All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

Lines dictates the game....

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 316895
Posts: 2161
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 629
Posted: #376
Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


Right, you can sheer a sheep many times but only skin him once.

I don't buy that theory in regards to fixing NFL games however.  Of course, the basis for my argument is that Vegas and the NFL make so much money, there is no need to fix anything.  Especially considering the unbelievably complex system that would have to be in place in order to fix the games.  The risk/reward is not even CLOSE to being proportionate for this to be a practical way for the NFL or "Vegas" to make money.



I agree 1000%
i.e; boxing
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #377
Quote Originally Posted by GAT0RBL00D:


I agree 1000%
i.e; boxing

Boxing and Horse Racing are two sports that I would not be surprised are fixed on a regular basis.  Because there are so few people that have to be in on it, and the $$$ that can be made relative to what the people involved make playing it straight is a lot more proportional.  


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 354
Posted: #378
Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


Right, you can sheer a sheep many times but only skin him once.

I don't buy that theory in regards to fixing NFL games however.  Of course, the basis for my argument is that Vegas and the NFL make so much money, there is no need to fix anything.  Especially considering the unbelievably complex system that would have to be in place in order to fix the games.  The risk/reward is not even CLOSE to being proportionate for this to be a practical way for the NFL or "Vegas" to make money.




Yes, the NFL is already making BILLIONS.  If they were ever found to be involved in fixing games, they would lose all that advertisement money and most of their ratings.  Why would they risk billions, just so some bookies would win?  That's why the bookies rely on winning on vig in the long run.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 609
Posted: #379
You guys must of missed the post where I said 50 percent are fixed, 50 percent to screw joe public and 50 percent to screw ppl like me. In the end 100 percent watches the games right? Advertisements! I'm glad u guys think its safe now come on in the waters fine:) btw any one know the unemployment numbers? 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #380
Quote Originally Posted by AfadeAday:



Yes, the NFL is already making BILLIONS.  If they were ever found to be involved in fixing games, they would lose all that advertisement money and most of their ratings.  Why would they risk billions, just so some bookies would win?  That's why the bookies rely on winning on vig in the long run.

Their logic is that the NFL needs to fix the games to keep people entertained, and that's how they made/keep making BILLIONS.  It's false logic.  

I've already tried to explain to them how bookies/casinos make money, and gotten nowhere.  The only response was that they are greedy and want more.

If Vegas and the NFL are in cahoots fixing games, it would be one of the (if not THE) biggest stories in US Sports history.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #381
Quote Originally Posted by kaboons:

You guys must of missed the post where I said 50 percent are fixed, 50 percent to screw joe public and 50 percent to screw ppl like me. In the end 100 percent watches the games right? Advertisements! I'm glad u guys think its safe now come on in the waters fine:) btw any one know the unemployment numbers? 



If 50% of the games are fixed for you, and 50% of the games are fixed against you.  WHY IN THE HELL ARE YOU BETTING ON THE GAMES?  I assume you don't know beforehand which games are fixed and which are not, right?

So basically you are saying that you bet with -110 juice, on a 50/50 shot??  


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 609
Posted: #382
u know its perfectly legal for the nfl to fix games? its their product their rules.

Please, look up steelers chargers final play of the game that took the game away from being 17-10 to final score 11-10. whats the explanation there?
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #383
Quote Originally Posted by kaboons:

You guys must of missed the post where I said 50 percent are fixed, 50 percent to screw joe public and 50 percent to screw ppl like me. In the end 100 percent watches the games right? Advertisements! I'm glad u guys think its safe now come on in the waters fine:) btw any one know the unemployment numbers? 

Do you realize the scope of involvement that is needed to pull something like this off?  It is almost unfathomable it's so huge.  And yes, the NFL makes a poop-ton of $$$ from Advertising revenue.  A lot of which they would lose if it ever came to light that game results were predetermined beforehand, and fixed by Vegas and the NFL.  The Nevada Gaming Commission sure would have something to say about that too, but of course, in this thread of complete assumption and factless theory, I guess they are in on it too.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6703
Posted: #384
Quote Originally Posted by kaboons:

u know its perfectly legal for the nfl to fix games? its their product their rules.

