Start your weekend right with some MLB best bets, based on trading prices available at Polymarket (which allows fans coast-to-coast to participate in baseball action).\
Our expert MLB picks for May 1 have found value in the Jays and Cubbies winning, along with a pitcher's duel taking place in Tampa.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: TOR ML |
+100 |
 Neil Parker: CHC ML |
-127 |
 Joe Osborne: SF/TB u7.5 |
+104 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Blue Jays moneyline
Price: 50¢ (+100) at Polymarket
It might be scary backing a Patrick Corbin start, but the Toronto Blue Jays have already handled Simeon Woods Richardson this year, tagging him for five runs in just 12 outs. The familiarity factor leans toward the hitters in this spot.
Toronto’s lineup is getting healthier and can make up for Corbin, who has actually looked solid, allowing just four runs over his last three starts. If this game is decided late, the edge goes to the visitors — and the league’s best bullpen over the last seven days.
Neil Parker's expert pick: Cubs moneyline
Price: 56¢ (-127) at Polymarket
Arizona Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen is being mispriced this afternoon. His 14.2 K% and 24.0% called+swinging strike percentage are both career-low marks, and he’s also served up a career-high 45.8% hard-hit rate. It’s also reflected in his 4.95 xERA — checking in well above his 3.14 ERA.
With the Chicago Cubs on a 12-3 heater, while pacing the majors in wOBA and striking out at the fourth-lowest clip in baseball, I’m anticipating Gallen to run into trouble navigating a deep and potent lineup.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Giants/Rays Under 7.5
Price: 49¢ (+104) at Polymarket
Runs should be tough to come by tonight in Tampa with a lefty vs. lefty pitching matchup featuring two lineups that have struggled against southpaws. The San Francisco Giants have been especially bad, ranking 27th in OPS against left-handed pitching over the last two weeks.
Tampa Bay Rays lefty Shane McClanahan has been sharp at home, while Robbie Ray is back in top form with two earned runs or fewer allowed in five of his six starts.
More ammo for an Under wager: The Giants' bullpen leads MLB in ERA over the last 14 days.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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