Posted:
#226
this is a tough game to call, but I'm leaning Eagels. running out of time to make the pick
WEEK 9 - NFL Breakdown Sheets
Posted:
#235
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:
Grab that cash PCZ
Grab that cash PCZ
Silly what's your thoughts on this JAC/ IND thursday night game? Interested to see what your models come up with....my book has IND-3 at -120 and I'm pounding it based off intangibles and some of my more basic numbers but I always greatly appreciate your breakdown sheets.
Posted:
#237
Quote Originally Posted by Ralphlay:
Silly what's your thoughts on this JAC/ IND thursday night game? Interested to see what your models come up with....my book has IND-3 at -120 and I'm pounding it based off intangibles and some of my more basic numbers but I always greatly appreciate your breakdown sheets.
I don't think Indy should be favored by this much on the road yet. Just ran it through my models (which are 95% updated after this week) and it came out with a raw projection of Indy -0.5. With MJD's injury I'd adjust it to probably -2.5 or maybe -3. That would make this line pretty sharp. I'm probably not going to play a side in this game. Luck looked good last week, but he's still a rookie playing on the road.
Posted:
#238
Si1ly,
Thoughts on San Diego to win Super Bowl at 70/1? Gotta think there's some value and hedge opportunity there. This is a talented team that just needs to get on a roll. I know their SOS has been horrible and playing a tough Tampa team this week but would love to hear your insight.
Thanks buddy.
Thoughts on San Diego to win Super Bowl at 70/1? Gotta think there's some value and hedge opportunity there. This is a talented team that just needs to get on a roll. I know their SOS has been horrible and playing a tough Tampa team this week but would love to hear your insight.
Thanks buddy.
Posted:
#242
Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:
Anyone else with thoughts on SD future at 70/1?
Anyone else with thoughts on SD future at 70/1?
You shouldn't be asking yourself what are the odds that they win the Superbowl. It has to start at making the playoffs first. What are the chances that they win the division? What are the chances that they get the wild card? Then you can begin to determine whether this future has any value.
My two cents.. even if they can get into the playoffs.. they wouldn't even be one of the top 6 teams in it. They're not going to win the Superbowl.
Posted:
#248
Thanks Si1ly and Leaguecapper.
I figured they make it in as a wildcard and the hedging opportunity is phenomenal and can make a quick buck by hedging because the value is steep. As you mentioned, they're a talented team that just has to get on a roll and Norv's November and December track record has been historically awesome.
I figured they make it in as a wildcard and the hedging opportunity is phenomenal and can make a quick buck by hedging because the value is steep. As you mentioned, they're a talented team that just has to get on a roll and Norv's November and December track record has been historically awesome.
Posted:
#249
Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:
Thanks Si1ly and Leaguecapper.
I figured they make it in as a wildcard and the hedging opportunity is phenomenal and can make a quick buck by hedging because the value is steep. As you mentioned, they're a talented team that just has to get on a roll and Norv's November and December track record has been historically awesome.
Thanks Si1ly and Leaguecapper.
I figured they make it in as a wildcard and the hedging opportunity is phenomenal and can make a quick buck by hedging because the value is steep. As you mentioned, they're a talented team that just has to get on a roll and Norv's November and December track record has been historically awesome.
You got that going for you at least.
Posted:
#250
Quote Originally Posted by pcz:
going with si1ly's sheets
Saints -2.5
and small parlay
Saints -2.5 and under 52.
BOL everyone
going with si1ly's sheets
Saints -2.5
and small parlay
Saints -2.5 and under 52.
BOL everyone
I must have added wrong or did Si1ly updated the sheet and I didn't see it. I added the total and I had PHI 27 - NO 20. That was a hard game to watch there were so close so many times and managed to F* it up.
But overall I'm up PCZ glad to hear to did well. Lots of Favorite covered. You think the Dogs will covered more this week?
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