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    All Forums | Streak Survivor

    Serious Streak Survivor Strategies

    «First Previous 335336337 ... 587588589 Next Last»
    CZECH_RAZOR
    Plisskin76
    edwardglennx3
    smoothd20
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    «First Previous 335336337 ... 587588589 Next Last»
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 8:05 PM ET #8351

    Damn guys I forgot to post earlier but I did take NY and they're looking good so far.

    SHARP PLAY FOR THE NIGHT

    OKC UNDER 194 (or 193.5 depending on your book's price)
    Reply
    Damn guys I forgot to post earlier but I did take NY and they're looking good so far.

    SHARP PLAY FOR THE NIGHT

    OKC UNDER 194 (or 193.5 depending on your book's price)
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 8:06 PM ET #8352

    I'm gonna take credit for the NY pick since I did post earlier that I would be taking them as long as line didn't go above 5.5 and it didn't.  

    My 2 plays for tonight are:

    NY +5.5
    OKC under 194
    Reply
    I'm gonna take credit for the NY pick since I did post earlier that I would be taking them as long as line didn't go above 5.5 and it didn't.  

    My 2 plays for tonight are:

    NY +5.5
    OKC under 194
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 8:11 PM ET #8353

    Guys no offense but there is not one rational reason for taking an under simply due to a team's proximity to the Pacific Ocean.  You can look in the past and find a trend to match anything you want but it doesn't necessarily mean anything.

    Maybe that trend persists for a real reason though.  This is what you should consider.  If there is a certain reason why it may persist then we should look at it. I can't think of any possible reasons but what do i know.
    Reply
    Guys no offense but there is not one rational reason for taking an under simply due to a team's proximity to the Pacific Ocean.  You can look in the past and find a trend to match anything you want but it doesn't necessarily mean anything.

    Maybe that trend persists for a real reason though.  This is what you should consider.  If there is a certain reason why it may persist then we should look at it. I can't think of any possible reasons but what do i know.
     
    Plisskin76
    Plisskin76
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 8:39 PM ET #8354

    Hey,czech, thats not the reason,lol. All west coast ballparks are huge,pitching is great normally and most teams have no offense or offensive stars.

    Hey czech,the pacific ocean part was meant for humor.

    The salt air weighs the ball down in flight also.

    Reply

    Hey,czech, thats not the reason,lol. All west coast ballparks are huge,pitching is great normally and most teams have no offense or offensive stars.

    Hey czech,the pacific ocean part was meant for humor.

    The salt air weighs the ball down in flight also.

     
    Plisskin76
    Plisskin76
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 8:40 PM ET #8355

    Czech,I already knew the reason why.
    Reply
    Czech,I already knew the reason why.
     
    Plisskin76
    Plisskin76
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 8:41 PM ET #8356

    Heat 2H -6

    Under pick is dead,lol

    Reply

    Heat 2H -6

    Under pick is dead,lol

     
    edwardglennx3
    edwardglennx3
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 8:45 PM ET #8357

    Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

    Guys no offense but there is not one rational reason for taking an under simply due to a team's proximity to the Pacific Ocean.  You can look in the past and find a trend to match anything you want but it doesn't necessarily mean anything.

    Maybe that trend persists for a real reason though.  This is what you should consider.  If there is a certain reason why it may persist then we should look at it. I can't think of any possible reasons but what do i know.

    FOR THE SAME REASON YOU USE YOUR SYSTEM, BECAUSE THE PERCENTAGE IS ATLEAST 60%!!!!

    Its what is hot right now and the percentage is well above 60%. any jackass can go to vegas and throw down 10 or 20 grand on a line, and jack that line up. doesn't necessarily mean they are a sharp. They might of just paid for that pick and the dude assured him it is the pick of the year so mortgage the house!!!

    Your line system works only for the simple fact that it hits 60%. 

    A system is a system. History shows the west coast under
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

    Guys no offense but there is not one rational reason for taking an under simply due to a team's proximity to the Pacific Ocean.  You can look in the past and find a trend to match anything you want but it doesn't necessarily mean anything.

    Maybe that trend persists for a real reason though.  This is what you should consider.  If there is a certain reason why it may persist then we should look at it. I can't think of any possible reasons but what do i know.

    FOR THE SAME REASON YOU USE YOUR SYSTEM, BECAUSE THE PERCENTAGE IS ATLEAST 60%!!!!

    Its what is hot right now and the percentage is well above 60%. any jackass can go to vegas and throw down 10 or 20 grand on a line, and jack that line up. doesn't necessarily mean they are a sharp. They might of just paid for that pick and the dude assured him it is the pick of the year so mortgage the house!!!

