Anti-JM NBA Thread

https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFBsbUl0T2NFX2hncGQ0QnJ4QnhuRlE&hl=en&output=html

Is anyone going to chase GSW? They're on a 5 game trip

V1

11/7 @ DET +1 (-110) W

11/8 @TOR -1.5 (-110) L

V1

11/10 @NYK -3.5 (-110)

11/11 @CHI

11/13 @MIL

Don't think this would officially be a V1 play, but they have 3 games remaining all vs. the opposite conference. Might be worth a look

They have already covered......no more chase for me....

Here we go again with Orlando...unbelievable. Up 17 in the 3rd. Jazz go on a 24-2 run.

Looking like another tough C-bet with UTA @ATL on Fri

Yea that was unbelievable. I did Orlando at -150 to win the 3rd quarter when they were up 10 points at halftime. Then Derron Williams had to make a 3 with the Magic playing bad pick and roll defense,

ajm blowin balls so far. Just keep it goin smitler. This crap will come around.

Another A-JM V2 loss with PHI @OKC -8.5

Which I believe means there are 3 pending C-bets now

11/11 BOS @ MIA -6.5

11/12 PHI @ DAL

11/12 UTA @ ATL

Gotta say this system is causing me wayyy too much stress. Almost every loss lately has been 4th quarter backdoor cover.

 

11/12 phi @ dal is a B

I played PHI @NYK as the A-bet, making it a V2 chase, which in retrospect was a stupid decision.

If DAL fails to cover I'll have to play the Spurs as a D-bet I suppose

It has its ups and downs...the key is stay alive...money mgmt will push you through the down times if you use a safe percentage of your bankroll each play.  I use 5%.  I do not buy points because you will get buried on a loss and will take a loss at only 7 units if I know I am banging out a win percentage in the 90s. 

Series loss with Boston. Pissed that I didnt fade ajm on this one. Felt this one coming all along but didnt pull the trigger.

Oh well, labby absorbs it well.

true morrison B plays today,
strong situations.

houston and detroit, gl
going heavy straight up, hoping to push at worst

I would be very careful tonight......Jazz are only getting 2 against the Bobcats.  I have been notified in the past that odds makers screw with the lines because of this system.....i say the same with the grizz only 3 dawgs...don't take what i say as your decision maker but some food for thought...

Does anyone know what was the two losses from last year?

Would be interesting to know how many pts the two losses lost by.

Correct me if I'm wrong...but the AJM just had a two C losing plays?   (against LAL & NY).

Yeah...I've already had four C losing plays with AJM so far this season.

It's my fault guys. I started doing AJM this year for the first time, so of course it loses 4 series already.

With 4 losses already it is hard to be confident playing this system moving forward. It may be time to put this system to bed for the year and move on to something else.