Dodgers vs Giants Picks and Predictions: MLB-Best SFG Have Great Value as Home Dog

The Giants, at home and in first place in the NL West, are underdogs against L.A. for the 14th time this season. After taking three of four from the Dodgers last week, find out if we like San Francisco at plus money again for the series opener.

Posted: Jul 26, 2021 8:30 PM ET Updated: Jul 26, 2021 8:30 PM ET Est Time: 4 min
Logan Webb San Francisco Giants MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers are back at it Tuesday, less than a week after wrapping up a four-game set. 

San Francisco, which carries a two-game NL West lead into the series, took three of four contests from the Dodgers in L.A. Despite that, the Giants opened as +120 home underdogs in a matchup that features Logan Webb and Julio Urias. 

Find out who we like with our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Dodgers vs. Giants on July 27.

Dodgers vs Giants game info

Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Date: Tuesday, July 27, 2021
Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
TV: NBCS BA, SportsNet LA

Dodgers vs Giants odds

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Dodgers vs Giants betting preview

Starting pitchers

Julio Urias (12-3, 3.63 ERA): The Dodgers spoiled a strong effort from Urias in his last start, which came against the Giants, as the lefty worked seven innings of one-run ball and held San Francisco to three hits in the L.A. loss. It was a nice bounce-back outing for him after a shaky start at Coors Field and lowered his ERA in July to a pristine 2.45. He's been a dependable arm for Los Angeles and sports a career-best 5.1 strikeout-to-walk rate.

Logan Webb (4-3, 3.54 ERA): Webb is already at a career high for innings at 61 and is enjoying his best season to date. The righty has shaved his ERA by two runs from last year, has better peripherals, and has upped his strikeout rate considerably. He's made three starts since missing all of June with a shoulder injury and has progressed one inning and 15 pitches each outing, reaching five frames on 75 pitches his last time out.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Dodgers: Mookie Betts OF (Out), Corey Seager SS (Out), Gavin Lux SS (Out), Cody Bellinger OF (Questionable), Joe Kelly RP (Questionable).
Giants: Brandon Crawford SS (Out), Brandon Belt 1B (Out), Evan Longoria 3B (Out), Tommy La Stella 2B (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 4-0 in Webb's last four home starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Giants.

Moneyline pick

Oddsmakers have shied away from favoring the Giants over the defending champion Dodgers this season, with Tuesday's series opener marking the 14th time San Francisco has been the underdog versus Los Angeles, which opened as -130 favorite. That's been every time the NL West rivals have met. 

The Giants are in a familiar spot Tuesday after helping backers cash in on them three separate times last week at plus money. One of those games came during the exact same pitching matchup that will kick off this series. 

While Urias pitched a better game than Webb in that contest, it was the latter's team that came away with a victory. That marked the sixth consecutive start that Webb allowed two runs or fewer. While he didn't go deep in all of them, it was the second time he did so against the Dodgers. 

The Giants have won each of those six games and are 9-3 in the right-hander's 12 starts. Los Angeles typically wins when Urias pitches, too, going 15-5 across his 20 outings, with the loss against Webb and the Giants being just the second time it has dropped a game started by Urias since the beginning of June.

San Francisco, which has been holding on to a small first-place lead, continues to fly under the radar despite allowing the fewest runs in baseball and having the third-best run differential behind only the Dodgers and Houston Astros — the two teams with the best odds to win the World Series.

While not many would dispute the Dodgers are the more formidable club, the Giants are for real and have been the best money-making team in the NL for bettors this season. And though they are dealing with their own rash of injuries, they will catch the Dodgers without Mookie Betts and Corey Seager, and possibly Cody Bellinger. 

At plus money once again, they are worth a play on the ML.

PREDICTION: San Francisco (+120)

Over/Under pick

Both teams can hit but they can also pitch, making this 8.0 total a tricky number. 

On one hand, the Over is 7-5-1 in their 13 head-to-head meetings and has cashed in an MLB-best 72.2 percent of Urias' starts this season.

On the flip side, both teams are missing big bats and Webb (1.64 home ERA) and Urias have been throwing very well and have strong bullpens to back them up. As a result, it would be a surprise to see both teams go off offensively in this game. 

Urias got blasted once against the Giants this season but has held them to three runs combined the other two times he faced them. Behind him is a Dodgers bullpen that has the majors' third-best ERA over the last month with the highest K/9 rate in the NL. 

San Francisco relievers, meanwhile, have the No. 3 bullpen ERA on the season and issue the fewest amount of free passes. Only one of their Top 6 most-used relievers has an ERA over 3.00, and just barely, with Jose Alvarez sporting a mark of 3.03 (and it's 1.42 since June 1). This is a really good group that can protect Webb if he doesn't go deep, something he hasn't done in his three starts since returning from the injured list. 

In a tough divisional game in San Francisco's non-hitter-friendly park that's one of the toughest to launch homers in, we think good pitching will prevail and keep this score down. 

PREDICTION: Under 8.0 (+100)

Dodgers vs Giants betting card

  • San Francisco (+120)
  • Under 8.0 (+100)

Picks made on 7/26/2021 at 5:50 p.m. ET

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