MLB system releases...

Your applied unification of BR/RC shows a very accurate projection(NYY3/TOR1  5innings result) un-like MME who applied the BR formula in singular form, and received a 5-1 projection edge. with both having a common denominator of 1, bringing his calculations to the screen opened up the application of understanding to the interested novice, showing the general 'outline' but dis-including the inification of BR/RC which I feel is mandatory, and gives the capper a filter with added sabermetric definitions....SN

Of course you had no way of knowing the application of Base_Runs/Runs_Created in unified 'form'  RC adds more variables to the formula, I would highly recommend you PM BLACKEN1772, he's on the same road, only advanced in concept. best regards   SN

Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



I think all of those totals may be tough.. Being 4th of July I expect a lot of Home Teams to win and give their fans a good celebration.

Home Teams on July 4th since 2006

2006  12-3
2007  8-7
2008  10-5

3 Year Total 30-15    NL 17-7   AL 13-8

Afternoon games especially seem to favor the Home teams.

That being noted, 5 of your 7 Sides are Home Teams.. therefore you should probably do fairly well. I would have to say I like the Cubs tomorrow afternoon at Wrigley tho.

Myself, I will probably be going very heavy on Boston.

BOL 

Great firecracker STATSi was just looking into these trends when you posted, your detailed descriptions(broken down to afternoon games)is appreciated, and the value of contribution should be noted in todays 4th of July MLB action..have a good one..even though your Canadian   SN

Quote Originally Posted by agv:

SN   KREATTURE PLEASURE TALKING TO YOU GUYS  I HAVE A FEW GAMES TO CHECK OUT  TELL WHAT YOU THINK  ^ COLORADO ,HAS 5 UNDERS  ^ TORONTO, HAS 6 UNDERS  ^ KC HAS  10 UNDERS  ^ TB  HAS 6 UNDERS ALL GAMES DUE TO GO OVER  WHAT DO YOU GUYS THINK   I ALSO LOVE    MILW,  SF,  LAD,  COL, MIN,  TB, LAA

My particular 'form' is not based on 'chasing' O/U's for a win, I don't capp games "blind" or "based on the law of averages" (same principle as flipping a coin, only with a diffirent approach) my totals are capped on an individual bases where stats, and situational play are the fore- runner AKA: diffirent SP, line-up, teams played, injuries, slumps, streaks, clubhouse, home/away, revenge factor, middle relief, closer...However, I do take these historic trends into consideration(especially KC's 10 unders) but they play a very minor role in my final decision........Where does my lean go today?  Boston RedSox/large/RL/  there 78% @ Fenway on the 4th over the past 8 seasons; may you prosper always  SN

Quote Originally Posted by DarkHorse21:

4th of July going back further:
2001: 8-7 H/A
2002: 8-6 H/A
2003: 7-8 H/A
2004: 12-3 H/A
2005: 7-8 H/A

Hot dogs for me tomorrow. Everything that closes between +120 and +199. 

=============================
===================  Happy Fourth!

the risk has been 'embraced' thx for the post, and informative contribution of value..enjoy the BabyBacks SN

your insight, is welcomed, and appreciated..thx  SN 

Once Lannan leaves in 6, the Braves explode, first 5 are another story within the game itself.. THX for the line, and money movement info, it appears 'late' money is going towards the NATIONALS line declining...interesting..best regards  SN