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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Anti-JM NBA Thread

    123 ... 232425 Next Last»
    smitler
    matt4000
    WaterHammer
    730champ
    puppetm716
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    123 ... 232425 Next Last»
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2009 - 12:39 AM ET #1

    Real simple.  Play the opposite of JM (home team) ATS and don't buy any points.

    YTD: 3-0 with Raptors series going to B
    11/1
    JM   A Hawks +11 Win
    AJM A Lakers -6.5 Win
    11/3
    JM   A Nuggets -1.5 Win
    AJM A Pacers +6 Loss, 11/4-B Nets +9 Loss, 11/6-C Heat pk Win
    11/3
    JM   A Suns +6 Win
    AJM A Heat -3.5 Loss, 11/4-B Magic -8 Win
    11/6
    JM   A Raptors +7 Win
    AJM A Hornets -4 Loss

    I try to wait for line movement so that's why the lines don't match.
    Did a little unofficial tracking last year and it seemed promising, but no data gathered.
    This system did go 11-0 in WNBA this past year.

    Next Play: Raptors at Mavs 11/7
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Real simple.  Play the opposite of JM (home team) ATS and don't buy any points.

    YTD: 3-0 with Raptors series going to B
    11/1
    JM   A Hawks +11 Win
    AJM A Lakers -6.5 Win
    11/3
    JM   A Nuggets -1.5 Win
    AJM A Pacers +6 Loss, 11/4-B Nets +9 Loss, 11/6-C Heat pk Win
    11/3
    JM   A Suns +6 Win
    AJM A Heat -3.5 Loss, 11/4-B Magic -8 Win
    11/6
    JM   A Raptors +7 Win
    AJM A Hornets -4 Loss

    I try to wait for line movement so that's why the lines don't match.
    Did a little unofficial tracking last year and it seemed promising, but no data gathered.
    This system did go 11-0 in WNBA this past year.

    Next Play: Raptors at Mavs 11/7
     
    matt4000
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2009 - 10:51 AM ET #2

    Great idea! Keep up the good work.

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    Great idea! Keep up the good work.

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2009 - 11:12 AM ET #3

    B Mavs -7.5 tonight
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    B Mavs -7.5 tonight
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2009 - 5:49 PM ET #4

    Not sure if Nuggets are a JM pick or not but i will play it and see how it goes.
    11/7 A Nuggets +5.5
           A Hawks -2.5
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    Not sure if Nuggets are a JM pick or not but i will play it and see how it goes.
    11/7 A Nuggets +5.5
           A Hawks -2.5
     
    WaterHammer
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2009 - 7:29 PM ET #5

    Nuggets not a JM play on Nov. 7th
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    Nuggets not a JM play on Nov. 7th
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2009 - 10:52 PM ET #6

    Anti-JM YTD: 5-0
    AJM: B Mavs -7.5

    JM:   (I played it) A Nuggets +5.5 Loser. B is 11/10 Nuggets at Bulls
    AJM  A Hawks -2.5
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    Anti-JM YTD: 5-0
    AJM: B Mavs -7.5

    JM:   (I played it) A Nuggets +5.5 Loser. B is 11/10 Nuggets at Bulls
    AJM  A Hawks -2.5
     
    730champ
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2009 - 10:57 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by WaterHammer:

    Nuggets not a JM play on Nov. 7th

     

     

    how come?

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    Quote Originally Posted by WaterHammer:

    Nuggets not a JM play on Nov. 7th

     

     

    how come?

     
    WaterHammer
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 2:46 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by 730champ:

     

     

    how come?


    My fault....yes it was a play.
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    Quote Originally Posted by 730champ:

     

     

    how come?


    My fault....yes it was a play.
     
    WaterHammer
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    Posted: Nov. 8, 2009 - 8:29 PM ET #9

    Denver was not a JM play because only the first 3 games of a road series are used in the system.....Denver vs Atanta was Denver's 4th or 5th road game.

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    Denver was not a JM play because only the first 3 games of a road series are used in the system.....Denver vs Atanta was Denver's 4th or 5th road game.

     
    puppetm716
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 12:26 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by WaterHammer:

    Denver was not a JM play because only the first 3 games of a road series are used in the system.....Denver vs Atanta was Denver's 4th or 5th road game.

      That is debateable.

     

    I have JM system rules right in front of me

    "One other thing to note is if your team is playing 6 games on the road vs all opponents of the different conference, then you can split that up into two different series, one beginning with the first game and one beginning with the 4th game."

    For the record, no email was sent by JM as confirmation.

    Also I did not play Den (A) game 4 of 6 game road trip. 

    I got the Den win already and will just move on.

     

    The question still remains, it is or it isn't    LOL

    Best of Luck

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    Quote Originally Posted by WaterHammer:

    Denver was not a JM play because only the first 3 games of a road series are used in the system.....Denver vs Atanta was Denver's 4th or 5th road game.

      That is debateable.

     

    I have JM system rules right in front of me

    "One other thing to note is if your team is playing 6 games on the road vs all opponents of the different conference, then you can split that up into two different series, one beginning with the first game and one beginning with the 4th game."

    For the record, no email was sent by JM as confirmation.

    Also I did not play Den (A) game 4 of 6 game road trip. 

    I got the Den win already and will just move on.

     

    The question still remains, it is or it isn't    LOL

    Best of Luck

     
    papagunnz
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 7:16 AM ET #11

    yeah i made a mistake and took the denver game myself...but considering who they play..lol..iam not sweatin this one...nugs are one of the strongest ATS so far this season....i like those chances!!

