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    suuma's NFL week six

    «First Previous 123 ... 567 Next Last»
    suuma
    MRxKrazz
    Area51
    melossinglet
    jaydeez40oz
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    «First Previous 123 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:00 PM ET #126

    Got a weird feeling for tonight. I think the Pats care more about beating the Jets next week than the Colts for the third or fourth straight time. Looks like Pats but could be a backdoor cover.
    Reply
    Got a weird feeling for tonight. I think the Pats care more about beating the Jets next week than the Colts for the third or fourth straight time. Looks like Pats but could be a backdoor cover.
     
    MRxKrazz
    MRxKrazz
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:00 PM ET #127

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    5-0 week 

    Hell of a week SUUMA!!!!! 

    7-2 for me SEA losing SU hurt my supposed big week.

    Sitting on this IND / NE game, still watching the line.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    5-0 week 

    Hell of a week SUUMA!!!!! 

    7-2 for me SEA losing SU hurt my supposed big week.

    Sitting on this IND / NE game, still watching the line.
     
    Area51
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:03 PM ET #128

    Reply
     
    melossinglet
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:08 PM ET #129

    ...another winning week,thank you my man.



    not bad for an "average capper"  


    meanwhile that douche deluxe "fade or die" has about an 0-20 lifetime record here at covers...youve got a lot to learn from him,suuma....a lot to learn....if only you really knew how this whole entertainment league worked just imagine wat your record wud be like then??

    Reply
    ...another winning week,thank you my man.



    not bad for an "average capper"  


    meanwhile that douche deluxe "fade or die" has about an 0-20 lifetime record here at covers...youve got a lot to learn from him,suuma....a lot to learn....if only you really knew how this whole entertainment league worked just imagine wat your record wud be like then??

     
    jaydeez40oz
    jaydeez40oz
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:10 PM ET #130

    Nice job Summa! 

    Was so happy to see you on Steelers +4.

    Currently freerolling my spread survivor pool for 10k, my NE -9 versus his ARI -3.5.

    Keep it coming Suuma! You're honestly the best capper on here! Only thread I give relevance to.

    go pats go!
    Reply
    Nice job Summa! 

    Was so happy to see you on Steelers +4.

    Currently freerolling my spread survivor pool for 10k, my NE -9 versus his ARI -3.5.

    Keep it coming Suuma! You're honestly the best capper on here! Only thread I give relevance to.

    go pats go!
     
    Dogjimbo
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 8:24 PM ET #131

    Reply
     
    naesiy
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 10:59 PM ET #132


    Reply

     
    scalabrine
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 11:05 PM ET #133

    Quote Originally Posted by BetFriends:


    You're an idiot. 'Fading the public' and following imaginary sharps on 'line movement' is a long-term 50% capping strategy -- because you're making decisions on something that doesn't actually exist.

    Don't tell someone who actually handicaps the game of football that they need to learn how to factor in non-existent elements.

    I guarantee you've never tracked your public/sharp RLM results over the course of one or more seasons, because if you'd had you'd have discovered the 100% reliable ZERO effect it has on any long-term records. 

    Watching RLM movement and fading who you think 'the public' is on is the same as factoring in which star signs are in orbit on the night of your bets. 



    You're dead wrong bud.

    The public of course does exist. Talk to any sportsbook manager and he will tell you it does (something you've clearly never done.)

    And lines most certainly move off of sharp money.

    Again, this is well documented in the sportsbooking world.

    Now, to your larger point of FOLLOWING these things to make money?

    Well, do such a thing over the long-term and it is a 50/50 proposition. Capping just can't be reduced to these things. I like to use them just as icing on the cake for my picks already capped.

    But you can do some line reading (which works) and find out and access reliable sources where money came from.

    You don't have any experience with this so I understand your why you are saying what saying.

    Suuma.....a PRISTINE week of picks and I think you are well on your way to a 6-0 after MNF.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BetFriends:


    You're an idiot. 'Fading the public' and following imaginary sharps on 'line movement' is a long-term 50% capping strategy -- because you're making decisions on something that doesn't actually exist.

    Don't tell someone who actually handicaps the game of football that they need to learn how to factor in non-existent elements.

    I guarantee you've never tracked your public/sharp RLM results over the course of one or more seasons, because if you'd had you'd have discovered the 100% reliable ZERO effect it has on any long-term records. 

    Watching RLM movement and fading who you think 'the public' is on is the same as factoring in which star signs are in orbit on the night of your bets. 



    You're dead wrong bud.

    The public of course does exist. Talk to any sportsbook manager and he will tell you it does (something you've clearly never done.)

    And lines most certainly move off of sharp money.

    Again, this is well documented in the sportsbooking world.

    Now, to your larger point of FOLLOWING these things to make money?

    Well, do such a thing over the long-term and it is a 50/50 proposition. Capping just can't be reduced to these things. I like to use them just as icing on the cake for my picks already capped.

    But you can do some line reading (which works) and find out and access reliable sources where money came from.

    You don't have any experience with this so I understand your why you are saying what saying.

