Game 3 of the ALDS takes place tonight between the Cleveland Guardians and the Chicago White Sox, and I've identified my best Guardians vs. White Sox props.
I'm targeting Jo Adell to continue his success against lefties, while Chase Meidroth stays hot offensively. I'll close out my picks with Munetaka Murakami, who's tearing the cover off the baseball in the playoffs.
Find out more in my MLB picks for Wednesday, Oct. 7.
Best Guardians vs White Sox props
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
 Jo Adell Over 1.5 total bases |
40% |
 Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 hits |
27% |
| Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 hits |
53% |
Prop pick #1: Jo Adell Over 1.5 total bases
Play up to 45%.
Jo Adell was inches away from tying Game 2, settling for a long RBI triple off the wall on Monday night.
While that was his first postseason hit, the Cleveland Guardians slugger has cashed the Over 1.5 total bases in three of his last five contests dating back to the regular season. Adell also crushed left-handed pitching this year, batting .320 with a .599 slugging percentage and 14 home runs in 172 at-bats.
He'll face Chicago White Sox southpaw Sean Newcomb tonight, whose underlying numbers deteriorated down the stretch. Newcomb posted a 7.93 FIP over his final six regular-season appearances, five of which came in relief.
Adell also finished the regular season with a 59.5% hard-hit rate over the last week. With one extra-base hit enough to cash this prop, I like Adell to stay on the ball against Newcomb.
Prop pick #2: Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 hits
Confidently play this up to 35%.
Chase Meidroth has been swinging a hot bat for the White Sox this postseason. Through four games, he's hitting .400 after going 6-for-15 and has cashed the Over on his hits prop in three of those four appearances.
Cleveland appears set to deploy a bullpen game tonight, with Daniel Espino serving as the opener. That makes this less of a traditional starter matchup and puts even more emphasis on Meidroth's current form at the plate.
Meidroth has also posted a 33.3% line-drive rate in the playoffs, further highlighting the quality of contact he's making. Given how consistently he's been finding hits during Chicago's postseason run, I like his chances of recording another pair.
Prop pick #3: Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 hits
Play up to 58%.
I like the value at this price for Munetaka Murakami to record just one hit. He's cashed the Over in four of his last five contests dating back to late September and already has three hits in the first two games of the ALDS.
The underlying metrics have been encouraging, too. Through four postseason games, Murakami owns a 55.6% hard-hit rate and has continued to make authoritative contact after finishing the regular season on a strong note.
Cleveland is using Espino as an opener, meaning Murakami should see several different arms in what figures to be a bullpen game. With Murakami swinging the bat well and needing just one knock to cash, I like his chances of getting there.
Nick Galaida also likes Murakami to go yard in his Guardians vs. White Sox predictions.
- Prop picks: 24-24, -2.79
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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