Overall Record Posted (24-15) — 61.54%
NFL (7-7) — 50.00%
NCAAF (17-8) — 68.00%
Huge Target (10-3) — 76.92%
Hello Ladies & Gents of Covers,
Overall, I would say we had a pretty decent week. I definitely hated ending the week with a loss on the Over in the Bills game, but we still finished profitable, and that's what matters. There was no reason for me to bet big yesterday, especially already being up for the week. It was a very small loss that barely affected my bankroll.
The biggest takeaway for me was going (5-1) on our Huge Targets! That's what matters most to me.
I also want to clear something up about my betting amounts. I'm not on here pretending to be some big baller. I just want everyone to understand how I manage my bankroll.
Huge Targets: I typically risk around $500–$600, including juice, with the goal of winning at least $500 per play.
Small Targets: I usually risk around $100, sometimes $200, depending on how the week is going.
Until my bankroll reaches another level, $500 is my target profit on my bigger plays. Of course, my wager sizes can vary depending on how much I'm up for the week.
At the end of the day, it's about staying disciplined, protecting the bankroll, and making sure we're profitable over the long run. You don't have to bet big on every game to make money. Pick your spots, manage your risk, and live to see another day.
Alright on to today's actions. We got a great Edge in this one!! ![]()
Ohio Bobcats -1.5 (Huge Target)
Ohio First Half -1.5 (Huge Target)
WHY??
I'm backing Ohio here. The biggest edge I see is Ohio's defense going up against a Miami (OH) offense that's already lost its top two quarterbacks for the season. Miami is now relying on Caleb Heavner, who will be making his sixth start.
Ohio has been the better defensive team overall, allowing just 21.7 points and 339 yards per game, compared to Miami allowing 26.7 points and 377 yards. The biggest difference is in the secondary, where Ohio gives up only 202 passing yards per game compared to Miami's 280.
Ohio also has some serious defensive playmakers, especially linebacker Michael Molnar, who's recorded 87 tackles, 14 tackles for loss, and 6 sacks this season. Offensively, Ohio averages 29.4 points per game and has been much more consistent moving the football.
Miami does have a strong rushing defense, allowing just 97.6 yards per game, so I'm not overlooking that. But with Miami down to its third-string quarterback and Ohio having the more balanced defense, I believe the Bobcats have the stronger overall matchup.
Ohio has won six straight games, and I like their chances of keeping that streak alive tonight.
GIVE ME THE BOBCATS BABY IN A BLOWOUT! ![]()
