Medinah Country Club (No. 3) will play host to the 2026 Presidents Cup, and the Americans are enormous favorites in the Presidents Cup odds to win the event for the 11th consecutive time.
My top Presidents Cup picks call for Team USA to jump out to an early lead with match-play veteran Xander Schauffele leading the event in points.
📇 Presidents Cup predictions
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🏆 Presidents Cup pick to win
Pick: Team USA to win
The Americans hold a dominant 13-1-1 record in the Presidents Cup, highlighted by 10 consecutive tournament victories.
With the 2026 edition returning to home soil, I'm fully confident the U.S. side will extend that streak to 11 straight wins, giving them an 88% win probability.
The sheer talent gap between the two rosters is enormous. Team USA features seven of the top eight players in true strokes gained tee-to-green this season.
Additionally, the Americans boast 10 golfers ranked inside DataGolf’s Top 15, whereas the International team's only player in that elite tier is Si Woo Kim.
The U.S. team also holds a massive experience edge in the match-play format because their core roster competes biennially in the high-stakes environment of the Ryder Cup.
💰 Presidents Cup prop picks
Prop pick: Xander Schauffele top point scorer
Xander Schauffele shows off a sterling 10-4-0 Presidents Cup record, including a 7-2-0 ledger across the past two events, so I think there’s an edge in this prop market to 12%.
His well-rounded game is a perfect fit for match play, and it’s clearly reinforced by his results. I’m also bullish about Schauffele sporting a 6-2-0 record on U.S. soil in the far more competitive Ryder Cup.
Schauffele finished the 2026 season ranked eighth in adjusted scoring average and 13th in bogey avoidance while ranking fifth in this event in true strokes gained tee-to-green; he’s both a stylistic and statistical fit to lead the tournament in points.
Prop pick: Team USA to win Day 1
The Americans have dominated the opening day over the International team in the past two Presidents Cups by winning nine of the last 10 Day 1 matches, and I recommend this prop up to 65% because I fully expect that trend to continue Thursday.
While Team USA holds the noted advantage in elite talent, the Internationals are also bogged down by their lack of depth.
In particular, the International team has eight of the nine lowest-ranked players in true strokes gained tee-to-green this season.
Additionally, with five opening-day matches on the slate requiring 10 of the 12 players from each team to compete, the overall talent gap will be exposed immediately.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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