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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Anti-JM NBA Thread

    «First Previous 141516 ... 232425 Next Last»
    smitler
    avenue
    xxMARTINIxx
    ketut
    sahlsa
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    «First Previous 141516 ... 232425 Next Last»
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 3:03 PM ET #326

    Version 3 Plays
    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110

    JM3:  A-1/31-Warriors +8.5/+11.5 -170              L by 8  4-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Thunder -8.5/-8 -120                     W by 8 Push
            B-2/2-Rockets

    JM3: A-2/1-Bucks +6.5/+9.5 -170 Betus
    AJM: A-2/1-Heat  -6               -110 BM
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    Version 3 Plays
    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110

    JM3:  A-1/31-Warriors +8.5/+11.5 -170              L by 8  4-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Thunder -8.5/-8 -120                     W by 8 Push
            B-2/2-Rockets

    JM3: A-2/1-Bucks +6.5/+9.5 -170 Betus
    AJM: A-2/1-Heat  -6               -110 BM
     
    avenue
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 4:24 PM ET #327

    Another day at the office Smit.....enjoy the games and thanks for your work.
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    Another day at the office Smit.....enjoy the games and thanks for your work.
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2010 - 10:04 PM ET #328

    J.M v3 working well!
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    J.M v3 working well!
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2010 - 9:37 AM ET #329

    ONGOING Version 3 Plays

    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110                   L by 9
            C-2/3-Suns at Nuggets

    JM3:  A-1/31-Warriors +8.5/+11.5 -170              L by 8  4-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Thunder -8.5/-8 -120                     W by 8 Push
            B-2/2-Rockets -6 waiting for better line

    JM3: A-2/1-Bucks +6.5/+9.5 -170 Betus               W by 16   5-0
    AJM: A-2/1-Heat  -6               -110 BM                 L by 16
             B-2/2 Magic -9 waiting for better line

    Four new Version 3 plays tonight.  Will post later.
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    ONGOING Version 3 Plays

    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110                   L by 9
            C-2/3-Suns at Nuggets

    JM3:  A-1/31-Warriors +8.5/+11.5 -170              L by 8  4-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Thunder -8.5/-8 -120                     W by 8 Push
            B-2/2-Rockets -6 waiting for better line

    JM3: A-2/1-Bucks +6.5/+9.5 -170 Betus               W by 16   5-0
    AJM: A-2/1-Heat  -6               -110 BM                 L by 16
             B-2/2 Magic -9 waiting for better line

    Four new Version 3 plays tonight.  Will post later.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2010 - 10:28 AM ET #330

    New plays don't start until tom. Feb. 3.
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    New plays don't start until tom. Feb. 3.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2010 - 11:42 PM ET #331

    2 Version 3 plays down and 1 to go

    JM3:  A-1/31-Warriors +8.5/+11.5 -170              L by 8  4-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Thunder -8.5/-8 -120                     W by 8 Push
            B-2/2-Rockets -6 up to -7                        W by 22      3-0

    JM3: A-2/1-Bucks +6.5/+9.5 -170 Betus               W by 16   5-0
    AJM: A-2/1-Heat  -6               -110 BM                 L by 16
             B-2/2-Magic -9 up to -9.5 -110                      W by 17   4-0
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    2 Version 3 plays down and 1 to go

    JM3:  A-1/31-Warriors +8.5/+11.5 -170              L by 8  4-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Thunder -8.5/-8 -120                     W by 8 Push
            B-2/2-Rockets -6 up to -7                        W by 22      3-0

    JM3: A-2/1-Bucks +6.5/+9.5 -170 Betus               W by 16   5-0
    AJM: A-2/1-Heat  -6               -110 BM                 L by 16
             B-2/2-Magic -9 up to -9.5 -110                      W by 17   4-0
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 6:14 AM ET #332

    Smitler....big card tonight....lets get em!
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    Smitler....big card tonight....lets get em!
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 5:12 PM ET #333

