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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Opening Game Favorite Chase 246-7 for 2009

    «First Previous 171819 ... 454647 Next Last»
    therizz
    cdmop
    QuasiMoDough
    mcmister
    avenue
    ...
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    «First Previous 171819 ... 454647 Next Last»
     
    therizz
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 1, 2010 - 10:48 PM ET #401

    Plays for 5/2:

    System record 43-0-1

    Additional series 3-0-0

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff  

    Series #43 (G3) 1:35        BOS-145 @ bal              

    Series #48 (G3) 4:10       tex @ SEA -111

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

     

     

    Game 1 wins =30

    Game 2 wins = 11

    Game 3 wins = 2

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    Plays for 5/2:

    System record 43-0-1

    Additional series 3-0-0

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff  

    Series #43 (G3) 1:35        BOS-145 @ bal              

    Series #48 (G3) 4:10       tex @ SEA -111

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

     

     

    Game 1 wins =30

    Game 2 wins = 11

    Game 3 wins = 2

     
    cdmop
    cdmop
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 12:52 AM ET #402

    BOS is really only a mess because of Matsuzaka.  The offense was there.  I like beckett tomorrow.
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    BOS is really only a mess because of Matsuzaka.  The offense was there.  I like beckett tomorrow.
     
    QuasiMoDough
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 1:42 AM ET #403

    Quote Originally Posted by cdmop:

    BOS is really only a mess because of Matsuzaka.  The offense was there.  I like beckett tomorrow.


    I believe Beckett's last two starts were pretty ugly - although his two starts prior were fairly solid. Tough one to call - same as Seattle. Anyone have any thoughts? Like Rizz said, they seemed to have blown their two best chances for a W - in ridiculous fashion, I might add - in the last two games (and they're going up against Wilson tomorrow who has been lights out - even though Fister has also been very good)
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    Quote Originally Posted by cdmop:

    BOS is really only a mess because of Matsuzaka.  The offense was there.  I like beckett tomorrow.


    I believe Beckett's last two starts were pretty ugly - although his two starts prior were fairly solid. Tough one to call - same as Seattle. Anyone have any thoughts? Like Rizz said, they seemed to have blown their two best chances for a W - in ridiculous fashion, I might add - in the last two games (and they're going up against Wilson tomorrow who has been lights out - even though Fister has also been very good)
     
    mcmister
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 7:22 AM ET #404

    [Quote: Originally Posted by QuasiMoDough]

    I believe Beckett's last two starts were pretty ugly - although his two starts prior were fairly solid. Tough one to call - same as Seattle. Anyone have any thoughts?

    Gentlemen, good morning.  Most of the time when I try to out-smart the system I fail.  The famous Run-Line Blitz last year is a good case in point. The best play, over the long haul, was the system play. 
    I am enjoying this thread, thank you. 

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    [Quote: Originally Posted by QuasiMoDough]

    I believe Beckett's last two starts were pretty ugly - although his two starts prior were fairly solid. Tough one to call - same as Seattle. Anyone have any thoughts?

    Gentlemen, good morning.  Most of the time when I try to out-smart the system I fail.  The famous Run-Line Blitz last year is a good case in point. The best play, over the long haul, was the system play. 
    I am enjoying this thread, thank you. 

     
    mcmister
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 8:12 AM ET #405

    rejecting my above advice.... check out espn's RPI 2010 for both game 3's today.  Texas should handle Seattle and Boston over Baltimore... according to their data. (for what it is worth
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    rejecting my above advice.... check out espn's RPI 2010 for both game 3's today.  Texas should handle Seattle and Boston over Baltimore... according to their data. (for what it is worth
     
    avenue
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 9:04 AM ET #406

    mcmister.....
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    mcmister.....
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 1:43 PM ET #407

    These game 3's are why lab lines are good.
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    These game 3's are why lab lines are good.
     
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 1:50 PM ET #408

    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    These game 3's are why lab lines are good.

    Yes, good point NM.  I am only laying about 2U on each of these plays because my lines have been clearing out and their was no leftovers on line 3.

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    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    These game 3's are why lab lines are good.

