Undervalued underdogs highlight our favorite MLB picks for Wednesday's schedule, as our baseball experts have found two moneyline plays that show a ton of value at Polymarket.
See why you should tail our baseball experts in backing the ChiSox and Brew Crew... as well as an Under in Jays/Yankees in a showdown between two aces.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| +133 | |
| +104 | |
| -133 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: White Sox moneyline
Price: 43¢ (+133) at Polymarket
The Chicago White Sox project as one of the best moneyline values on the board today at +133, with a fair price closer to -102. Years of losing have softened the market on Chicago, but THE BAT is extremely high on them in this spot. They grinded out a 2-1 win last night in Seattle, behind a combined one-hitter, and could catch a Mariners team looking ahead — Seattle has to pack up after a two-series homestand and travel to Kansas City for tomorrow, while the White Sox stay on the road and remain on the West Coast.
It’s a favorable schedule spot for Chicago, and Seattle could also be forced to navigate without its closer and setup man after both worked on back-to-back days.
Jon Metler's expert pick: Brewers moneyline
Price: 49¢ (+104) at Polymarket
The Milwaukee Brewers are trading as 49-cent underdogs in their NL Central matchup against the Chicago Cubs, but I make Milwaukee closer to 54-cent favorites in this spot.
Edward Cabrera draws a difficult matchup against a Brewers lineup that can stack as many as seven left-handed bats. That’s significant because Cabrera’s curveball loses some of its effectiveness against lefties, as it breaks into their barrels instead of away from them, but the bigger concern is command: Cabrera has always battled inconsistency in the strike zone, and this matchup could make him even more hesitant to attack hitters aggressively.
That’s dangerous against Milwaukee because the Brewers can pressure pitchers in multiple ways. They have speed throughout the lineup and can force mistakes on the bases, and Cabrera has historically been slow to the plate. If he starts handing out free passes, Milwaukee has the profile to capitalize quickly.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Blue Jays/Yankees Under 8.5
Price: 57¢ (-133) at Polymarket
Everything points toward a low-scoring game tonight between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees. Both teams send dominant starters to the mound, with Cam Schlittler being the early AL Cy Young favorite after allowing one earned run or fewer in eight of his 10 starts this season, while Trey Yesavage has been nearly as sharp, bringing a 1.40 ERA into the matchup.
In 14 combined starts for Schlittler and Yesavage, only four have gone Over the game total. Both offenses have also struggled badly against right-handed pitching lately, ranking a surprising 26th and 28th in OPS over the last two weeks.
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Guardians ML | -117 |
| Read analysis in our Guardians vs. Tigers predictions | |
| Royals ML | -118 |
| Read analysis in our Red Sox vs. Royals predictions | |
| Diamondbacks ML | -127 |
| Read analysis in our Giants vs. Diamondbacks predictions | |
| Reds ML | +127 |
| Read analysis in our Reds vs. Phillies predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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