    Suuma.....a PRISTINE week of picks and I think you are well on your way to a 6-0 after MNF.
     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 11:15 PM ET #134

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    5-0 week 

    Hell yea summa congrats


    *Loving me some rams-5 next week
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    5-0 week 

    Hell yea summa congrats


    *Loving me some rams-5 next week
     
    NinjaNight
    NinjaNight
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2015 - 11:20 PM ET #135

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Got a weird feeling for tonight. I think the Pats care more about beating the Jets next week than the Colts for the third or fourth straight time. Looks like Pats but could be a backdoor cover.

    No disrespect but there's NO WAY that could possibly be true lol
    On a quest to be the very best
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Got a weird feeling for tonight. I think the Pats care more about beating the Jets next week than the Colts for the third or fourth straight time. Looks like Pats but could be a backdoor cover.

    No disrespect but there's NO WAY that could possibly be true lol
     
    LeagueCapper
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 12:27 AM ET #136

    Very nice week bud 
    Reply
    Very nice week bud 
     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 1:19 AM ET #137

    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    ...another winning week,thank you my man.



    not bad for an "average capper"  


    meanwhile that douche deluxe "fade or die" has about an 0-20 lifetime record here at covers...youve got a lot to learn from him,suuma....a lot to learn....if only you really knew how this whole entertainment league worked just imagine wat your record wud be like then??



    Thanks buddy. I just opened a site that shows consensus numbers and faded the public
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    ...another winning week,thank you my man.



    not bad for an "average capper"  


    meanwhile that douche deluxe "fade or die" has about an 0-20 lifetime record here at covers...youve got a lot to learn from him,suuma....a lot to learn....if only you really knew how this whole entertainment league worked just imagine wat your record wud be like then??



    Thanks buddy. I just opened a site that shows consensus numbers and faded the public
     
    Chetmee
    Chetmee
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 1:22 AM ET #138

    Congrats SUUMA...bol on MNF...

    Reply
    Congrats SUUMA...bol on MNF...

     
    Chetmee
    Chetmee
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 1:22 AM ET #139

    Congrats SUUMA...bol on MNF...

    Reply
    Congrats SUUMA...bol on MNF...

     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 1:23 AM ET #140

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


    You're dead wrong bud.

    The public of course does exist. Talk to any sportsbook manager and he will tell you it does (something you've clearly never done.)

    And lines most certainly move off of sharp money.

    Again, this is well documented in the sportsbooking world.

    Now, to your larger point of FOLLOWING these things to make money?

    Well, do such a thing over the long-term and it is a 50/50 proposition. Capping just can't be reduced to these things. I like to use them just as icing on the cake for my picks already capped.

    But you can do some line reading (which works) and find out and access reliable sources where money came from.

    You don't have any experience with this so I understand your why you are saying what saying.

    Suuma.....a PRISTINE week of picks and I think you are well on your way to a 6-0 after MNF.


    But I can't believe that without some proof, scal

    Thanks my friend, I think the Giants are going to get shredded.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


    You're dead wrong bud.

    The public of course does exist. Talk to any sportsbook manager and he will tell you it does (something you've clearly never done.)

    And lines most certainly move off of sharp money.

    Again, this is well documented in the sportsbooking world.

    Now, to your larger point of FOLLOWING these things to make money?

    Well, do such a thing over the long-term and it is a 50/50 proposition. Capping just can't be reduced to these things. I like to use them just as icing on the cake for my picks already capped.

    But you can do some line reading (which works) and find out and access reliable sources where money came from.

    You don't have any experience with this so I understand your why you are saying what saying.

    Suuma.....a PRISTINE week of picks and I think you are well on your way to a 6-0 after MNF.


    But I can't believe that without some proof, scal

    Thanks my friend, I think the Giants are going to get shredded.
     
    suuma
    suuma
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 1:28 AM ET #141

    Hope you guys all had a profitable week
    Reply
    Hope you guys all had a profitable week
     
    anNFLfan
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 9:18 AM ET #142

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Hope you guys all had a profitable week

    Great week Suuma, please keep rolling and providing helpful analysis, appreciated your hard work on that.

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Hope you guys all had a profitable week

    Great week Suuma, please keep rolling and providing helpful analysis, appreciated your hard work on that.

     

     
    NinjaNight
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 10:27 AM ET #143

    Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan:

    Great week Suuma, please keep rolling and providing helpful analysis, appreciated your hard work on that.

     


    ^ This

    I read these threads every week when trying to figure out how the games will play out and how the teams match up against each other

    On a quest to be the very best
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan:

    Great week Suuma, please keep rolling and providing helpful analysis, appreciated your hard work on that.

     


    ^ This

    I read these threads every week when trying to figure out how the games will play out and how the teams match up against each other

     
    ikillbookie
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 10:46 AM ET #144

    Reply
     
    fuzzybunny
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 11:20 AM ET #145

    Thanks for the picks suuma!