    Yes, good point NM.  I am only laying about 2U on each of these plays because my lines have been clearing out and their was no leftovers on line 3.

     
    MasterJ
    MasterJ
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 3:38 PM ET #409

    Hey Rizz, would it be too much trouble if you can also post your unit on each play.  This way I can figure out the labby system and make sure I am correct on each play.  Thanks.
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    Hey Rizz, would it be too much trouble if you can also post your unit on each play.  This way I can figure out the labby system and make sure I am correct on each play.  Thanks.
     
    doubledime
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 4:06 PM ET #410

    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Yes, good point NM.  I am only laying about 2U on each of these plays because my lines have been clearing out and their was no leftovers on line 3.

    RIZZ  when you do your Labby, and you get to a C play and you win, your line is not complete from that series, right?  So do you carry the line over to the next series?  I do lot of Labbys for other plays, but could not figure out how to do a chase with a Labby unless it would got to the next series.  Thanks by the way for your dedication to this thread. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    Yes, good point NM.  I am only laying about 2U on each of these plays because my lines have been clearing out and their was no leftovers on line 3.

    RIZZ  when you do your Labby, and you get to a C play and you win, your line is not complete from that series, right?  So do you carry the line over to the next series?  I do lot of Labbys for other plays, but could not figure out how to do a chase with a Labby unless it would got to the next series.  Thanks by the way for your dedication to this thread. 

     
    jakeandba
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 4:06 PM ET #411

    ok please confirm this is the correct way to play labby system.

    this example is a 3 game series with the odds being 250 so play the RL for -110...Second game is -150 and third game is -108

    if your line is 5 -5 5 5

    the first bet should be to win 10 which in this case is 11.  this first be loses

    the line should be now 5-5-5-5-11 so the next bet would be to win 16 correct?  so in this example would risk 24 to win 16

    lets say this loses then the line would be 5-5-5-5-11-24 so the next bet would be to win 29   risking 31 to win 29.

    if this last bet wins then with the start of the next series the bet would be to win 16? 

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    ok please confirm this is the correct way to play labby system.

    this example is a 3 game series with the odds being 250 so play the RL for -110...Second game is -150 and third game is -108

    if your line is 5 -5 5 5

    the first bet should be to win 10 which in this case is 11.  this first be loses

    the line should be now 5-5-5-5-11 so the next bet would be to win 16 correct?  so in this example would risk 24 to win 16

    lets say this loses then the line would be 5-5-5-5-11-24 so the next bet would be to win 29   risking 31 to win 29.

    if this last bet wins then with the start of the next series the bet would be to win 16? 

     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 5:32 PM ET #412

    That looks right to me Jake, assuming you are only running one line

    Then some people do 3 lines. One for each type of wager (A B C).

    If you lose the first bet as in your example, your 1st line is correct. However, the B line is still 5-5-5-5. If that loses, you add the loss to the end of that line.

    Your C bet is at 5-5-5-5. If it wins, you erase the 5's on the ends. If it loses, you add that to the end of the C line.

    Each of your lines are now higher b/c you had losses. Some people split the loss in half and put part on the front of the line and part on the end of the line to make the wager smaller the next time that line comes up.

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    That looks right to me Jake, assuming you are only running one line

    Then some people do 3 lines. One for each type of wager (A B C).

    If you lose the first bet as in your example, your 1st line is correct. However, the B line is still 5-5-5-5. If that loses, you add the loss to the end of that line.

    Your C bet is at 5-5-5-5. If it wins, you erase the 5's on the ends. If it loses, you add that to the end of the C line.

    Each of your lines are now higher b/c you had losses. Some people split the loss in half and put part on the front of the line and part on the end of the line to make the wager smaller the next time that line comes up.

     
    jakeandba
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 5:57 PM ET #413

    nole, thanks for the help. 

    so in my example if i ran three lines it would be

    A bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 11   then it loses  5-5-5-5-11

    B bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 15 the it loses line for b bet would be 5-5-5-5-15

    C Bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 10.80   if the C bet wins then get ride of the 2 fives at the end

    The next bet is an A bet to win 16 if that loses (add this number to the end of the A line) then B bet would be to win 20..etc correct?

