We're going with a pair of moneylines to kick off our MLB picks for Friday's slate of games.
See why our baseball experts love the value on Colorado, Cleveland, and the Yankees — based on prices from Polymarket, to win tonight as we kick off MLB Rivalry Weekend!
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: COL ML |
+113 |
 Joe Osborne: CLE ML |
-127 |
 Jon Metler: NYY ML |
-144 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Rockies moneyline
Price: 47¢ (+113) at Polymarket
This game has all the makings of a slugfest with winds blowing out at Coors Field and a starting pitching matchup that’s tough on the eyes. I have Merrill Kelly ranked as the worst starter on the board today, and he sits at the bottom of the league in BlastContact%. On the other side, Kyle Freeland isn’t exactly a household name, but backing the Colorado Rockies in the first game of a series against the Diamondbacks at plus money makes sense. Arizona still has to deal with the usual Colorado adjustment and visual memory index that can impact teams arriving at Coors. The Over 12 is also in play here, and both offenses could get going early.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Guardians moneyline
Price: 56¢ (-127) at Polymarket
The Cleveland Guardians are in a strong spot tonight behind Tanner Bibee, who has pitched like an ace at home this season, allowing one earned run or fewer in four of five starts in Cleveland. He'll face a Reds lineup that ranks in the bottom third of the league in both runs and OPS on the road, which has contributed to an eight-game road losing streak. Expect the Guardians lineup to make some noise vs. Andrew Abbott as well: Cleveland is one of the top offenses in baseball vs. LHP, which has led to an 11-3 record when facing a lefty starter. The bullpen edge is massive as well, with Cincinnati ranking dead last in both ERA and FIP since the calendar flipped to May.
Jon Metler's expert pick: Yankees moneyline
Price: 59¢ (-144) at Polymarket
The Subway Series kicks off tonight at Citi Field, and if the market is going to give me value on the New York Yankees with Cam Schlittler on the mound, I’m taking it without hesitation. The Yankees are trading around 59 cents, but I make them closer to 63-cent favorites against the Mets, leaving a solid edge on the number. The matchup also lines up well offensively for the Yankees: Clay Holmes relies heavily on a sinker and a sharp slider that plays more like a sweeper, but those pitches tend to lose effectiveness against left-handed hitters. That’s a problem against a Yankees lineup that, outside of Aaron Judge and Anthony Volpe, will predominantly hit from the left side — and I think the Yanks can generate consistent traffic on the bases against Holmes throughout the game.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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