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Posted: #126

@bookieassassin

Meant to stop back in and say thanks for the website with advanced stats; efficiency vs. big play stuff.

looks like you’re starting a cocktail or two early, don’t forget to get your d@mn FCS plays in early (re: post #124) to get a little extra change in your pocket.  It’s chalky but I took SF Austin and Mercer openers.

 

an_cheers

 
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Posted: #127

Best of Luck BA…have a great season Brotha. peace_5

The impossible only takes longer….
 
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Posted: #128

@TD21

 yep keep saying I'm gonna make it to FCS v FCS - but dabble in FBS games, get bored/drool on myself, and pass out.  I (hope to), as P5 becomes the NFL more and more - to stress FCS stuff - and become pretty much G5/FCS only. BOL buddy ........peace_5 

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Posted: #129

@wolfeman3

 I have no choice really - actually feeling really OLD / brain-dead ..... but that damn WINNERS keeps turning up the heat on my azz ha .....peace_5

It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
 
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Posted: #130

@bookieassassin

 WHY NOT? I am 81 yrs. old now and all I want is to grow up to be "like" you, boolieassassin RE: POSY #129!!!! have no mery on them this year, you are the best!!!!  WITH YA 100%, SIR!!!thank you!!

 
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Posted: #131

@bookieassassin

 JUST GOT the +11 with your E.CARO:INA ...happy now! see you at the WINDOW....SIR! thx and best of luck,SIR!!!

 
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Posted: #132

Quote Originally Posted by winners1941:

@bookieassassin  JUST GOT the +11 with your E.CARO:INA ...happy now! see you at the WINDOW....SIR! thx and best of luck,SIR!!!

Dilligent work Winners! an_cheers  TOP SHELF…have a great season Boston Buddy. thumbs_up

The impossible only takes longer….
 
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Posted: #133

@wolfeman3

 thank you wolfeman3 ! have always had a great "feel" for line movement after the opening "soft" or "hard" #,,, like the stuff YOU post and read you very much, tremendo savvy, you are actively "good"!! kill them this year!

 
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Posted: #134

3 minutes to WKU/AP!!!!

 
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Posted: #135

@bookieassassin

 seems we are on the same page with Ducks 1H  win

 
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Posted: #136

BA end up in the penalty box ha?

 
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Posted: #137

Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

21 hours - 48 minutes- 40 sec .............   You boys know what to do ........   >> start drinking EARLY - set up all the TV's / laptops, etc so you can watch multiple games - run off all the damn women and kids, with specific instructions not to return until about midnight at the earliest ..... or the retribution will be swift and terrible.....   Added NW small - this is a dart / hunch that they bounce back (as stated earlier). They will be the (much) better coached team for sure - should be more FOCUSED as well - seems like a bad spot for the Huskers, who destroyed NW last year.   WEEK 0/1 1 unit or more Sparty -19----------- 0.75 or so Penn St -3Terps -21ECaro +10' ----------- 0.50 or less Fla St +3Ducks +10 1HNW/Neb 1H under 24'NW +13'*   * at MyBookie - really aggressive lines - 2H lines are already up ffs ....as well as props / 1H / Qtrs. I'll put a bit at 13', and wait to see if it it hits 14  .....wouldn't surprise me to see a late rush on Nebraska at kick-off    Seems like a good group of knowledgeable guys this year - BUT STILL ha    $$  are there mistakes made by the oddsmakers? YOU BET But when do they (usually) occur? WHEN THEY OPEN.  THINK ABOUT IT.  Really sharp computers/AI set the lines - then fine tuned by guys that really know what they're doing (azz literally depends on it) - THEN whittled down by guys that ONLY DO THIS FOR A LIVING. THEN millions of others fine tune it further. THEN YOU BET (usually). SO > the fact that Hawaii and Nevada are starting over essentially, and Wyoming sux IS ALREADY FACTORED INTO THE LINE FFS !!!!  Vandy might still beat Hawaii 45-0 sure - they might also get their azz beat. However - if you actually believe that oddsmakers are POOF! ... now in the charity business, LOAD UP - just don't encourage others to do so. If you do be advised the ol' BA might come in with an internet sledge hammer and happily dispose of your silly azz, while the 9th plays at maximum volume (sorry Clockwork Orange reference).   I'll have a few more late next week - along with WEEK 2 lines, maybe Friday at the latest..........