    Hey utah is a "A" play against the knicks right?
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    yeah i made a mistake and took the denver game myself...but considering who they play..lol..iam not sweatin this one...nugs are one of the strongest ATS so far this season....i like those chances!!

    Hey utah is a "A" play against the knicks right?
     
    papagunnz
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 7:19 AM ET #12

    @ NY (A)
    @ C's (B)
    @ 76ers (C)

    i believe this is our set correct?
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    @ NY (A)
    @ C's (B)
    @ 76ers (C)

    i believe this is our set correct?
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 10:16 AM ET #13

    11/9
    JM   A Jazz (buy 3 pts) -5 last night
    AJM A Knicks (buy no points) may get better line later

    Nuggets will be a B play on 11/10.
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    11/9
    JM   A Jazz (buy 3 pts) -5 last night
    AJM A Knicks (buy no points) may get better line later

    Nuggets will be a B play on 11/10.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 10:23 AM ET #14

    I took Knicks +6 this morning.
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    I took Knicks +6 this morning.
     
    WaterHammer
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 1:08 PM ET #15

    I did not get an email for the Denver game #4 either so I consider it a no play.
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    I did not get an email for the Denver game #4 either so I consider it a no play.
     
    papagunnz
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 5:23 PM ET #16

    your not gonna get an email about denver....its your choice to play the back end of that long road trip....
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    your not gonna get an email about denver....its your choice to play the back end of that long road trip....
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 5:24 PM ET #17

    That's fine Hammer, let it go.
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    That's fine Hammer, let it go.
     
    tightflks
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 5:53 PM ET #18

    how/where can i sign up for the emails?  does it cost?
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    how/where can i sign up for the emails?  does it cost?
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 10:01 PM ET #19

    11/9
    JM   A Jazz (buy 3 pts) -5 last night PUSH PUSH PUSH PUSH PUSH
    AJM A Knicks (buy no points) may get better line later

    Anti-JohnMorrison (AJM) YTD: 6-0
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    11/9
    JM   A Jazz (buy 3 pts) -5 last night PUSH PUSH PUSH PUSH PUSH
    AJM A Knicks (buy no points) may get better line later

    Anti-JohnMorrison (AJM) YTD: 6-0
     
    ethancraft50
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 10:08 PM ET #20

    Looks very promising so far....and without the added juice.

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    Looks very promising so far....and without the added juice.

     
    retire_early
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    Posted: Nov. 9, 2009 - 11:42 PM ET #21

    I am "anti"
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    I am "anti"
     
    puppetm716
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2009 - 12:44 AM ET #22

    Smitler,

    I like the anti concept.

    and so far so good this season.

     

    I decided to back test from last year.

    I have only done Orl (2) Mia (1) Hou (1) Dal (1) Chi (1) Okl C (1) and have already found 7 losses to your system using last year as a sample.

    Just curious if you backtested and was hoping to compare results.

    Even though this system is wagering without buying points this many losses going to the "C" wager is already nearing the break even mark and I haven't even gone thru half the league yet.

    Just wondering what you came up with.

    I am not trying to bash, just trying to help us all find the best way to make $$$$.

    For the record I did play the Knicks on Monday

    Thanks for your posts.

    Best of Luck

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    Smitler,

    I like the anti concept.

    and so far so good this season.

     

    I decided to back test from last year.

    I have only done Orl (2) Mia (1) Hou (1) Dal (1) Chi (1) Okl C (1) and have already found 7 losses to your system using last year as a sample.

    Just curious if you backtested and was hoping to compare results.

    Even though this system is wagering without buying points this many losses going to the "C" wager is already nearing the break even mark and I haven't even gone thru half the league yet.

    Just wondering what you came up with.

    I am not trying to bash, just trying to help us all find the best way to make $$$$.

    For the record I did play the Knicks on Monday

    Thanks for your posts.

    Best of Luck

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2009 - 8:51 AM ET #23

    No I haven't had time or patience to do any back testing.  I'm playin it as a small wager experiment.
    Did you note any trends that would minimize those seven losses?
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    No I haven't had time or patience to do any back testing.  I'm playin it as a small wager experiment.
    Did you note any trends that would minimize those seven losses?
     
    puppetm716
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    Posted: Nov. 10, 2009 - 3:59 PM ET #24

    No, i don't see any trends.

    Just looking for JM system road teams which won 3 straight using the regular pointspread. I had started going team by team past results using last year's season, right here on the covers site..

    You are correct it is very time consuming but backtesting is just that time consuming.  I have seen enough in my testing already.

    It is good that you are just experimenting because this system does not seem to be automatic. It will be interesting to see how it pans out for the rest of the season.

    Hope this system remains profitable for the whole season.

    Best of Luck

     

     

     

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    No, i don't see any trends.

    Just looking for JM system road teams which won 3 straight using the regular pointspread. I had started going team by team past results using last year's season, right here on the covers site..

    You are correct it is very time consuming but backtesting is just that time consuming.  I have seen enough in my testing already.

    It is good that you are just experimenting because this system does not seem to be automatic. It will be interesting to see how it pans out for the rest of the season.

    Hope this system remains profitable for the whole season.

    Best of Luck

     

     

     

     
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Nov. 10, 2009 - 11:42 PM ET #25

    Nuggets covered tonight if you bought 3 points.

    11/11
    JM    A Warriors +4.5/7.5
    AJM A Pacers -4.5
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    Nuggets covered tonight if you bought 3 points.

    11/11
    JM    A Warriors +4.5/7.5
    AJM A Pacers -4.5
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