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Lines dictates the game....

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Posts: 2161

midnightprowl

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 8779

Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 4:44 PM ET #1401

Quote Originally Posted by mbialowas:

You say you locked in Denver for Sunday. .......What line did you get? State your line because you always talk out of both sides of your mouth junior

HoldingXYZ i am also curious which line you hv gotten or did u get ML???

If it was a spread -5.5???

mbialowas

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 4681

Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 7:52 PM ET #1402

Quote Originally Posted by midnightprowl:

HoldingXYZ i am also curious which line you hv gotten or did u get ML???

If it was a spread -5.5???

He will answer you once the game is over

Gregga55

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2014

Posts: 60

Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 8:22 PM ET #1403

Thanks XYZ for your input, the line is moving back up, I am going to look into the last 5 or 6 NFC championship, and see how the over/unders went. It is just the over look easy, even at 40, wondering if it will continue to rise?

HoldingXYZ

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6667

Posted: Jan. 19, 2014 - 9:30 AM ET #1404

Midnight ,

Statistically more home favs cover the spread of 5-6 points.

Gregg's,

Regardless of the line movement I've already locked in my plays.

Den 25 units , 8 units under

12 over on sea-sf

dustyvaultz

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2010

Posts: 936

Posted: Jan. 19, 2014 - 2:51 PM ET #1405

sorry guys im posting late no time for a writeup but im rather confident in these plays

Pick: Den -4.5

NE 23

DEN 31

Pick: SF ML

SF 23

SEA 21

Gregga55

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2014

Posts: 60

Posted: Jan. 19, 2014 - 3:05 PM ET #1406

I ended up taking the Broncos -4.5 and the over

Gregga55

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2014

Posts: 60

Posted: Jan. 19, 2014 - 3:07 PM ET #1407

Over 56, and the Seahawks -3.5 and …..I took under 40, Good luck to everyone, Kick-off finally!!!!!!!

HoldingXYZ

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6667

Posted: Jan. 19, 2014 - 3:58 PM ET #1408

Quote Originally Posted by HoldingXYZ:

Conference

There's a ton of action that came in and is coming in on NE. I sure hope it keeps its pace as expected.

There's a reason why the den\ne game is the early game, I'm thinking its because they don't want this to be prime time.

I'm kinda liking the under on den as well.

And starting to really like the over on sf/sea

Den (25units) locked. Under (8 units) locked

Sea-sf over (12 units) locked

Touch down Denver!!!!!!! The guy was wide open

HoldingXYZ

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6667

Posted: Jan. 19, 2014 - 5:54 PM ET #1409

As much as I love Brady. He's throwing the ball away. He doesn't even seem mad in anyway.

Just watch.

HoldingXYZ

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6667

Posted: Jan. 19, 2014 - 6:08 PM ET #1410

Good job guys.

kaboons

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2010

Posts: 609

Posted: Jan. 19, 2014 - 6:39 PM ET #1411

What a surprise Peyton going to Eli s house to the Super Bowl, manning hit zero times this game, way to keep ur product healthy Nfl

BostonCelticFTW

Veteran

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 1142

Posted: Jan. 20, 2014 - 3:05 AM ET #1412

This is the first time i havent watched the conference finals coz i knew the outcome of both games. And ive called Peyton and manning all the way.

kaboons

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2010

Posts: 609

Posted: Jan. 20, 2014 - 12:37 PM ET #1413

yup u called that one early boston

HoldingXYZ

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6667

Posted: Jan. 20, 2014 - 4:35 PM ET #1414

Lines dictate the game

Gregga55

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2014

Posts: 60

Posted: Jan. 20, 2014 - 10:05 PM ET #1415

Nice picks XYZ, shoulda listened! So close on that SF/Seattle game, pretty sure you had it a 39.5, for me waiting to get the 40 for the push, was better than losing! So if lines dictate the game, for this upcoming game with the line opening for a short period of time with Seattle favored by 1-2 and now Denver at -1.5, what do you think this line is dictating?