Please, look up steelers chargers final play of the game that took the game away from being 17-10 to final score 11-10. whats the explanation there?

I remember that game because I was on the wrong side of it. But just as easy, how can you explain the obvious wrong call by the back judge on one of the Niners' punt(correct me if I am wrong) last night? The ball CLEARLY went out on 6-yard line but he ruled it touchback. HE WAS THE CLOSEST OFFICAL TO THE BALL!! The ref overruled it but it's just pure stupidity. Had the game be close and the outcome was different, it SURE would be viewed as an OBVIOUS attempt to fix the game. My point is anyone can interpret just about anything AFTER the fact.

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #385
You cannot fix a sporting event for gambling purposes.  That is illegal.  That is what is being implied in this thread.

The Steelers won 11-10.  I guess it is all a big conspiracy after all.  Never before has anything bizarre ever happened on the last play of the game, and never before has it affected the point spread.  That is the proof.  End of story.  Great research.  First time the refs ever blew a call.  What was I thinking!!!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 609
Posted: #386
bk, look up the freaking game, and explain me the call there, if not stop changing my words. its not fact less theory, i have facts, now get up off ur butt, look up the game and explain to me why the last play wasnt a lateral
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #387
Quote Originally Posted by bunny651:

I remember that game because I was on the wrong side of it. But just as easy, how can you explain the obvious wrong call by the back judge on one of the Niners' punt(correct me if I am wrong) last night? The ball CLEARLY went out on 6-yard line but he ruled it touchback. HE WAS THE CLOSEST OFFICAL TO THE BALL!! The ref overruled it but it's just pure stupidity. Had the game be close and the outcome was different, it SURE would be viewed as an OBVIOUS attempt to fix the game. My point is anyone can interpret just about anything AFTER the fact.



 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #388
Quote Originally Posted by kaboons:

bk, look up the freaking game, and explain me the call there, if not stop changing my words. its not fact less theory, i have facts, now get up off ur butt, look up the game and explain to me why the last play wasnt a lateral

IT WAS A FRICKEN LATERAL!!!!!!!!  I NEVER SAID IT WASN'T!??!?

THE REF BLEW THE CALL!!  IT FRICKEN HAPPENS!  ARE YOU NEW HERE (to Earth that is).

Prove that it was a blow call to fix the game??  Anything?  Who was involved?  Who got paid?  Who paid them out?  What other weird plays/calls/etc happened in that game to get that score to 11-10?  


 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #389
Quote Originally Posted by kaboons:

bk, look up the freaking game, and explain me the call there, if not stop changing my words. its not fact less theory, i have facts, now get up off ur butt, look up the game and explain to me why the last play wasnt a lateral

I'm not changing your words.  The basis of this thread is that the NFL and Vegas fix public heavy games, and there has not been ONE fact presented at any time in this thread backing that up.


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 609
Posted: #390
it was reviewed.....

btw i had chargers in that game big in vegas, i almost threw away the ticket.  So im not crying about a pit loss.  but the whole sportsbook. was screaming bloody murder. I know who got paid
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #391
Everyone remembers that game, because it did affect the spread, and it was such a bizarre ending.  The fact that we still remember it, and talk about it, is almost proof that it wasn't fixed.  Why, because otherwise there would be endings like that all the time.

If you are so sure it was fixed.  Please, you have to have more proof than "how can you explain it".

Weird things happen all the time in the NFL.  Doesn't in any way prove that anything is fixed.  Crying "fix" is usually just the way a losing gambler copes with things, as they cannot admit that either they are not good at gambling and actually picked a game wrong, or that they probably shouldn't be gambling AT ALL because they are laying their money are games with less than 50-50 edge, and the games are sometimes a toss up.  It's denial.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 609
Posted: #392
usc game, a few years back,  well after the game was over. 30min to an hour. they reversed a td that usc made from a block fg.
usc should have won by over a td. but after an hour they changed the score to usc only winning by less than a fg. 

another blown call or just an agenda to not pay the heavy betting public?
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #393
Quote Originally Posted by kaboons:

it was reviewed.....

btw i had chargers in that game big in vegas, i almost threw away the ticket.  So im not crying about a pit loss.  but the whole sportsbook. was screaming bloody murder. I know who got paid

WHO????  THAT'S WHAT I WANT TO KNOW?  AND BY WHOM?

