Giants vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: May 11, 2026 , 12:19 PM ET • 4 min read

Mookie Betts restores balance to the Dodgers' lineup en route to a big L.A. win over the Giants.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
SF
33 %
LAD
67 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
LA Dodgers -177 LA Dodgers -177
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Mookie Betts Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Mookie Betts (50) at bat against the Washington Nationals.

The Los Angeles Dodgers’ struggling offense will get a spark this week as the rival San Francisco Giants come to town.

Mookie Betts, who has been out since April 4 with a strained oblique, is scheduled to come off the injured list and be in the No. 2 or 3 spot in the lineup. 

My Giants vs Dodgers predictions and MLB picks have the Dodgers getting a home win with Mookie back in the fold on Monday, May 11.

Who will win Giants vs Dodgers today: Dodgers moneyline (-177)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have missed Mookie Betts’ presence near the top of the order.

Shohei Ohtani is hitting .241, had more strikeouts (four) than hits (two) in the last series, and has one homer in the last 22 games. The top half of the lineup has struggled, and Betts allows everyone to return to their usual spot in the order.

The San Francisco Giants took two of three from L.A. last month but are 5-10 since. They traded MLB’s top defensive catcher in what looks like a restart. The lineup has scored fewer than two runs four times in the last nine games.

Covers COVERS INTEL: With Betts out, Freddie Freeman had a 58 OPS+ (100 is league average) in the No. 2 spot. Kyle Tucker had a 73 OPS+ in that spot. Will Smith can also move out of the three hole, where he was at 86.

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Giants vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (+100)

In addition to Betts’ return, the Dodgers’ offense will get a boost from playing the fourth-place Giants.

They’ll face Giants rookie starter Trevor McDonald, making just his sixth major-league start. He relies heavily on a slider, which plays into the Dodgers' hands. Freeman, Ohtani, and Teoscar Hernandez all have a hard-hit rate over 60% against that pitch.

The Dodgers start Roki Sasaki, who has struggled with control (27th percentile walk rate) and hard contact (12th percentile in barrel rate and 23rd in hard-hit rate) this year. The Giants scored 15 runs in the last three games and are getting hot just as they face the struggling Sasaki.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 12-13, -0.26 units
  • Over/Under bets: 14-15, -1.83 units

Giants vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: Giants +163 | Dodgers -170
  • Run line: Giants +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+100) | Under 9.5 (-120)

Giants vs Dodgers trend

The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 25 away games (-9.05 Units / -34% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Giants vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Monday, May 11, 2026
First pitch 10:10 p.m. ET
TV NBC Sports Bay Area, SportsNet LA
Giants starting pitcher Trevor McDonald
(1-1, 1.29 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Roki Sasaki
(1-3, 5.97 ERA)

Giants vs Dodgers latest injuries

Giants vs Dodgers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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