Posted:
#1
I always feel like the lines dictates the game, and not the other way around. Way too many games end up being won just around the spread even tho the games are way way off the spread if u look playwise.
its like all games are scripted, like literrally scripted, thats why it takes so long in between plays to set it up etc and that they have have 3 chances if they mess up so it ends out exactly like they want it to be. This is why i never bet on the NFL anymore. NEVER. And this has actually meant that i hate watching it too... coz i feel like they play "after the lines". So many games are very very very close to the spread, and i know that books are sharp, but it shouldnt be like books are like over-sharp, it feels like books are controlling the lines and not the game controlling the game. For example, funny how Ravens won oddly with EXACTLY those 8 points.
I stopped betting NFL 1 year ago coz i felt like it was just getting too much with all this. But i always look at lines before a game and then i know what to expect. For example, before this week i predicted; Saints gonna win easy and Detroit are gonna win easy. Because Bucs looked like SHIT the first week, couldnt even beat Jets and they looked really really bad. On the other hand, Saints looked good beating Falcons in what i consider a close game pre-hand. So i think Saints shouldnt have any problems winning with 2 touchdowns here. I know its a divisional game, but still in a spot like this Saints shouldnt have too many problems, they are simply just better and stronger. But when i saw this line..... I just knew something were up, i just knew Saints wouldnt totally blow them out of the field. Saints lead 13-7 now, so they can still cover the spread yeah, but thats not my point, my point is it seems like something is holding them back from smacking their asses, and it seems like it is this line that is doing it... Same thing is how i felt about Lions, i think they would beat Cardinals with 2 touchdowns as well, Lions looked good in week 1 against vikings despite a bad start of the game, and Cardinals looked horrible against Rams. So i thought to my self when i saw the line being even money... Something is up here.... Lions get ahead with 8 points, but they keep blowing field goals and missing them all over the place, and all calls going in the way of Cardinals.
I know books are sharp, but they shouldnt be over sharp if u know what i mean, what kind of fun is there if we know the outcome of the game prehand or what kind of game it will be? Like, if the line is even money then we know that it will not be a blow out or that it will be atleast somewhat close? It just ruins the fun and entertainment for me that its almost dictated before the game has started what will happen.
But to me, following the Lions game AFTER i saw the line just made me think that something fishy was up when lines were like that.
I know Saints can still win like 20-7, but it still just seems wierd that the game is played like the line says its supposed to be played.
Like in the Lions game, Lions should have won this game with 2-3 touchdowns, but we KNOW it wont happen when the line is like this. These "Too good to be true" lines just never wins. Im glad i dont bet, otherwise i would have been fucked over great time, (even tho i would have bet on Bills, lol - so i guess it would have evened out) but i consider starting to bet again and then i just bet on whatever seems too good to be true. Like today, Saints looked too good to be true, so i take Bucs with the spread + a few extra points to be sure, same thing with cardinals, take them + a few extra points to be sure and then just take it from there.
0
...maybe you are not comfortable holding these two teams money!!!
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