Hello all,
First of all, I want to thank Rizz for all the hard work and for
sharing this great system, is by far in my opinion the best contributor
to this forum.
I made a little mods to the original Favorite Chase Due that I saw a
little flaws and that playing this system requires a lot of action and
without the proper money management and enough bankroll can get out of
control and it could be devastating for some of us...specially if at
the moment of jumping in, we reach an streak of losses.
What I try to do is find a way to avoid some loses, skip some plays and make it more profitable.
This may allow some of us to increase the units per play an avoid more chases.
I back tested only for 2009 but should have overall results as the original version.
So this is only a 2 game chase that works just like Rizz but starts
right on the second game, but only applies for Home Teams, and teams
with a .500 record or more.
Another rule that I found important is to avoid a game when the
Fav. is -300 or more (i don't think there's any value playing this
high lines), instead you can try the under that is 4-0 so far.
BTW: I'm straight martingaling the plays, this could be risky but due
to the high winning percentage on game 3 plays of the series, I guess is
worth the risk, but anyone can try labby or whatever..
The numbers for 2009 will be so far:
Game 2 of Series Chase: 32 - 14 (69.52%)
Game 3 of Series (Chase #2) 11- 1 (91.66%)
46-1 (97.87%) When Chasing Until game 3 of a Series. and combining with the under on game 3 of the series when Fav was -300 or more)Actually the Loss could've been avoided because the line closed way
above the -300 but it opened at -270. (I'm talking about the HOU @ STL
series loss).
43-4 (91.48%) (Add 3 more losses that did not involve a chase. (Loss on game 2) -5.2 Units
To all those who try to avoid the high juice playing all the lines that involve a Fav -200 or more on the RL adds 1 loss.
One more time I'm not trying to take any credits out of this, as all
this work is thanks to Rizz, is just a little variation for all those
who rather to skip some action.
Any comments or questions please let me know.
BOL Everyone...and remember...it's all about the money!
hehe...
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