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MLB system releases...

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WiLdCaRd88

Captain

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 7698

Posted: Jul. 10, 2009 - 2:17 PM ET #1201

I have first 5 BR for the Twins/White Sox game @
Minnesota - 5.79
White Sox - 3.170
Don't you think the over would be the safer play?

acortazz

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2009

Posts: 194

Posted: Jul. 10, 2009 - 4:33 PM ET #1202

i have the same numbers but thats for seeing who would win... to calc totals u use just BR's which is 2.6 for MIN and 1.8 for CHW for first 5. So its a close call to bet on over or under. I personally am going to take MIN ML or RL cause according to my calcs that has better value/strength in the pick

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 2:45 AM ET #1203

[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]

MLB system releases Friday O7/10/09 Base_Runs formula...

Rangers-115 5innings...win

Mets-118 5innings...loss

RedSox-122 RL...loss

Angels+129 ML...win

Astros+112 RL...loss

StL/CHC OVER 8.5...win

SD/SF OVER 8.5...loss

OAK/TB OVER 9...loss

CHW/MIN UNDER 9...loss

nine PAC formulated

projected ratio: 6/9 66.6%

FINAL RESULTS:

3-6

units:-11.4

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 4:10 AM ET #1204

pro21 / the Late additions where not included in the nine PAC, for obvious reasons, as you and others understand through PM why it could not be changed to the eleven PAC . So the final results stands as published, as these plays were wagered on accordingly

FINAL RESULTS: (incorporated as late additions to the elevenPAC, released, wagered on, and documented, through PM discussion)

Dodgers-128 ML...win

Cardinals-112 ML...win

elevenPAC*

5-6

units:+.2

* is not connected to the ninePAC/ however, the plays, and unit attachments are identical, with two late additions; adjusting to elevenPAC play( the final results are for the convenience of the particapants involved, and are not incuded in MLB system releases...or it's documentation process SN

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 5:35 AM ET #1205

Quote Originally Posted by acortazz:

Cards: 4.66 BR 5 inn

Cubs: 2.71 BR 5 inn

So if my calculations are correct, Cards big favorite. Didnt calc bullpens but STL has a better bp then cubs so i say go with Cards RL

Your assessment(as you know) was correct..good call on the StL game....SN

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 9:19 AM ET #1206

Saturday, July 11th, 2009

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 10:10 AM ET #1207

MLB system releases Saturday 07/11/09 Base_Runs formula...

Cubs-155 ML

Pirates+228 ML

Mets+142 RL

Tigers+145 RL

RedSox+110 RL

Dodgers-105 5innings

CHW/MIN UNDER 9

TEX/SEA UNDER 8.5

WAS/HOU UNDER 9

ninePACformulated

projected ratio: 7/9 77.7%

BLACKEN1772

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2009

Posts: 53

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 10:48 AM ET #1208

Blu_Pitt check your Pending Friends.

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 10:55 AM ET #1209

1772 thx

mojator

Rookie

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 693

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 11:28 AM ET #1210

WiLdCaRd88

Captain

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 7698

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 1:39 PM ET #1211

I have no time to do any calculations so I'm tailin ya tonight SN.

el_barto

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2009

Posts: 3

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 1:56 PM ET #1212

hey guys SF giants fans what a great game no hitter for Sanchez

i think i will play under all SF Giants games lol good luck everey 1

ApacheM

All-Star

Joined: Apr, 2008

Posts: 14473

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 4:08 PM ET #1213

GL Kemosabe

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 5:58 PM ET #1214

Quote Originally Posted by el_barto:

hey guys SF giants fans what a great game no hitter for Sanchez

i think i will play under all SF Giants games lol good luck everey 1

Wise insight. based also on the fact that SF lacks run production, and with the come-back SP's both Zito, and Johnson, this gives a potenial strong staff, blended with a team lacking offensive power. A strong lean goes to this handicapp insight, playing the Giants "Under" for the remainder of the 09 season, a capper would hit 14/20 aprx 70% based on the past performance stats of this season..This also opens the door to SF 5innngs as a continuance. SN

STAXXX

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 125

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 11:10 PM ET #1215

Pirates....WTF!!!!!!!!

snyder9

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2009

Posts: 71

Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 11:16 PM ET #1216

Good night so far SN with 2/3 RLs hitting.
Pirates should have been another nice payoff but for that walking gas can Capps.

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 12, 2009 - 5:37 AM ET #1217

Quote Originally Posted by STAXXX:

Pirates....WTF!!!!!!!!

That's Baseball; "it's never over til' it's over" WTF ...SN

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 12, 2009 - 5:39 AM ET #1218

ApacheM

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 12, 2009 - 6:08 AM ET #1219

[Quote: Originally Posted by sports_Network]

MLB system releases Saturday 07/11/09 Base_Runs formula...

Cubs-155 ML...win

Pirates+228 ML...loss

Mets+142 RL...win

Tigers+145 RL...loss

RedSox+110 RL...win

Dodgers-105 5innings...loss

CHW/MIN UNDER 9...loss

TEX/SEA UNDER 8.5...win

WAS/HOU UNDER 9...loss

ninePACformulated

projected ratio: 7/9 77.7%

FINAL RESULTS:

4-5

units:+4.4

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 12, 2009 - 6:17 AM ET #1220

Sunday, July 12th, 2009

moneylog

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2009

Posts: 74

Posted: Jul. 12, 2009 - 11:17 AM ET #1221

SN,

How do managed to get +4.4 units last night?

Time to post today?

Thanks

AltumAngel

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 24

Posted: Jul. 12, 2009 - 11:35 AM ET #1222

Quote Originally Posted by moneylog:

SN,

How do managed to get +4.4 units last night?

Time to post today?

Thanks

maybe the runlines make him win more :)

AltumAngel

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 24

Posted: Jul. 12, 2009 - 11:35 AM ET #1223

Quote Originally Posted by moneylog:

SN,

How do managed to get +4.4 units last night?

Time to post today?

Thanks

maybe the runlines make him win more :)

toft33

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 443

Posted: Jul. 12, 2009 - 11:37 AM ET #1224

I'm wondering the same as moneylog, although his MM seems to always work out well for him. I'm betting he allocated a few more units to the Tex/SEA under. I was up 2 units but I ain't complaining.

sports_Network

Banned

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 8426

Posted: Jul. 12, 2009 - 11:54 AM ET #1225

MLB system releases Sunday 07/12/09 Base_Runs formula...

Astros+190 RL

Rockies+150 RL

Tigers-110 RL

LA/MIL UNDER 8.5

SD/SF UNDER 8.5

NYY/LAA UNDER 9

sixPACformulated

projected ratio: 5/6 83.3%

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