    Smitler...what do you think about the v3 jm new jersey play?
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    Smitler...what do you think about the v3 jm new jersey play?
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 6:31 PM ET #334

    Smitler...are you going to be able to post tonights plays?
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    Smitler...are you going to be able to post tonights plays?
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 6:53 PM ET #335

    ONGOING Version 3 Plays

    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110                   L by 9
            C-2/3-Nuggets -6.5       -110


    New V3 plays

    JM3: A-2/3-Nets +10.5/+13.5 -170 Betus    
    AJM: A-2/3-Raptors -10.5 -110
    Record keeping only. I am not playing on either of above teams.

    JM3: A-2/3-Heat +6.5/+8.5  -150 BMaker
    AJM: A-2/3-Celtics -6          -110 Betus

    JM3: A-2/3-Thunder -1/+2    -170 Betus
    AJM: A2/3-Hornets +1.5      -110 BM

    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2       -150 BMaker
    AJM: A-2/3-Kings +4         -110 BMaker

    Lot of movement on these lines throughout the day.  Good luck with what you have.
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    ONGOING Version 3 Plays

    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110                   L by 9
            C-2/3-Nuggets -6.5       -110


    New V3 plays

    JM3: A-2/3-Nets +10.5/+13.5 -170 Betus    
    AJM: A-2/3-Raptors -10.5 -110
    Record keeping only. I am not playing on either of above teams.

    JM3: A-2/3-Heat +6.5/+8.5  -150 BMaker
    AJM: A-2/3-Celtics -6          -110 Betus

    JM3: A-2/3-Thunder -1/+2    -170 Betus
    AJM: A2/3-Hornets +1.5      -110 BM

    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2       -150 BMaker
    AJM: A-2/3-Kings +4         -110 BMaker

    Lot of movement on these lines throughout the day.  Good luck with what you have.
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2010 - 7:16 PM ET #336

    Smitler...thanks for all the research and documentation. 
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    Smitler...thanks for all the research and documentation. 
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2010 - 5:15 PM ET #337

    Tough AJM (C) loss last night!
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    Tough AJM (C) loss last night!
     
    xxMARTINIxx
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2010 - 6:25 PM ET #338

    Spurs over Blazers tonight?
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    Spurs over Blazers tonight?
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2010 - 7:29 PM ET #339

    AJM B Cavs -10
    AJM B Blazers +2.5

    JM3 B Spurs ML if you didn't buy 3 last night. I got a push.

    There is a D bet against the Suns tomorrow night. I will play it since I'm playing small $ on V3 plays.


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    AJM B Cavs -10
    AJM B Blazers +2.5

    JM3 B Spurs ML if you didn't buy 3 last night. I got a push.

    There is a D bet against the Suns tomorrow night. I will play it since I'm playing small $ on V3 plays.


     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2010 - 7:35 PM ET #340

    Spurs pushed last night. Cleveland AJM....Spurs could be a play if you pushed....not sure what jm rules are. Not sure where Smitler is tonight. 
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    Spurs pushed last night. Cleveland AJM....Spurs could be a play if you pushed....not sure what jm rules are. Not sure where Smitler is tonight. 
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2010 - 7:44 PM ET #341

    How are the blazers an ajm play? Sac covered against san antonio last night as an ajm.
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    How are the blazers an ajm play? Sac covered against san antonio last night as an ajm.
     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2010 - 8:05 PM ET #342

    Sorry Smitler...didnt realize Cleveland was a 8 pm eastern start.....still dont understand the portland ajm play. Thanks
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    Sorry Smitler...didnt realize Cleveland was a 8 pm eastern start.....still dont understand the portland ajm play. Thanks
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2010 - 10:23 AM ET #343

    OK bear with me. been really sick for a few days.

    avenue you are right. Blazers not a play last nite. cool they won though.
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    OK bear with me. been really sick for a few days.