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    nole, thanks for the help. 

    so in my example if i ran three lines it would be

    A bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 11   then it loses  5-5-5-5-11

    B bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 15 the it loses line for b bet would be 5-5-5-5-15

    C Bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 10.80   if the C bet wins then get ride of the 2 fives at the end

    The next bet is an A bet to win 16 if that loses (add this number to the end of the A line) then B bet would be to win 20..etc correct?

     
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 7:44 PM ET #414

    Quote Originally Posted by mcmister:

    rejecting my above advice.... check out espn's RPI 2010 for both game 3's today.  Texas should handle Seattle and Boston over Baltimore... according to their data. (for what it is worth

    How much of a difference in RPI should we use to exclude plays???

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    Quote Originally Posted by mcmister:

    rejecting my above advice.... check out espn's RPI 2010 for both game 3's today.  Texas should handle Seattle and Boston over Baltimore... according to their data. (for what it is worth

    How much of a difference in RPI should we use to exclude plays???

     
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 7:47 PM ET #415

    F ing disaster! 

    Results for 5/2:

    System record 43-2-1

    Additional series 3-0-0

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff  

    Series #43 (G3) 1:35        BOS-145 @ bal              

    Series #48 (G3) 4:10       tex @ SEA -111           

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

     

     

    Game 1 wins =30

    Game 2 wins = 11

    Game 3 wins = 2

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    F ing disaster! 

    Results for 5/2:

    System record 43-2-1

    Additional series 3-0-0

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff  

    Series #43 (G3) 1:35        BOS-145 @ bal              

    Series #48 (G3) 4:10       tex @ SEA -111           

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

     

     

    Game 1 wins =30

    Game 2 wins = 11

    Game 3 wins = 2

     
    therizz
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 7:58 PM ET #416

    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    F ing disaster! 

    Results for 5/2:

    System record 43-2-1

    Additional series 3-0-0

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff  

    Series #43 (G3) 1:35        BOS-145 @ bal              

    Series #48 (G3) 4:10       tex @ SEA -111           

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

     

     

    Game 1 wins =30

    Game 2 wins = 11

    Game 3 wins = 2

    *Losses = 2 , -27.8U

    *units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

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    Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

    F ing disaster! 

    Results for 5/2:

    System record 43-2-1

    Additional series 3-0-0

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff  

    Series #43 (G3) 1:35        BOS-145 @ bal              

    Series #48 (G3) 4:10       tex @ SEA -111           

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

     

     

    Game 1 wins =30

    Game 2 wins = 11

    Game 3 wins = 2

    *Losses = 2 , -27.8U

    *units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

     
    revguy800
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 8:15 PM ET #417

    any idea about tommorrows games

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    any idea about tommorrows games

     
    avenue
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 8:22 PM ET #418

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    jakeandba
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 8:29 PM ET #419

    today was a bad day but just like anything in gambling the research did indicate there would be days like this..  it was painfully for me also but i know there were losses to be coming.

    as i eval my betting strategy and the more information i get, it appears as the labby system can be used.,,along with some modification to max the wins and minimize the losses.

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    today was a bad day but just like anything in gambling the research did indicate there would be days like this..  it was painfully for me also but i know there were losses to be coming.

    as i eval my betting strategy and the more information i get, it appears as the labby system can be used.,,along with some modification to max the wins and minimize the losses.

     
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 8:48 PM ET #420

    Guys, I am seeing BOS as a potential play again for tomorrow.  Why the lines are not adjusted based on how crappy this team is playing tells me people are still laying that juice on them.  I went back through everything today to create an excel spreadsheet of all the plays.  BOS lost a series today.  If you remember they were swept by TB earlier in the year but we pushed and did not chase the series.  I don't see any reason to keep posting them as a play for at least a few weeks until the lines are adjusted.  I will include them to track but will not add to the record regardless of win or loss.  Moreso for the database I am creating.
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    Guys, I am seeing BOS as a potential play again for tomorrow.  Why the lines are not adjusted based on how crappy this team is playing tells me people are still laying that juice on them.  I went back through everything today to create an excel spreadsheet of all the plays.  BOS lost a series today.  If you remember they were swept by TB earlier in the year but we pushed and did not chase the series.  I don't see any reason to keep posting them as a play for at least a few weeks until the lines are adjusted.  I will include them to track but will not add to the record regardless of win or loss.  Moreso for the database I am creating.
     
