The Los Angeles Dodgers are slight -115 moneyline favorites against the New York Yankees in the first game out of the All-Star break, but my Dodgers vs. Yankees predictions are taking the home side.
Roki Sasaki’s loud-contact issues are a bad fit against a Yankees lineup that still wins through lift and power, while Gerrit Cole gives New York a pitching edge.
Here are my free MLB picks for Friday, July 17.
Who will win Dodgers vs Yankees today: Yankees moneyline (+101)
If the New York Yankees are going to make a charge in the AL East, there's no better time than now against the best team in baseball, the Los Angeles Dodgers. I’m playing them down to -110.
Roki Sasaki's biggest flaw runs into New York’s best offensive path. Sasaki has allowed a 12.8% barrel rate and 44.9% hard-hit rate, and his four-seamer has been hit for a .606 SLG.
These are all things the Yankees excel at, arriving at this game with the highest barrel rate in baseball, the third-highest hard-hit rate, and several strong hitters against the heater.
COVERS INTEL: Sasaki’s 9.4% walk rate is above MLB average, giving New York a traffic base before its power bats get to swing.
Dodgers vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (+105)
I’m playing the Over because both offenses have a clear matchup path. Sasaki’s fastball and barrel issues give New York a real chance to do damage early, even without Aaron Judge.
Gerrit Cole is the better starter, but this is still the Dodgers’ lineup. And he hasn't been "vintage Cole" either. L.A. can punish his elevated-contact profile, with Cole allowing a 9.2% barrel rate and 40.3% hard-hit rate this season.
I projected 10.1 and would play this to -115.
- ML/RL bets: 39-34, +7.42 units
- Over/Under bets: 43-32, +13.32 units
Dodgers vs Yankees weather
Slight bump for the offenses with temperatures above 80F at first pitch and a slight breeze going toward left-center field. Keep an eye out for any time changes or a postponement due to bad air quality in the NYC area stemming from Canadian wildfires.
Dodgers vs Yankees odds
- Moneyline: Dodgers -110 | Yankees -106
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 | Yankees +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5
Dodgers vs Yankees trend
The Yankees have hit the moneyline in four of their last five games (+3.25 Units / 50% ROI).
How to watch Dodgers vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Friday, July 17, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | YES, SportsNet Los Angeles |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Roki Sasaki (3-5, 5.33 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Gerrit Cole (3-4, 4.04 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Yankees latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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