    avenue you are right. Blazers not a play last nite. cool they won though.
     
    ketut
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2010 - 11:26 AM ET #344

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    OK bear with me. been really sick for a few days.

    avenue you are right. Blazers not a play last nite. cool they won though.
    Hey smitler I hope your feeling better, my whole family was sick to, Im finally getting over it now. I was wondering is there any plays today?
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    OK bear with me. been really sick for a few days.

    avenue you are right. Blazers not a play last nite. cool they won though.
    Hey smitler I hope your feeling better, my whole family was sick to, Im finally getting over it now. I was wondering is there any plays today?
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Feb. 5, 2010 - 12:07 PM ET #345

    2 AJM plays tonight:  Celtics and Kings

    Version 3 Plays


    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110                   L by 9
            C-2/3-Nuggets -6.5       -110
                         L by 12
            D-2/5-Suns at Kings +2.5 -110

    JM3: A-2/3-Nets +10.5/+13.5 -170 Betus         L by 9      6-0 
    AJM: A-2/3-Raptors -10.5 -110                        W by 9
             B-2/5-Celtics -12 -110

    JM3: A-2/3-Heat +6.5/+8.5  -150 BMaker          L by 5     7-0
    AJM: A-2/3-Celtics -6          -110 Betus            W by 5
            B-2/4-Cavs -10            -110                      W by 16  5-0

    JM3: A-2/3-Thunder -1/+2    -170 Betus               W by 4  8-0
    AJM: A-2/3-Hornets +1.5      -110 BM                   L by 4
            B-2/6-Warriors

    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2       -150 BMaker   W by 2 Push or Win  9-0
            B-2/4-Spurs -2/ml      -135 BMaker    L by 3
            C-2/6-Spurs
    AJM: A-2/3-Kings +4         -110 BMaker    L by 2  6-0

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    2 AJM plays tonight:  Celtics and Kings

    Version 3 Plays


    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110                   L by 9
            C-2/3-Nuggets -6.5       -110
                         L by 12
            D-2/5-Suns at Kings +2.5 -110

    JM3: A-2/3-Nets +10.5/+13.5 -170 Betus         L by 9      6-0 
    AJM: A-2/3-Raptors -10.5 -110                        W by 9
             B-2/5-Celtics -12 -110

    JM3: A-2/3-Heat +6.5/+8.5  -150 BMaker          L by 5     7-0
    AJM: A-2/3-Celtics -6          -110 Betus            W by 5
            B-2/4-Cavs -10            -110                      W by 16  5-0

    JM3: A-2/3-Thunder -1/+2    -170 Betus               W by 4  8-0
    AJM: A-2/3-Hornets +1.5      -110 BM                   L by 4
            B-2/6-Warriors

    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2       -150 BMaker   W by 2 Push or Win  9-0
            B-2/4-Spurs -2/ml      -135 BMaker    L by 3
            C-2/6-Spurs
    AJM: A-2/3-Kings +4         -110 BMaker    L by 2  6-0

     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Feb. 6, 2010 - 6:23 PM ET #346

    Version 3 not working too well with the AJM philosophy.
    May end this experiment early.

    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110                   L by 9
            C-2/3-Nuggets -6.5       -110
                         L by 12
            D-2/5-Kings +2.5 -110                             L by 12   6-1

    JM3: A-2/3-Nets +10.5/+13.5 -170 Betus         L by 9      6-0 
    AJM: A-2/3-Raptors -10.5 -110                        W by 9
             B-2/5-Celtics -12 -110                           W by 9
             C-2/6-Pistons -7  -110

    JM3: A-2/3-Thunder -1/+2    -170 Betus               W by 4  8-0
    AJM: A-2/3-Hornets +1.5      -110 BM                   L by 4
            B-2/6-Warriors +4        -110

    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2       -150 BMaker   W by 2 Push or Win  9-0
            B-2/4-Spurs -2/ml      -135 BMaker    L by 3
            C-2/6-Spurs -3.5/ml    -165
    AJM: A-2/3-Kings +4         -110 BMaker    L by 2  6-0

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    Version 3 not working too well with the AJM philosophy.
    May end this experiment early.