    Your line system works only for the simple fact that it hits 60%. 

    A system is a system. History shows the west coast under
     
    edwardglennx3
    edwardglennx3
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 8:50 PM ET #8358

    Oh yeah,,,,BTW,,,my POD is the under Miami Game,,,i know its 3rd quarter, but the under is the POD
    Reply
    Oh yeah,,,,BTW,,,my POD is the under Miami Game,,,i know its 3rd quarter, but the under is the POD
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:25 PM ET #8359

    Lol the under was the POD. Ny was suspect too. Lol once again I break my own rules on NY since line went back up and now hoping to get lucky.

    Okc under still looks good

    Thanks pliss for the info. Lol that's why I mentioned before I don't know dick about baseball. Thanks for the info though I didn't really know that stuff
    Reply
    Lol the under was the POD. Ny was suspect too. Lol once again I break my own rules on NY since line went back up and now hoping to get lucky.

    Okc under still looks good

    Thanks pliss for the info. Lol that's why I mentioned before I don't know dick about baseball. Thanks for the info though I didn't really know that stuff
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:26 PM ET #8360

    Hey Edward man wouldn't it be nice if we followed our own knowledge sometimes. You coulda banked on your strategy and I'd be banking on mine too if I didn't break the rules ever night. Only the OKC pick really qualified but I was reaching and wanted to bet NY. plus I hate Miami. Oh well hope Knicks can find a way to cover.
    Reply
    Hey Edward man wouldn't it be nice if we followed our own knowledge sometimes. You coulda banked on your strategy and I'd be banking on mine too if I didn't break the rules ever night. Only the OKC pick really qualified but I was reaching and wanted to bet NY. plus I hate Miami. Oh well hope Knicks can find a way to cover.
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:31 PM ET #8361

    I dont mind my Knicks play either necessarily although they aren't covering at the moment. I still liked the play not saying I didn't by any means. Just saying I've been talking shit about my system so I should at least try sticking to it for a little bit.
    Reply
    I dont mind my Knicks play either necessarily although they aren't covering at the moment. I still liked the play not saying I didn't by any means. Just saying I've been talking shit about my system so I should at least try sticking to it for a little bit.
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:33 PM ET #8362

    Does anyone have an opinion on the hockey game? I noticed the total dropped to 4.5 and I already liked under before but now I'm not sure what I want to do. I liked LA for whole series originally but they're already up 2-0 and stl needs a win for sure. Idk
    Reply
    Does anyone have an opinion on the hockey game? I noticed the total dropped to 4.5 and I already liked under before but now I'm not sure what I want to do. I liked LA for whole series originally but they're already up 2-0 and stl needs a win for sure. Idk
     
    edwardglennx3
    edwardglennx3
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:35 PM ET #8363

    Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

    Hey Edward man wouldn't it be nice if we followed our own knowledge sometimes. You coulda banked on your strategy and I'd be banking on mine too if I didn't break the rules ever night. Only the OKC pick really qualified but I was reaching and wanted to bet NY. plus I hate Miami. Oh well hope Knicks can find a way to cover.

    Don't push a pick Czech,,,thats one thing i still haven't learned.....it takes discipline.  i get greedy all the time and push a pick onto a parlay for a bigger payout, and that one simple pick costs me BIG!!!!!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

    Hey Edward man wouldn't it be nice if we followed our own knowledge sometimes. You coulda banked on your strategy and I'd be banking on mine too if I didn't break the rules ever night. Only the OKC pick really qualified but I was reaching and wanted to bet NY. plus I hate Miami. Oh well hope Knicks can find a way to cover.

    Don't push a pick Czech,,,thats one thing i still haven't learned.....it takes discipline.  i get greedy all the time and push a pick onto a parlay for a bigger payout, and that one simple pick costs me BIG!!!!!
     
    edwardglennx3
    edwardglennx3
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:40 PM ET #8364

    Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

    I dont mind my Knicks play either necessarily although they aren't covering at the moment. I still liked the play not saying I didn't by any means. Just saying I've been talking shit about my system so I should at least try sticking to it for a little bit.

    Why don't you take your system plays for the day, and just pick the top 2. or take what the system shows you but put your personal opinion into it, like the Knicks for example, your system showed to play them, but yet we know Stoudemire is out. That alone making it iffy, would be a no play.

    if the system shows NY, and you do your research and see that NY has a lot healthier of a team than miami, than lay the wood on NY
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

    I dont mind my Knicks play either necessarily although they aren't covering at the moment. I still liked the play not saying I didn't by any means. Just saying I've been talking shit about my system so I should at least try sticking to it for a little bit.

