*EdgeHunter MNF Bears VS. Seahawks! 12-2 Run — Trust the Research, Let the Plays Speak!*

Overall Record Posted (12-2)

NFL (4-1)

NCAAF (8-1)

Huge Target (3-0)

Hello Cover Friends,

What a great run we've had so far! Can we keep this momentum going?! 

First off, I appreciate everyone who has been following along and taking the time to comment. I enjoy the conversations and look forward to keeping this winning madness going! Like I've said before, win or lose, I'm going to continue showing my work and letting my plays speak for themselves. I'm not going anywhere just because a few picks don't go my way. Losing is part of this business, and I understand that. My goal is to keep improving, stay consistent with my research, and hopefully turn something I truly enjoy into something I can pursue professionally. Along the way, I hope to make some good friends, share ideas, and most importantly, have some fun!

One thing I want to make clear about my handicapping approach:

My strategy of focusing on games with spreads ranging from pick'em to -3 applies ONLY to college football. That's where I prefer to find my edges in matchups that oddsmakers consider relatively even.

The NFL is a completely different approach for me. I use my own rating system, research, and matchup evaluations to determine where I see value. I don't limit myself to the same spread range as I do in college football.

At the end of the day, I'm not here to promise winners or pretend I have all the answers. I'm here to put in the work, share my opinions, and let the results speak for themselves.

With that being said, let's get down to business and see if we can keep this run alive!

Todays Action:

Seattle Seahawks -3 (if you have -3.5, I suggest buying a hook) (small target)

Under 45.5 (Huge Target)

Why?? 

Tonight, I'm taking Under, and Seattle's defense is the biggest reason why. The Seahawks have been outstanding against both the run and pass, allowing just 158 passing yards per game and 3.5 yards per carry.

Seattle's offense has had its struggles all season, particularly with the lack of a consistent ground game, which has limited Sam Darnold's ability to take advantage of opposing defenses. However, Seattle has adjusted by relying more heavily on its defense, and I believe that could create problems for Chicago.

Keep in mind, Caleb Williams has only two games under his belt since returning, and playing in a tough road environment adds another challenge. I expect Seattle to make him uncomfortable and force Chicago to work for every point. I see stalled drives, longer possessions, and field goals instead of touchdowns. Both offenses have their challenges, and I believe this game stays lower scoring than the oddsmakers expect.

GIVE ME THE UNDER AND THROW ME A BEER PLEASE!! 

Have an Ice Cold Molson Canadian & BOL tonight!  

 thanks 

Gl but I see this game going over

 Nice record!  I’ll ride that under and have a beer ?? 

Quick question.  Your huge record is 4-0 in another thread but its 3-0 on this 1.  

@roberob2u

You are correct sir. Thanks for catching that. I'm still trying get this all organize. 

Actual Record:

Overall Record Posted (12-2) 

NFL (4-1)

NCAAF (8-1)

Huge Target (4-0)

@Jars

I've only been to Canada once in my life, so I'm not sure if I've tried that one yet! But hey, I'm always down to give it a shot! Down here in Texas, Shiner Bock is my go-to beer! Gotta represent that Texas brew! Haha!

thanks for posting more beer tonight  lets go

GL on your play either way . . . impressive record @EdgeHunterGuru 

Bears defense is also underrated. They are getting players back and with the addition of Simmons it will help immensely. Bears are a top 10 defense in scoring and are seventh in expected yards against. In betting "unders" turnovers are the key. I bet an under with Seattle vs Niners a few weeks back. Darnold threw an inception on his own 20 yard line. Seattle also lost a fumble inside the ten, and let's not forget they ran the ball on their own two with 12 seconds left in the first half and turned the ball over again. They fumbled in the end zone and gave the Niners another seven points. Why they didn't take a knee to end the half is simply bad coaching. They didn't even have timeouts left.

Yes, I'm still bitter with my last Seattle under. Not taking a knee with 12 seconds left in the first half cost me over $1500. It is my worst beat of the year in any sport.  

I wish the best on your run.

By the way I loved Moosehead, the beer, back in the day.

@EdgeHunterGuru

 In Texas too. 

so under is the play and maybe sea. ty sir gl to us

@River_fish

Man, I don't blame you one bit for still being bitter! Losing $1,500 because a coach forgot how to take a knee with 12 seconds left would have me questioning football altogether! LOL. That's the kind of bad beat that stays with you for a long time! Hopefully tonight Darnold remembers which team he's throwing to, both teams remember how to hold onto the football, and the coaches remember they have knees for a reason! lol

Appreciate the good wishes! BOL tonight!

I got to give Moosehead a try if I ever see it. I like Terra beer too, it looks similar. 

@countrycrock

 Yes sir. Small lean on Seattle. 

@Macwestie1

Thanks, Mac! Really appreciate you stopping by my thread, my friend! Much respect to you for staying consistent and putting in the work here on Covers. You've definitely earned your reputation around here, and it's well deserved! Always good to see respected members like yourself joining the conversation. BOL, brother!

Used to guzzle Molson xxx when I could get it.

I love the under 

 Huge 

long drive

Scam Darnold

@countrycrock

 My perspective, we in a good position as of now.