    JM3:  A-1/31-Suns +3.5/+6.5 -170                    W by 4   3-0
    AJM: A-1/31-Rockets -3.5/-3   -120                   L  by 4
            B-2/1-Hornets -1            -110                   L by 9
            C-2/3-Nuggets -6.5       -110
                         L by 12
            D-2/5-Kings +2.5 -110                             L by 12   6-1

    JM3: A-2/3-Nets +10.5/+13.5 -170 Betus         L by 9      6-0 
    AJM: A-2/3-Raptors -10.5 -110                        W by 9
             B-2/5-Celtics -12 -110                           W by 9
             C-2/6-Pistons -7  -110

    JM3: A-2/3-Thunder -1/+2    -170 Betus               W by 4  8-0
    AJM: A-2/3-Hornets +1.5      -110 BM                   L by 4
            B-2/6-Warriors +4        -110

    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2       -150 BMaker   W by 2 Push or Win  9-0
            B-2/4-Spurs -2/ml      -135 BMaker    L by 3
            C-2/6-Spurs -3.5/ml    -165
    AJM: A-2/3-Kings +4         -110 BMaker    L by 2  6-0

     
    sahlsa
    sahlsa
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    Posts: 288
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2010 - 5:16 AM ET #347

    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2 

    Why only buy 2 points ?
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    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2 

    Why only buy 2 points ?
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2010 - 8:59 AM ET #348

    Quote Originally Posted by sahlsa:

    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2 

    Why only buy 2 points ?


    Lower juice. Buying 2 instead of 3 has attributed to one additional loss this season vs buying 3 points. That loss was the version 1 Nets series which I shouldn't have played anyway. oh well a loss is a loss.

    Here's how I justify it. Betus is always at least a half point off other books for version 1 and version 2 plays. So essentially your net loss is 1/2 point, But net gain +20 on the juice.
    Example
    1/21 Betus has Lakers +3 at Cavs  I could buy 3 at -170 for +6
    1/21 BookMaker has Lakers +3.5   I buy 2 at -150 for +5.5

    I tried 5Dimes. You get the same line as BookMaker but the juice is higher. (buy 2 -155 and buy 3 at -200)
    Its just a risk I'm willing to take.


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    Quote Originally Posted by sahlsa:

    JM3: A-2/3-Spurs -4/-2 

    Why only buy 2 points ?


    Lower juice. Buying 2 instead of 3 has attributed to one additional loss this season vs buying 3 points. That loss was the version 1 Nets series which I shouldn't have played anyway. oh well a loss is a loss.

    Here's how I justify it. Betus is always at least a half point off other books for version 1 and version 2 plays. So essentially your net loss is 1/2 point, But net gain +20 on the juice.
    Example
    1/21 Betus has Lakers +3 at Cavs  I could buy 3 at -170 for +6
    1/21 BookMaker has Lakers +3.5   I buy 2 at -150 for +5.5

    I tried 5Dimes. You get the same line as BookMaker but the juice is higher. (buy 2 -155 and buy 3 at -200)
    Its just a risk I'm willing to take.


     
    sahlsa
    sahlsa
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    Posts: 288
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2010 - 9:21 AM ET #349

    Ok, I thought JM3 was the official games from the Doctor.
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    Ok, I thought JM3 was the official games from the Doctor.
     
     
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Feb. 7, 2010 - 9:28 AM ET #350

    JM3 = JM's Version 3 plays.
    None of these strategies are working very well against JM's version 3 plays.  The books lines are not even different.
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    JM3 = JM's Version 3 plays.
    None of these strategies are working very well against JM's version 3 plays.  The books lines are not even different.
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