    Why don't you take your system plays for the day, and just pick the top 2. or take what the system shows you but put your personal opinion into it, like the Knicks for example, your system showed to play them, but yet we know Stoudemire is out. That alone making it iffy, would be a no play.

    if the system shows NY, and you do your research and see that NY has a lot healthier of a team than miami, than lay the wood on NY
     
    edwardglennx3
    edwardglennx3
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:43 PM ET #8365

    Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

    Does anyone have an opinion on the hockey game? I noticed the total dropped to 4.5 and I already liked under before but now I'm not sure what I want to do. I liked LA for whole series originally but they're already up 2-0 and stl needs a win for sure. Idk


    Under66 % ( 918 - 471 )93 % ( 14 - 1 )

    Public is all over it for being a low total, but the Experts(sharps) are 14-1 on it as well
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR:

    Does anyone have an opinion on the hockey game? I noticed the total dropped to 4.5 and I already liked under before but now I'm not sure what I want to do. I liked LA for whole series originally but they're already up 2-0 and stl needs a win for sure. Idk


    Under66 % ( 918 - 471 )93 % ( 14 - 1 )

    Public is all over it for being a low total, but the Experts(sharps) are 14-1 on it as well
     
    Plisskin76
    Plisskin76
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:52 PM ET #8366

    1-1 so far after bad over pick.

    Gonna watch 1st half of mavs and maybe have a play for 2H.

    Reply

    1-1 so far after bad over pick.

    Gonna watch 1st half of mavs and maybe have a play for 2H.

     
    Plisskin76
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:55 PM ET #8367

    Czech,no problems. You siad you hate miami heat. One thing in betting is you can not have emotional dislikes for teams,it will lose you money by the boatloads. you have to take your own personal likes/dislikes out of the equation.

    A lot of teams you dislike can make you money.

    Reply

    Czech,no problems. You siad you hate miami heat. One thing in betting is you can not have emotional dislikes for teams,it will lose you money by the boatloads. you have to take your own personal likes/dislikes out of the equation.

    A lot of teams you dislike can make you money.

     
    Plisskin76
    Plisskin76
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 9:57 PM ET #8368

    gonna pass angels under tonite,i missed SF under win so i'll wait till saturday.

    if you guys bet it good luck!

    Reply

    gonna pass angels under tonite,i missed SF under win so i'll wait till saturday.

    if you guys bet it good luck!

     
    CZECH_RAZOR
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 10:00 PM ET #8369

    I'll take credit for the Knicks play as a system play even though it wasn't technically. 7/7 with this okc under pending.
    Reply
    I'll take credit for the Knicks play as a system play even though it wasn't technically. 7/7 with this okc under pending.
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 10:02 PM ET #8370

    That's what makes me nervous about that under. I took LA
    Reply
    That's what makes me nervous about that under. I took LA
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 10:05 PM ET #8371

    Hey Edward thanks for sharing your thoughts. Yeah I frustrate myself to no end. I should only take the ones that meet all the criteria. I've been saying it and not doing it. I'll get it down eventually though been trying to cut down my plays per day, etc. discipline seems key
    Reply
    Hey Edward thanks for sharing your thoughts. Yeah I frustrate myself to no end. I should only take the ones that meet all the criteria. I've been saying it and not doing it. I'll get it down eventually though been trying to cut down my plays per day, etc. discipline seems key
     
    edwardglennx3
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    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 10:14 PM ET #8372

    Atleast you get back up and Ride....I woulda done been like to hell with it. LOL...

    You have faith in it which does mean a lot, it takes faith to get back on that horse and Ride Out


    Reply
    Atleast you get back up and Ride....I woulda done been like to hell with it. LOL...