HoldingXYZ

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6667

Posted: Jan. 21, 2014 - 11:51 AM ET #1416

Thanks, for all your support and this wonderful thread created by Boston

DENVER WINS 26-16 FINAL

AND A SPECIAL THANKS TO TO ALL HOLDINGXYZ HATERS LISTED BELOW.... IN YOUR FACE

FADEMEWIN,,LETSGOPACK1234,,BIGNINER,,,FRANKTHEBANK,,,BK1347,,WMI799,,

AND WHOM EVER ENTOURAGE YOU BELONG IN OR ARE ALREADY IN...

NOW READ WHAT HOLDINGXYZ POSTED,, WINNERS....

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101802806

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101689771&page=57

TO THE SHEEP & FRIENDS

kaboons

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2010

Posts: 609

Posted: Jan. 21, 2014 - 11:43 PM ET #1417

Haha holding,

Boston you owned it by the mother of all calls Denver Super Bowl

Don't see how Denver lose this one, question is who gets hit more Peyton manning or the soccer players in the World Cup this year "flag football"

Gregga55

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2014

Posts: 60

Posted: Jan. 22, 2014 - 12:03 AM ET #1418

So you are thinking that this line, and the way it's jumped around is dictating a Bronco win XYZ? Or is this not a candidate as of yet. I see you are liking the Broncos, does it have much to do with the spread, the way it opened, and now moved to Denver -2.5? You think the books are playing the betters, or trying to save there fools?

FIRSTand13

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2010

Posts: 53

Posted: Jan. 22, 2014 - 5:17 PM ET #1419

Quote:3/4's of the audience watching the game are bettors. fix the game or at least moderate the game to finish around the spread so that the ratings stay high
Lol not even 3/4 of the people watching AT A CASINO SPORTSBOOK have money on it

HoldingXYZ

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6667

Posted: Jan. 25, 2014 - 5:06 PM ET #1420

Quote Originally Posted by Gregga55:

So you are thinking that this line, and the way it's jumped around is dictating a Bronco win XYZ? Or is this not a candidate as of yet. I see you are liking the Broncos, does it have much to do with the spread, the way it opened, and now moved to Denver -2.5? You think the books are playing the betters, or trying to save there fools?

I think the line move was natural... Under these circumstances,, i would take the points... I think vegas knows The public is on Denver and will be on Denver...

tinoker55

MVP

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 19105

Posted: Jan. 25, 2014 - 5:31 PM ET #1421

So then why did Seattle pen up at -1 if Vegas knew everyone would be on Denver??

mbialowas

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 4681

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 9:36 AM ET #1422

[Quote: Original Posted by tinoker55] So then why did Seattle pen up at -1 if Vegas knew everyone would be on Denver??

[/Quote]

Its called a trap

Vegas loves to bait...........

Gregga55

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2014

Posts: 60

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 10:23 AM ET #1423

They wanted Denver money, and they got it, still getting it? So Denver is the bait? Shoot man…. this game could go either way. I am thinking Seattle, with the tough D

2fade

Rookie

Joined: Jul, 2012

Posts: 563

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 1:28 PM ET #1424

Quote Originally Posted by mbialowas:

Its called a trap

Vegas loves to bait...........

Even if you buy into the "trap" nonsense, which I don't, why would it ever be logical to open Seattle at -1 if they anticipated Denver money?? That's like a red flag to bronco backers. Why not open the line at a friendly Denver -1 so the public thinks they are backing the "rightful favorite " on a soft line. They wouldn't set a trap to cross over a critical number like zero either, doesn't make sense. I think the spread is right on. Seattle is the better team, with a great defense. Manning has the experience, and a great offense. Weakest department on the field is Denver's defense. Total offensive rankings go as followed (espn) 5. New England 6. Seattle 7. San Diego 8. Kansas City. Broncos gave up 34, 27, 28 to ne, sd, and kc. This will actually be one of the weaker defenses Seattle will have to face this year. I expect success in Seattle run game, which will open up the play action roll out for Russ Wilson. I think he throws for around 250 with a couple tds and will be your MVP . Just my opinion

kaboons

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2010

Posts: 609

Posted: Jan. 26, 2014 - 4:37 PM ET #1425

Manning MVP John elway relives glory days, can't remember the last time a second year player beat a hall of fame opponent in any big game sport

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