    Reply
    Thanks for the picks suuma!


     
    scalabrine
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 12:47 PM ET #146

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    You're dead wrong bud. The public of course does exist. Talk to any sportsbook manager and he will tell you it does (something you've clearly never done.)And lines most certainly move off of sharp money.Again, this is well documented in the sportsbooking world.Now, to your larger point of FOLLOWING these things to make money? Well, do such a thing over the long-term and it is a 50/50 proposition. Capping just can't be reduced to these things. I like to use them just as icing on the cake for my picks already capped.But you can do some line reading (which works) and find out and access reliable sources where money came from.You don't have any experience with this so I understand your why you are saying what saying.Suuma.....a PRISTINE week of picks and I think you are well on your way to a 6-0 after MNF.
    But I can't believe that without some proof, scal Thanks my friend, I think the Giants are going to get shredded.


    Suuma, I have talked directly to sportsbook managers and there is a public side and a sharp side and I can assure you they know which side is which.

    There are also sites and podcasts you can listen to to find the sharp and public sides (and you have every right to choose not to believe them).

    And there is also line movement based on sharp money and public money and it happens with certainty almost every week.

    I'm not saying side with the sharps or fade the public. I've capped games and regardless of what sharps/public do, I am confident in my pick and have hit many picks with a public side.

    Using sharp/public line movement to pick other games you haven't capped aggresssively is a tried and true shortcut that is used endlessly by people who know how to do it.

    Great week! Philly tonight!!!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

    You're dead wrong bud. The public of course does exist. Talk to any sportsbook manager and he will tell you it does (something you've clearly never done.)And lines most certainly move off of sharp money.Again, this is well documented in the sportsbooking world.Now, to your larger point of FOLLOWING these things to make money? Well, do such a thing over the long-term and it is a 50/50 proposition. Capping just can't be reduced to these things. I like to use them just as icing on the cake for my picks already capped.But you can do some line reading (which works) and find out and access reliable sources where money came from.You don't have any experience with this so I understand your why you are saying what saying.Suuma.....a PRISTINE week of picks and I think you are well on your way to a 6-0 after MNF.
    But I can't believe that without some proof, scal Thanks my friend, I think the Giants are going to get shredded.


    Suuma, I have talked directly to sportsbook managers and there is a public side and a sharp side and I can assure you they know which side is which.

    There are also sites and podcasts you can listen to to find the sharp and public sides (and you have every right to choose not to believe them).

    And there is also line movement based on sharp money and public money and it happens with certainty almost every week.

    I'm not saying side with the sharps or fade the public. I've capped games and regardless of what sharps/public do, I am confident in my pick and have hit many picks with a public side.

    Using sharp/public line movement to pick other games you haven't capped aggresssively is a tried and true shortcut that is used endlessly by people who know how to do it.

    Great week! Philly tonight!!!
     
    NFLCap
    NFLCap
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 1:08 PM ET #147

    I agree there is a public and sharp side. Though how does Vegas determine the sharps? Guys like Teddy Covers, Steve Fezzik are big names but how do you know the other sharps unless they happen to know certain cappers are good. Any guy can be a sharp if they are good but does Vegas know most of them?
    Reply
    I agree there is a public and sharp side. Though how does Vegas determine the sharps? Guys like Teddy Covers, Steve Fezzik are big names but how do you know the other sharps unless they happen to know certain cappers are good. Any guy can be a sharp if they are good but does Vegas know most of them?
     
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 1:14 PM ET #148

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Hope you guys all had a profitable week
    Yes, I went 4-1 without tailing you but with your assistance.

    Your research supported my NE-IND thesis and helped me overcome my reluctance to back Luck.  Your astute observation that QB coach McConnell would elevate McCown's game helped me take CLV +4.  I am glad you got the push at DEN -3.

    Thanks.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Hope you guys all had a profitable week
    Yes, I went 4-1 without tailing you but with your assistance.

    Your research supported my NE-IND thesis and helped me overcome my reluctance to back Luck.  Your astute observation that QB coach McConnell would elevate McCown's game helped me take CLV +4.  I am glad you got the push at DEN -3.

    Thanks.
     
    DogbiteWilliams
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 1:19 PM ET #149

    I have checked out so many of suuma's posts that I can't help thinking he resembles Kevin James.

    I look nothing like Chief Wahoo, but I'm a dead ringer for his daughter.
    Reply
    I have checked out so many of suuma's posts that I can't help thinking he resembles Kevin James.

    I look nothing like Chief Wahoo, but I'm a dead ringer for his daughter.
     
     
    scalabrine
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    Posted: Oct. 19, 2015 - 3:16 PM ET #150

    Quote Originally Posted by NFLCap:

    I agree there is a public and sharp side. Though how does Vegas determine the sharps? Guys like Teddy Covers, Steve Fezzik are big names but how do you know the other sharps unless they happen to know certain cappers are good. Any guy can be a sharp if they are good but does Vegas know most of them?


    When you are hitting max wagers at books and collecting the max, the books immediately know who you are. They even get to know their runners as well.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by NFLCap:

    I agree there is a public and sharp side. Though how does Vegas determine the sharps? Guys like Teddy Covers, Steve Fezzik are big names but how do you know the other sharps unless they happen to know certain cappers are good. Any guy can be a sharp if they are good but does Vegas know most of them?


    When you are hitting max wagers at books and collecting the max, the books immediately know who you are. They even get to know their runners as well.
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