All Forums | Systems & Strategies

Anti-JM NBA Thread

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 48263
Posts: 619
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #576
Quote Originally Posted by movado12080:

sorry if this has already been asked, but is AJM version 3 a play? (lakers tnite)

i know its up to me to play it if i want, just wondering if you guys do..

thanks



I do believe you would get the official email from JM stating memphis is his V3 play.  I only get V1 emails so can't be 100% sure.  I'm playing it the usual both ways.
V3 JM record was 26-2 so its not as reliable as V1 and V2.  You will need good money management to turn a profit at 26-2.  AJM V3 record was so bad I stopped playing it last year.
I may go back and see what the AJM record would have been if I kept playing it.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 71
Posted: #577

Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



I do believe you would get the official email from JM stating memphis is his V3 play.  I only get V1 emails so can't be 100% sure.  I'm playing it the usual both ways.
V3 JM record was 26-2 so its not as reliable as V1 and V2.  You will need good money management to turn a profit at 26-2.  AJM V3 record was so bad I stopped playing it last year.
I may go back and see what the AJM record would have been if I kept playing it.

that would be awesome and very helpful! how do you get emails?

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #578
Quote Originally Posted by movado12080:

that would be awesome and very helpful! how do you get emails?



You have to buy his system.  I bought it when he only had Version 1.
Then of course he wanted me to buy 2 and 3, but then I found covers.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #579
ALL AJM V3 PLAYERS RUN FOR Z HILLS!
LOOKED BACK AT THE RECORD AND IT WAS 20-9. THREE OF THOSE BEING 4 GAME BEAT DOWNS.

Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

JM NBA V3.0

Jan 27 Miami Heat                             1-0
Jan 27 Denver Nuggets                       2-0
Jan 31 Golden State Warriors             3-0
Jan 31 Phoenix Suns                         4-0
Feb 1 Milwaukee Bucks                      5-0
Feb 3 New Jersey Nets                       6-0
Feb 3 Miami Heat                               7-0
Feb 3 Oklahoma City Thunder              8-0
Feb 3 San Antonio Spurs                     9-0
Feb 8 Dallas Mavericks                       10-0
Feb 10 Miami Heat                              11-0
Feb 16 Utah Jazz                                  12-0
Feb 17 Sacramento Kings                  12-1
Feb 25 Milwaukee Bucks                     13-1
Mar 2 Sacramento Kings                      14-1
Mar 3 Oklahoma City Thunder              15-1
Mar 10 Denver Nuggets                         16-1
Mar 12 Los Angeles Lakers                   17-1
Mar 14 Minnesota Timberwolves           17-2
Mar 14 New Orleans Hornets                 18-2
Mar 18 Orlando Magic                               19-2
Mar 19 Charlotte Bobcats                          20-2
Mar 22 Miami Heat                                      21-2
Mar 24 Los Angeles Lakers                      22-2
Apr 1 Portland Trailblazers                        23-2
Apr 4 San Antonio Spurs                           24-2
Apr 7 Utah Jazz                                             25-2
Apr 9 Dallas Mavericks                               26-2
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 423
Posted: #580
curious if anyone has ever tried an ANTI JM NHL system....essentially fading a team going on a 3 game road trip?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #581
Quote Originally Posted by stickbit:

curious if anyone has ever tried an ANTI JM NHL system....essentially fading a team going on a 3 game road trip?


I play all things JM: "Anti"
Played it last year, but would have to look back to see how it did.
Not playing it this year so it must not have been that remarkable.  I like my own system better.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 4
Posted: #582

Hey smitler are u playing this system again this year??? i'm gonna try it out with the labby system only for v1 and v2.........

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #583
Yes I'm playing it both ways and will probably spot play a few V3 plays.
I do it a little differently though.  I almost always use betus for AJM and another book for JM and only buy 2 points at -150.
Betus is usually 1/2 point or more higher for JM lines than other books.
For example, its like getting the AJM play at -5 -110 and the JM play at +7.5 -150 (buying 2 points with a 1/2 point difference between books).
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 7616
Posted: #584
Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

Yes I'm playing it both ways and will probably spot play a few V3 plays.
I do it a little differently though.  I almost always use betus for AJM and another book for JM and only buy 2 points at -150.
Betus is usually 1/2 point or more higher for JM lines than other books.
For example, its like getting the AJM play at -5 -110 and the JM play at +7.5 -150 (buying 2 points with a 1/2 point difference between books).
sure wish you would track plays like last year!
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 19229
Posted: #585

AJM should be a nice one with the LAC

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 2256
Posted: #586
with AntiJM v1 and 2  a play is when the opposite team is playing at home or it doesn't matter?
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 19229
Posted: #587
no you fading the team you would normally chase.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 2256
Posted: #588
Quote Originally Posted by JJsLocks:

no you fading the team you would normally chase.