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 9:04 PM ET #421

    Results for 5/3:

    System record 43-2-1

    Additional series 3-0-0

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff  

    *Series #51 (G1) 7:05     bal @ NYY -300,RL   9        ?             

    --Series #52 (G1) 7:10       laa @ BOS -150     9.5        --------

    *Series #53 (G1)  8:10        kc @ CWS -170    9.5      ?   

    Series #54 (G1) 10:05       COL -154 @ sd      6.5      ?            

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    ---bos, cws, col have lower rpi than opponents, will not play BOS series please see previous post---

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

     

     

    Game 1 wins =30

    Game 2 wins = 11

    Game 3 wins = 2

    *Losses = 2 , -27.8U

    *units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

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    Results for 5/3:

    System record 43-2-1

    Additional series 3-0-0

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff  

    *Series #51 (G1) 7:05     bal @ NYY -300,RL   9        ?             

    --Series #52 (G1) 7:10       laa @ BOS -150     9.5        --------

    *Series #53 (G1)  8:10        kc @ CWS -170    9.5      ?   

    Series #54 (G1) 10:05       COL -154 @ sd      6.5      ?            

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    ---bos, cws, col have lower rpi than opponents, will not play BOS series please see previous post---

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

     

     

    Game 1 wins =30

    Game 2 wins = 11

    Game 3 wins = 2

    *Losses = 2 , -27.8U

    *units lost reflects playing all games on the ML martingale for 3 games, not recommended*

     
    cdmop
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 9:16 PM ET #422

    Gonna be some healthy wagers on the G1's tomorrow.  We could use a sweep here.
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    Gonna be some healthy wagers on the G1's tomorrow.  We could use a sweep here.
     
    revguy800
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 9:22 PM ET #423

    we took 2 on the chin this go round but heck we are still playing with thier money or atleaqst I am for sure since I started lets get on another role and enjoy the fun
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    we took 2 on the chin this go round but heck we are still playing with thier money or atleaqst I am for sure since I started lets get on another role and enjoy the fun
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 10:16 PM ET #424

    Quote Originally Posted by jakeandba:

    nole, thanks for the help. 

    so in my example if i ran three lines it would be

    A bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 11   then it loses  5-5-5-5-11

    B bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 15 the it loses line for b bet would be 5-5-5-5-15

    C Bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 10.80   if the C bet wins then get ride of the 2 fives at the end

    The next bet is an A bet to win 16 if that loses (add this number to the end of the A line) then B bet would be to win 20..etc correct?

    You got it right on Jake. It seems like the standard for rasing your line price is when you clear one 2 times

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    Quote Originally Posted by jakeandba:

    nole, thanks for the help. 

    so in my example if i ran three lines it would be

    A bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 11   then it loses  5-5-5-5-11

    B bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 15 the it loses line for b bet would be 5-5-5-5-15

    C Bet

    5-5-5-5 to win 10 risk 10.80   if the C bet wins then get ride of the 2 fives at the end

    The next bet is an A bet to win 16 if that loses (add this number to the end of the A line) then B bet would be to win 20..etc correct?

    You got it right on Jake. It seems like the standard for rasing your line price is when you clear one 2 times

     
     
    therizz
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    Posted: May. 2, 2010 - 10:45 PM ET #425

    Guys, really pissed off earlier.. I am not going to personally play BOS even though it is a play in both of my systems.  Play it if you would like.  I am still going to keep track of them in the record.  I want to have as much info as we can through this season and going into next.
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    Guys, really pissed off earlier.. I am not going to personally play BOS even though it is a play in both of my systems.  Play it if you would like.  I am still going to keep track of them in the record.  I want to have as much info as we can through this season and going into next.
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