The Atlanta Braves hope to keep rolling on Friday night when they open a three-game set with the Boston Red Sox.
The Braves have won four of their last five, and their pitching staff has allowed just nine runs in the last five games.
My Red Sox vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks for Friday, May 15 explain why Spencer Strider will keep that trend going.
Who will win Red Sox vs Braves today: Braves (-147)
Spencer Strider overcame a rocky first start back with a dominant performance against the Dodgers last week.
One noticeable change since his return is an increased usage of his curveball, which has induced an eye-popping 81% whiff rate.
The Boston Red Sox have the 10th-highest strikeout rate and fifth-lowest ISO of any club the past two weeks. They’ve also scored just six runs in four games.
Connelly Early has an ERA that is 1.53 runs below expected. He ranks in the 12th percentile in barrel rate and faces an Atlanta offense ranked seventh in SLG at home vs LHP this year.
COVERS INTEL: Boston’s lineup is making poor contact, posting the second-highest ground ball rate (49.3% ) and pull rate (47%) in the majors over the past two weeks.
Red Sox vs Braves Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-125)
The Atlanta Braves are still hitting the ball well of late, but the run production is down.
Having the seventh-highest strikeout rate and fourth-lowest walk rate the past two weeks probably doesn’t help.
That’s a main driver behind a run of seven Unders in the last eight games for Atlanta, but it’s not the main reason I’m backing that trend to continue.
Boston’s been baseball’s worst team the past week at bringing in runs, posting a .136 BABIP and a .000 ISO with RISP. That’s led to an abysmal 57 wRC+.
That’s why I’m backing Boston’s seventh straight game under the number.
- ML/RL bets: 4-9, -5.94 units
- Over/Under bets: 9-4, +4.96 units
Red Sox vs Braves odds
- Moneyline: Boston +138 | Atlanta -144
- Run line: Boston +1.5 (-150) | Atlanta -1.5 (+138)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+117) | Under 8.5 (-122)
Red Sox vs Braves trend
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Braves.
How to watch Red Sox vs Braves and game info
| Location | Truist Park, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Friday, May 15, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | NESN, BravesVision |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Connelly Early (3-2, 3.16 ERA) |
| Braves starting pitcher | Spencer Strider (1-0, 2.89 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Braves latest injuries
Red Sox vs Braves weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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