MLB Home Run Props, Picks & Odds Today for May 15: Garcia Takes Flight in AL West Rivalry

Boasting strong splits against Hunter Brown and the Houston Astros, we expect Adolis Garcia to go deep in tonight’s Battle of Texas.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
May 15, 2025 • 11:55 ET • 4 min read
Adolis Garcia Texas Rangers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Texas Rangers right fielder Adolis Garcia (53).

Adolis Garcia has always fared well against Hunter Brown, and my MLB player props dive into why the Texas Rangers star could go yard tonight.

Gunnar Henderson and Shohei Ohtani will also be included in my MLB picks for Thursday, May 15.

Best MLB home run props today

  • Orioles Gunnar Henderson (+360)
  • Dodgers Shohei Ohtani (+155)
  • Rangers Adolis Garcia (+500)

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HR picks for May 15

Gunnar Henderson (+360 at DraftKings)

Gunnar Henderson’s season started a little bit late due to injury, but he’s finally found his footing. The Baltimore Orioles slugger is batting .275 with six homers in 34 contests. He went deep 37 times last year, and it’s very clear that Henderson is one of the best power hitters in the Majors.

The shortstop has three long balls in his last five games, and in four of those contests, he had two hits. Today’s matchup plays in his favor: the Orioles will face Minnesota Twins right-hander Chris Paddack, who has given up seven home runs already in 2025.

Henderson is 3-for-4 lifetime against the right-hander with a homer, and he could leave the ballpark again this afternoon.

Shohei Ohtani (+155 at DraftKings)

There are only two players in the MLB who have daily home run odds below +200 — Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani

When it comes to Ohtani, he ranks fourth in the MLB in homers with 13. The Los Angeles Dodgers superstar went deep on Wednesday against the Athletics and boasts five dingers in his last nine appearances.

The Japanese phenom is always a threat to put one in the bleachers, and he’s smacked six of his home runs at Dodger Stadium. LA hosts the A’s again tonight. 

Although Ohtani is 0-for-4 lifetime against A's starter Osvaldo Bido, I’ll still ride this bet given how hot he's been.

Adolis Garcia (+500 at DraftKings)

Adolis Garcia has insane power when he connects.

The Texas Rangers outfielder has six long balls to his name this season and went deep on Wednesday in the series finale against the Colorado Rockies. Tonight, Garcia will face Houston Astros stud Hunter Brown.

Despite Brown's recent dominance, Garcia has had a lot of success against him. He’s 5-for-15 lifetime with a pair of home runs, and the right-handed power hitter also has 13 bombs in 60 games versus Houston.

  1. Elly De La Cruz Reds (+425)
  2. Gunnar Henderson Orioles (+350)
  3. James Wood Nationals (+450)
  4. Byron Buxton Twins (+290)

Betting info courtesy of BetMGM

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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications. He's currently a senior editor at ClutchPoints and has published work for numerous betting websites in the past. 

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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