The Los Angeles Dodgers are huge home favorites over the Milwaukee Brewers ahead of the 8 p.m. ET first pitch at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday, Oct. 14.
Here are a trio of Brewers vs. Dodgers prop picks to cover you for the pivotal Game 3, with L.A. starter Blake Snell and outfielder Teoscar Hernandez headlining my card of MLB picks.
Best Brewers vs Dodgers props
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| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
 Robert Gasser Over 1.5 earned runs |
56% |
 Teoscar Hernandez Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI |
52% |
| Blake Snell Over 14.5 outs |
63% |
Prop pick #1: Robert Gasser Over 1.5 earned runs
While Milwaukee Brewers lefty Robert Gasser shined down the stretch with a 1.67 ERA across his final five starts, his underlying 4.27 xERA and 4.26 xFIP are far more telling.
I’m anticipating Gasser will have his hands full in Game 3 after the Los Angeles Dodgers finished fifth in wOBA and fourth in ISO against lefties during the regular season.
Additionally, the Dodgers have hit Gasser hard with a .447 wOBA and .355 ISO, while the southpaw sports a career 4.47 xERA and 4.71 xFIP against Los Angeles.
I'd recommend this Over to 58%.
Prop pick #2: Teoscar Hernandez Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Dodgers outfielder Teoscar Hernandez paced the club with a .390 wOBA against lefties during the regular season and sports a .439 xISO against Gasser.
Hernandez has also filled out the box score during the postseason with five hits, three runs, and three RBI across six games while hitting in the heart of the Los Angeles lineup.
This Over is in play to 56%.
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Prop pick #3: Blake Snell Over 14.5 outs
Prior to Dodgers lefty Blake Snell’s three consecutive poor postseason starts, he posted a high-end 3.31 xERA and 3.24 xFIP across 69 2/3 playoff innings while holding opponents to a .251 wOBA and .115 ISO.
This is a rebound spot for the veteran at Dodger Stadium, and the Brewers finished the regular season with a 13th-ranked .312 wOBA against lefties, so I expect a tougher time considering they’ve skyrocketed to a .355 mark this postseason.
Snell finishing the fifth is in play to 65%.
- Prop picks: 12-7, +4.74 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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