The Mets play their second game since changing managers on Friday against the Phillies, a team whose season turned around after a similar move earlier in the season.
The Mets have lost seven straight and yet are somehow favored.
My Phillies vs. Mets predictions and MLB picks take the Phillies as an unlikely but potentially profitable underdog.
Who will win Phillies vs Mets today: Philies moneyline (+116)
It's not unusual for teams to rally after a managerial change, but the New York Mets being favored seems like a gift.
The Philadelphia Phillies have won four straight and six of seven, while New York hasn't won since June 18. They'll win eventually, but getting a plus moneyline for the Phils is a no-brainer.
The Mets start Christian Scott in his first game off the injured list. Scott's offspeed and breaking stuff are both in the bottom third in MLB.
He'll rely on his fastball against Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, who are both among the top 20 fastball hitters in MLB.
COVERS INTEL: Alan Rangel doesn't have enough innings to qualify, but his hard-hit rate, barrel rate and exit velocity allowed would all be in the top 10% in MLB. Batters have a 44% whiff rate against his changeup.
Phillies vs Mets Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+106)
New York had Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto both in the lineup for just the 10th time this season and still only managed one run, the fifth time in their losing streak they've scored three or fewer. They're 29th in MLB in OPS.
The Phillies start journeyman Alan Rangel, who looked strong in two bullpen outings and was an effective starter in Triple-A. His stuff isn't overwhelming, but he avoids solid contact.
Philly also has the bullpen ready after only needing them for two innings and 28 pitches on Friday. They have a 2.39 ERA and 0.79 WHIP over the last three.
- ML/RL bets: 24-28, -1.15 units
- Over/Under bets: 29-27, +1.04 units
Phillies vs Mets weather
Notes on the weather and its impact.
Phillies vs Mets odds
- Moneyline: Phillies +117 | Mets -122
- Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-170) | Mets +1.5 (+163)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (+113)
Phillies vs Mets trend
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Mets.
How to watch Phillies vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Flushing, Queens |
| Date | Saturday, June 27, 2026 |
| First pitch | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSP, SNY |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Alan Rangel (0-0, 2.25 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | Christian Scott (2-0, 3.10 ERA) |
Phillies vs Mets latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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