Phillies vs Orioles Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Today's MLB Game

Taijuan Walker has a small strikeout line of 3.5 today, and our MLB picks think he'll have more than enough Ks to eclipse that total.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Jun 15, 2024 • 13:08 ET • 4 min read
Taijuan Walker Philadelphia Phillies MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies got back on track Friday night with a 5-3 victory in extra innings over the Baltimore Orioles. 

Taijuan Walker takes the mound for Philly, and my Phillies vs. Orioles predictions expect him to eclipse his K total against the O's. Find out why in my MLB picks for this June 15 matchup.

Phillies vs Orioles prediction

My best bet
Taijuan Walker Over 3.5 strikeouts (-135 at BetMGM)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis
Taijuan Walker started the season on the injured list and has had his share of ups and downs since then. There have been some questions about what the Philadelphia Phillies should do with the veteran RHP, but he’s stuck around in the rotation as the fifth starter.

There is one area in which Walker has been fairly consistent, though, and that’s strikeouts. Walker has racked up 36 Ks in 43 1/3 innings across eight starts this season. That’s not a ton, but his strikeout line is also set at a low 3.5 for this afternoon’s game.

The Baltimore Orioles strike out 8.16 times per game, which is in the better half of the league. However, they were punched out 11 times on Friday night and the low line of 3.5 does give us some wiggle room here.

Walker has gone Over 3.5 strikeouts in seven of his eight starts this season. The one Under 3.5 performance came on May 16 against the Mets, his former team, in which he left the start early due to injury. Outside of that, Walker has punched out four or more in three starts, five in two, and one start each of six and seven Ks.

Last season, Walker went Over 3.5 strikeouts in 20 of his 31 starts, including at least five strikeouts in 15 — and six plus in 10. This could be a ladder opportunity if that’s up your alley.

Phillies vs Orioles same-game parlay (SGP)

Taijuan Walker 4+ strikeouts

Walker 5+ hits allowed

Kyle Schwarber to get a hit

While Walker does get a handful of strikeouts each game, he also gets knocked around. He’s allowed at least five hits in six of his eight starts, including all three on the road. In fact, he’s allowed over eight hits in each of his three outings away from home.

I'm also going back to the Kyle Schwarber well here. He hit a leadoff HR on Friday night as one of his two hits in the game to extend his hitting streak to seven games.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Phillies vs Orioles odds

Phillies vs Orioles live odds

Phillies vs Orioles opening odds

  • Run line: Philadelphia +1.5 (-140) | Baltimore -1.5 (+120)
  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +140 | Baltimore -165
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (+105) | Under 9 (-125)

Phillies vs Orioles spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Philadelphia Phillies odds opened around +155 and are at +150 across the board as of Saturday morning.
  • The Baltimore Orioles are between -178 and -185 favorites this afternoon.
  • The total is set at 8.5, with the Under slightly favored at most books.

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Phillies vs Orioles trend

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the team total Over in 37 of their last 52 games (+19.30 Units / 30% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Orioles

Phillies vs Orioles game info

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date: Saturday, 6-15-2024
First pitch: 4:05 p.m. ET
Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
(3-1, 5.40 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
(7-2, 3.27 ERA)

Phillies vs Orioles latest injuries

Phillies vs Orioles weather

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