers this season, you have to like the value for him to go Over this number today.

Dodgers-Giants Under 4.5 Five-Inning Total (-120)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Francisco Giants begin what should be another exhilarating series as the two best teams in the National League West, and arguably baseball, do battle by The Bay.

With Julio Urias toeing the rubber against Logan Webb, the opener of this three-game set will be a rematch of a game back on July 21, in which the Giants edged the Dodgers for a 4-2 victory.

Urias pitched an excellent game despite the loss, hurling seven innings of three-hit, one-run ball. Webb lasted just five innings, allowing two runs on three hits, but was able to hand the ball to the excellent Giants’ bullpen.

This game could feature more of the same.

Urias has been Mr. Consistent for the Dodgers, pitching at least into the sixth inning and allowing three earned runs or fewer in 15 of his 20 starts. And the lefty is in a groove right now, pitching to a 2.61 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last five starts. He faces a solid Giants lineup, but they haven’t been as strong against lefties, ranking 18th in average and 14th in OPS.

Webb, on the other hand, has a 2.25 ERA and is limiting opponents to a .200 batting average in three starts since his return from the IL. He has also allowed just three earned runs on four hits in 10 innings against the Dodgers this season. 

With the intensity set to be high for this one, bet on pitching to be the story early.

MLB betting card for July 27

  • STL-CLE Under 5.5 Five-Inning Total (-125)
  • Kenta Maeda Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+125)
  • LAD-SF Under 4.5 Five-Inning Total (-120)

Picks made on 7/27/2021 at 11:49 a.m. ET

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB prop picks, you could win $64.25 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on MLB props?

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