Seton Hall / St. Peters – UNDER 138.5 (-110) 1.1 Units
These teams have played in November in each of the last 4 seasons (same coaches each of those years) and all 4 matchups have gone under, with 129 points being the highest total of the 4. Seton Hall’s Adjusted Tempo under Holloway has consistently stayed tightly clustered in the mid-60s, as has St Peters under Mason. Neither team’s current roster profile introduces a clear pace upside threat. The matchup has repeatedly produced low-possession, low-scoring outcomes even when Seton Hall has controlled the game. A sterile professional arena and atmosphere (this matchup averages just 6,000 / 18,000) and I expect a similar result to years past.
*Bet placed at BetOnline on 11/1 at 11:40a
Houston / La Salle – UNDER 139 (-110) 1.1 Units
Houston finished last season with an Adjusted Tempo of 63.3. Houston was 21-12 to the Under last season as a Favorite. La Salle finished with a 65.9 Adjusted Tempo. La Salle returns a solid core of players, but has greatly struggled against elite high major opponents, including scoring just 50 points in a 52-point loss at Michigan last season. Houston’s Adj Tempo is more than a point slower in non-Conf games under Sampson. La Salle’s Offensive Efficiency finished last season ranked 235/365. The last 3 seasons, Houston is 7-0 to the Under against teams with an offensive efficiency ranked between 200-300.
*Bet placed at BetOnline on 11/1 at 11:45a
Embrace the Grind
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Seton Hall / St. Peters – UNDER 138.5 (-110) 1.1 Units
These teams have played in November in each of the last 4 seasons (same coaches each of those years) and all 4 matchups have gone under, with 129 points being the highest total of the 4. Seton Hall’s Adjusted Tempo under Holloway has consistently stayed tightly clustered in the mid-60s, as has St Peters under Mason. Neither team’s current roster profile introduces a clear pace upside threat. The matchup has repeatedly produced low-possession, low-scoring outcomes even when Seton Hall has controlled the game. A sterile professional arena and atmosphere (this matchup averages just 6,000 / 18,000) and I expect a similar result to years past.
*Bet placed at BetOnline on 11/1 at 11:40a
Houston / La Salle – UNDER 139 (-110) 1.1 Units
Houston finished last season with an Adjusted Tempo of 63.3. Houston was 21-12 to the Under last season as a Favorite. La Salle finished with a 65.9 Adjusted Tempo. La Salle returns a solid core of players, but has greatly struggled against elite high major opponents, including scoring just 50 points in a 52-point loss at Michigan last season. Houston’s Adj Tempo is more than a point slower in non-Conf games under Sampson. La Salle’s Offensive Efficiency finished last season ranked 235/365. The last 3 seasons, Houston is 7-0 to the Under against teams with an offensive efficiency ranked between 200-300.