Following  every game for v1 and v2 wouldn't that give us more than 100 series so i dont understand why smitler record for last year is 80-2..
Am i missing something?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 20
Posted: #589
how would you set up the labby line for the system(s)?  sorry if that is a stupid question.  thanks.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 106
Posted: #590
can anyone help and just go over system and what to fade & whats v1 v2? or where to go to get this system thanks
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 121
Posted: #591
Well most of us lost the B on Chicago because of a final second shot and now we have to go to a C for Anti-JM NBA.Those of us who got the line for Chicago at -2, is a push considered a win and we stop the chase? or do we chase the C game?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 1273
Posted: #592

Am I the only one really worried about potentially getting crushed here? Playing V1, V2, and V3 there are currently 4 pending C-bets.Cleveland (V3), LA Clippers (V3), Denver (V2), and Boston (V2) are a combined 8-0 ATS on their trips.

Tonight had Bulls -3 and Mavs -3, each one point losses. I understand these things happen with chase systems and there will be losses, but this is ridiculous.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #593
Options are to tease and/or parlay all three in addition to playing each small or in lieu thereof.
There are many options. I see it as an opportunity.

Although I haven't done this across versions before I will parlay and maybe tease these 3 C bets tomorrow and play just a little (if any) on each straight up.
It's early in the season and I don't think all three will hit so save your money to fight another day.  But just in case all three do hit that parlay saved your ass.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 1094
Posted: #594

Anti JM version 3 and 4 didn't do very well last year.  Version 1 and 2 were the ones that went 80-2 or whatever.  Be careful with the Cleveland and LAC bets.  I'm sure at least one of the Boston/Chicago bets will cover though, if not both.

NASTY loss on the Chicago game last night.  Absolutely fucking ridiculous

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 19229
Posted: #595

Quote Originally Posted by Albert9756:

Well most of us lost the B on Chicago because of a final second shot and now we have to go to a C for Anti-JM NBA.Those of us who got the line for Chicago at -2, is a push considered a win and we stop the chase? or do we chase the C game?


It is never smart to play a chase after a push...this system is based on probability and if you pushed or lost by a few points....that game more than likely should have been your hit...

I think Smitler's recommendation of putting a small play on the Pacers is the safest play...This is a pick em, never the best case scenario in a game 3 bet....'live to fight another day'.

I am not playing Anti JM on the V3 because of its track record...so no advice there....I could see the Nets winning, leaning them on a straight play.

What scares me is the TWolves.........just one cover all season and they have the Lakers.

 

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 19229
Posted: #596
Also, not sure if you guys discussed but '1 unit' should be 5-10% of your bankroll at a maximum.....this will help avoid getting crushed and in situations of early season losses...Labourchere should be even more conservative.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 1273
Posted: #597

Smither, Smdio, JJ     Thanks for the advice

This season is my first playing an NBA Chase system, so naturally getting a little frustrated. Started playing JM but wasn't comfortable laying so much juice buying 3 pts every game.

Switched to A-JM and plays are 2-8 so far, but the season is young. I will continue to play V1 and V2, but will tread lightly with V3 and decide whether to play or pass on a case by case basis depending on the teams. The big picture in the NBA should be much clearer in a month or so.

I see 2 new A-JM V1 chases tonight. UTA @MIA and DET @POR

As for the 4 C-bets I will wait and see what the spreads are at closer to gametime. Currently there has been line movement towards the road team in all 6 system games tonight.

I will likely tease as well given there have been so many 1-2 pt losses.

BOL everyone  let's try to recoup some losses tonight

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 1273
Posted: #598

Make that 3 c-bets tonight. BOS @MIA 11/11 is the 4th pending

Also JJ MIN already lost ATS @HOU so I don't believe they are a play tonight

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 19229
Posted: #599
Quote Originally Posted by cashColt:

Make that 3 c-bets tonight. BOS @MIA 11/11 is the 4th pending

Also JJ MIN already lost ATS @HOU so I don't believe they are a play tonight

I am play JM v3 and not AJM v3.....so the Twolves would be the chase....is that not correct????

 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2387
Posted: #600
Cs went 2-1 + 5pt teaser - 3tp parlay got a good portion of that lost $ back without risking a shit load.

Those are behind us and we live to fight another day.
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.