 

peace_5 Penn St… we needed  some luck out there, can you please catch a pass PSU WR’s!!  Great call BA,  next up Sparty xxl  thumbs_up

The impossible only takes longer….
 
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Posted: #138

smiley_3 HAHAHA…Just saw you’re in the penalty box…. BAD ASS!!!  I’ve always wanted to get thrown in there! an_woo

The impossible only takes longer….
 
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Posted: #139

@TD21

How’s it going TD.  You posting your picks this year?  Always look forward to seeing who you are taking.  BOL this year peace_5

 
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Posted: #140

@JEFFMARKETCAP

What's up Jeff!?  Saw this earlier, first chance to respond right now before kickoff of some games.  I haven't so far and wasn't planning on it.  Of course didn't plan on it either last year and someone asked me to start posting again and I ended up posting most weeks.  I'm just at a "time poor" phase in my life and posting regularly was something to cut out.  I've more than proven myself over the years on here and there wasn't this feeling to prove myself any longer compared to years ago being the new guy.

I did well on closing line value, but FWIW, tonight I have:

W&M +8 & +4.5

W&M / Charlotte  Under 57 & Under 52.5

Also have W&M mixed into a small UDML parlay.

Kansas -28

ODU +8.5

ODU ML +270 small

ODU / Va Tech Under 52.5

 

Will respond again in a few minutes with some Saturday games.  Hopefully some of those lines haven't moved too much in the last 3-4 hours, but I haven't checked yet.

 
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Posted: #141

@TD21 What's your reasoning on Kansas? I know they are on the upswing but I'm not sure they should be more than a 4td favorite over anybody.

Civilizations are like leaves, they change color as they die
 
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Posted: #142

D@mn, I missed some free entertainment it looks like, BA to the penalty box.  an_roll_laugh What happened boys?  There must be a story.

BA, apologies in advance for throwing some picks up in your thread (don't feel like "maintaining" my own).

 

@JEFFMARKETCAP

Saturday locked in:

Mercer +31.5  (3u)

South Dakota +25  (3u)

South Dakota State +20.5 (2u) & +18  (0.5u) ..... this one moved alot, sorry, watch for in-game opportunities maybe.

Arkansas -6.5  (2u)

Boise State / Oregon State Under 59.5 (1u)

Richmond +21  (1u)

UNI / AF Under 43.5 (0.5u)

Illinois State +35.5 (0.5u)

Notre Dame +15.5 -105(0.3u)

Waiting on at least one, will likely add to Richmond, FCS vs. FCS will have a few plays when available.

 

Sunday:

Florida State +3.5 -115 (0.3u)

 

Hope that helps.  peace_5   an_cheers

 

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #143

@OneADayJ

Saw a little line value there and think they're on the upswing late last year and like the transfers they added as well.  WR suspended this week though; lowered the units on this play from what I was originally thinking.  Just 1u.

Final 2021 #s:  my line was -34.3 with a season's worth of data.

Current #s with offseason adjustments and I arrived at -37.4, but more of a guess on how much better/worse for Tenn Tech, but kinda gave them the benefit of the doubt and still arrived at this figure.

 
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Posted: #144

.....Knew I should have waited.  cool

Richmond +21 (1u) and available right now +21.5 (1u)

 
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Posted: #145

Yeah I have been keepin tabs on them also, think they have potential. Just think that's a lot of wood for them to be laying. I'll probably get some ingame if I can grab TennTech +21 or better for the 1st half. Thx for the reply. GL with your bets peace_5

Civilizations are like leaves, they change color as they die
 
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Posted: #146

What's with the prison chains? 

 

Not a good look on you. What happened?

 

BOL the rest of the season an_cheers

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #147

@TD21

 Good god Tenn Tech is awful, not touching them, looks like an easy win for you peace_5

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Posted: #148

Another BIG hit with Sparty! Congrats BA.

an_woo

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Posted: #149

Nice call with Sparty.  Though we were toast after the 3rd quarter 

 
 
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Posted: #150

B.A.wherever you are, I am reading you and "cashing those W W penn ST and Mich ST. really need you , all the time, thank you ,bestluck and remember you are the best, #1, "TREMENDO"!! I know you are to have a great YEAR, SIR!! ALL THE WAT!!!

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