I don't remember who I had in that game to be honest. But I do remember where I was when it happened.

Just look at the number of threads on covers anytime something goofy happens in a game where there is money on it.  Always people crying fix, and always people so shocked that anything weird or bizarre ever happens.  It's a product of pouring over stats and trends and conditioning yourself that these games are played in a vacuum where no intangibles or unpredictable things ever happen.

I'm glad you didn't throw your ticket away.  On a side note, I NEVER throw tickets away until I'm 100% sure they're losers.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #394
Quote Originally Posted by kaboons:

usc game, a few years back,  well after the game was over. 30min to an hour. they reversed a td that usc made from a block fg.
usc should have won by over a td. but after an hour they changed the score to usc only winning by less than a fg. 

another blown call or just an agenda to not pay the heavy betting public?

I remember that one too, vs Utah.


I'm trying to keep the topic on NFL.  I'm not saying that game was fixed or not, and fully admit that it would be easier to fix a college game than an NFL game.  Much easier, but still difficult, considering the repercussions if caught.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 609
Posted: #395
it was me and maybe 3 more pple out of 100's at the sports book. 

the usc story was big. im trying to find it online so i can post it
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #396
As humans, we have selective memory, and perception and reality can be very blurred sometimes.  We are all guilty of that.

kaboons, you seem like a nice guy, and I don't have anything personally against you.  Obviously (as I stated earlier in the week) we have different views on this.

I'm not someone who is naive and going through life with my head in a sack, just assuming everything is on the up and up.  You brought up politics earlier (or referenced unemployment numbers), and if you want to talk FIXES, that's a great place to start and perhaps that is something that we could agree on!

I just think that some people in this thread are completely underestimating the ENORMOUS scope of people and resources that would need to be involved to suggest that the NFL is rigged (with the aid of Vegas) to control the outcome of their games, even if it's not all of them.
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 609
Posted: #397

no problem.

it goes both ways, when a game looks fishy, (ppl like me) say fixed
when a game looks legit sf vs rams (ppl like u) say "wheres the fix?? hahah.
Do i believe its fixed? yes
every game? no
if every game was fixed there would be no games to fix... think about it.

best of luck
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #398
Quote Originally Posted by kaboons:

it was me and maybe 3 more pple out of 100's at the sports book. 

the usc story was big. im trying to find it online so i can post it

I was asking who got paid in that game to throw it.  What players/coaches/refs, etc? Obviously Pitt was favored by >1-7< and was probably a public person, I get that.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 6703
Posted: #399
Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:



There is one thing the conspiracist never able to explain. A fixed game, by definition, is to ENSURE a favorable outcome/score of a game. Why in the world, game after game, those HAD TO DONE IN THE LAST SECONDS OR THE LAST PLAY OF A GAME? So it would the whole world's attention to it?

Please don't come back with the "Keep the game exciting" theory because first of all, it doesn't have to come down to the last play for a game to be entertaining.but more importantly, why would the "smart" people from Vegas want to rely on the ref on a call the whole world could see over and over again? Any smart person  committing an illegal act would want to keep it as low a profile as possible to avoid detection.You can't have it both ways.

 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 609
Posted: #400
it was a td. they reviewed it. Idk why it was clear as water

refs put headphones on, we dont know who talks to them.

and they came out and say call is reversed no td. some1 in charge called it the invisible hand. 

to reverse a call u need conclusive visible evidence.
 no clue why it was under view in the 1st place it was lateraled 5 yards back .

its not going to be handed to u what the truth is, u need to think and question it.  and if u find ur conclusion rt good for u. but dont just say "y wod they rigg it? no way makes no sense"

look at big bens face as well. after the td 



All Forums | NFL Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.