3M Open Odds, Picks & Best Bets 2026: Scottie Scheffler Favored Following Final Major

Esten McLaren - Content Manager at Covers.com
Esten McLaren • Content Manager 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 20, 2026 , 10:19 PM ET • 4 min read

The PGA Tour returns to TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., following the Open Championship. Scottie Scheffler is +275 to win outright.

3M Open odds and picks, PGA Tour. Scottie Scheffler waits to putt on the green.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Scottie Scheffler waits to putt on the green.

Golf's major season is over as the PGA Tour returns to the USA for this week's 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn.

Scottie Scheffler is the heavy +275 betting favorite by the 3M Open odds in the outright winner market as Kurt Kitayama (+1900) tries to defend his title.

We're breaking down this week's odds for the 144-man field to help with your golf picks this week.

⛳ 3M Open: Key takeaways

  • Best early bet: Hideki Matsuyama (+2800) – Quality T14 finish in The Open Championship and these odds will shorten significantly in the event World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler withdraws before Thursday's first round

  • Best early value: Gordon Sargent (+20000) – A co-runner-up in last week's Corales Puntacana Championship alternate event, these odds are overly inflated in a field that's not much stronger

  • Course: TPC Twin Cities — designed by Arnold Palmer with renovations led by Tom Lehman and Steve Wenzloff — is a par 71 playing to 7,431 yards, but winning scores since 2019 have ranged from -15 to -24

  • Weather: Conditions throughout the 2026 3M Open are expected to be clear — but hot. Temperatures will reach a high of 98 degrees during Sunday's final round, with a chance of rain only early Saturday morning

  • Expected cut: The 144-player field will be cut down to the Top 65 and ties following Round 2
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📊 3M Open odds

The 3M Open runs at TPC Twin Cities from Thursday, July 23, through Sunday, July 26.

Golfer BetMGM
Scottie Scheffler +275
Kurt Kitayama +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Maverick McNealy +2800
Keith Mitchell +3000
Jackson Koivun +3300
Jake Knapp +3300
Tom Kim +3500
Corey Conners +4500
Max Homa +4500

Odds from BetMGM, one of our best golf betting sites

Check out the full 3M Open field.


Course breakdown: TPC Twin Cities

TPC Twin Cities' Arnold Palmer design helps draw a few big names to this event each year, with it otherwise being a letdown spot on the PGA Tour schedule.

Despite playing over 7,400 yards, the field has had little issue posting low scores since the inaugural tournament in 2019.

It poses a stark contrast to Royal Birkdale's demanding links layout last week. For that reason, I'm not focusing too heavily on players who played in the year's final major. The travel and completely different style of play combine to create a sharp shift in strategy and skills.

Water is an issue around the greens, which puts an extra emphasis on approach shots and iron play.

  • Length comes via par 5s with all three topping 590 yards
  • Water is in play on 15 holes and protects five greens
  • Bentgrass greens are a significant contrast for those who played in Scotland and England over the last two weeks
  • Scores are accessible but require a risk-reward balance, with winners often choosing the latter

Players to watch

  • Scottie Scheffler: The No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Ranking will play this event (and course) for the first time following a T4 in The Open; he was the runner-up in the Travelers Championship as his last stateside event

  • Hideki Matsuyama: Comes off a T14 in The Open but hasn't played this event since a T30 result in 2023

  • Kurt Kitayama: The defending champion of the 3M Open finished T6 the year before; he finished T40 at Royal Birkdale last week


Key stats & player profiles to target

    • True strokes gained around-the-green and approach
    • Birdie or better percentage
    • Driving accuracy
    • Proximity from 175-200 yards
    • Bogey avoidance

    Players to watch

    • Scottie Scheffler: Leads the 2026 3M Open field in strokes gained: approach (0.89) and ranks second among qualified golfers with 0.55 SG: around-the-green per round

    • Corey Conners: Among the field leaders in driving accuracy this season while gaining 0.59 strokes per round on approach

    • Jake Knapp: 13th on the PGA Tour in birdie or better percentage this season with more than 0.50 strokes gained per round putting and on approach


    How to watch the 3M Open & tee times

    How to watch:

    • Thursday-Friday: 4-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel)
    • Saturday: 1-3 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), 3-6 p.m. ET (CBS)
    • Sunday: 1-3 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), 3-6 p.m. ET (CBS)

    Tee times:

    • Coming Tuesday

    3M Open betting FAQ

    Who is the 2026 3M Open favorite?

    World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is the +275 betting favorite at BetMGM.

    When is the 2026 3M Open?

    The 2026 3M Open will be played from Thursday, July 23, to Sunday, July 26.

    Where will the 2026 3M Open be played?

    The 2026 3M Open will be played at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn.

    What are 3M Open FRL markets?

    First Round Leader (FRL) markets center around which golfers will be in the lead following the first 18 holes of the tournament.

    How do 3M Open matchup bets work?

    When betting on 3M Open matchups, you're selecting which golfer will score better between the two golfers listed in that specific market. There are 18-hole, single-round matchups, in addition to tournament-long, 72-hole matchups.

    What is the 3M Open cut line?

    The Top 65 golfers and ties after 36 holes will make the cut in the 3M Open. 

    Are 3M Open odds the same across all sportsbooks?

    You'll see slight to significant variations in odds across sportsbooks for the 3M Open; it's always good practice to check multiple sports betting sites for the best odds.

    Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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    Esten McLaren
    Content Manager

    Esten is the Content Manager for Covers.com. He has been in the sports betting industry since the legalization of mobile sports betting in New Jersey. In writing and personal betting, Esten focuses on golf and the NFL, while dabbling in futures bets across all major North American sports, looking for edges with value picks and long shots. His favorite markets to research and bet include golf outrights and NFL touchdown scorers.

    Esten hunts for pricing differences and player skill sets against the opponent (or golf course). DraftKings is his go-to sportsbook and first stop for most betting markets, as it is often first-to-market with golf odds each week and next year's futures odds.

    Esten's previous stops include time with GolfWeek. He previously worked in the fantasy sports industry with FNTSY Sports Network, theScore, and USA TODAY, where he started to build his NFL and golf betting experience. Esten graduated from the College of Sports Media with a diploma in Radio and Television Sports Broadcasting. He has appeared on FNTSY Sports Network, VSiN, and VSiN's Long Shots podcast, where he correctly called Will Zalatoris as the winner of the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship. An annual staple bet has now hit twice in a row with Rory McIlroy's consecutive Masters wins.

    Esten views sports betting much like golf and advises beginner bettors to compete against themselves rather than worrying about what others may or may not be doing based on social media claims.

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