    You have faith in it which does mean a lot, it takes faith to get back on that horse and Ride Out


     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posts: 8163
    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 10:17 PM ET #8373

    Czech-West Coast night baseball explained. Plisskin touched on it a little I will elaborate. We will start with the Northwest. Seattle has had a pathetic offense for years now. This year is a little better. But because the Stadium is close to water the ball doesn't carry well at night. Thats just a scientific fact. I live in Portland 160 miles south of Seattle. I go to about 4-5 games a year up there especially when my Yankees come to town. Great stadium. But the numbers will show you  that historically night games go under Seattle. Bay Area teams Oakland-SF. Again I lived in the Bay for 13 years so I'm talking personal knowledge. I go to 1 game a year down there. Mostly when the Yankees come to town. Haven't been to AT&T park in a long time though. The Bay Area is really cool at night especially in the Spring and Summer months. The ball simply doesn't carry well at night. Oakland's stadium is a joke now for a baseball stadium since they remodeled it for the Raiders. Very hard to HR's out of there even in the day time. The Giants play in the most beautiful stadium I have personally been in. The area of town is called the China Basin. It's better than Candlestick but make no mistake it still gets cold and windy in that park. The stadium literally is next to the Bay (McCovey's Cove) as they call it. HR's go to SF to simply die at night. When that wind is blowing combined with the fog and water of the Bay you really have to hit it to kiss it goodbye. Now let's go to Southern Cal. Dodger stadium. You don't have the water to be concerned about but the fact is the Dodgers have great pitching and you simply aren't going to score alot of runs against them for the most part. The only really good hitter they have is Kemp so their games at home are mostly under. Now we go to San Diego. Are you kidding. That is a pitcher's paradise. I haven't been to my hometown's ballpark yet but by all accounts it's the hardest park to hit a HR out of and that's saying something when you include Oakland. Combine the size of the park with the fact that's it's downtown SD where it's close to the water and you have Oakland times 2 in San Diego. I'm sure there's some scientific nerd that could break this down scientifically for you but I'm just giving you the skinny as it pertains to sports investments and why the West Coast numbers are usually unders. Last year was really strange because it was hitting so automatically that some games had a run total of 4.5 and they still came in under if memory serves me correctly. I hope this clears up the West Coast angle. 
    Reply
    Czech-West Coast night baseball explained. Plisskin touched on it a little I will elaborate. We will start with the Northwest. Seattle has had a pathetic offense for years now. This year is a little better. But because the Stadium is close to water the ball doesn't carry well at night. Thats just a scientific fact. I live in Portland 160 miles south of Seattle. I go to about 4-5 games a year up there especially when my Yankees come to town. Great stadium. But the numbers will show you  that historically night games go under Seattle. Bay Area teams Oakland-SF. Again I lived in the Bay for 13 years so I'm talking personal knowledge. I go to 1 game a year down there. Mostly when the Yankees come to town. Haven't been to AT&T park in a long time though. The Bay Area is really cool at night especially in the Spring and Summer months. The ball simply doesn't carry well at night. Oakland's stadium is a joke now for a baseball stadium since they remodeled it for the Raiders. Very hard to HR's out of there even in the day time. The Giants play in the most beautiful stadium I have personally been in. The area of town is called the China Basin. It's better than Candlestick but make no mistake it still gets cold and windy in that park. The stadium literally is next to the Bay (McCovey's Cove) as they call it. HR's go to SF to simply die at night. When that wind is blowing combined with the fog and water of the Bay you really have to hit it to kiss it goodbye. Now let's go to Southern Cal. Dodger stadium. You don't have the water to be concerned about but the fact is the Dodgers have great pitching and you simply aren't going to score alot of runs against them for the most part. The only really good hitter they have is Kemp so their games at home are mostly under. Now we go to San Diego. Are you kidding. That is a pitcher's paradise. I haven't been to my hometown's ballpark yet but by all accounts it's the hardest park to hit a HR out of and that's saying something when you include Oakland. Combine the size of the park with the fact that's it's downtown SD where it's close to the water and you have Oakland times 2 in San Diego. I'm sure there's some scientific nerd that could break this down scientifically for you but I'm just giving you the skinny as it pertains to sports investments and why the West Coast numbers are usually unders. Last year was really strange because it was hitting so automatically that some games had a run total of 4.5 and they still came in under if memory serves me correctly. I hope this clears up the West Coast angle. 
     
    CZECH_RAZOR
    CZECH_RAZOR
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    Posts: 849
    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 10:19 PM ET #8374

    I was born to  Lol

    What's def gonna happen is since I screwed myself on NY the OKC over will hit also and STL will win.  LOL
    Reply
    I was born to  Lol

    What's def gonna happen is since I screwed myself on NY the OKC over will hit also and STL will win.  LOL
     
     
    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posts: 8163
    Posted: May. 3, 2012 - 10:21 PM ET #8375

    I lost on that Phil-NJ under but that's ok because the POD is going to be the Angels bringing the money home to Papa! Let's go Angels beat Toronto! 
    Reply
    I lost on that Phil-NJ under but that's ok because the POD is going to be the Angels bringing the money home to Papa! Let's go Angels beat Toronto! 
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